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The Naxal Threat to India

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The Naxalite movement is India’s largest insurgency, second only to the Kashmir movement yet virtually unknown to the world in general. It started in 1967 and has been continuing to defy the state of India for the longest time.
India houses one of the largest poor populations in the world, the benefits of ‘Shining India ’ do not reach 90 per cent of Indians, economic growth in India has not trickled down.
India grows only sector-wise, it has been called the poorest nation in the world according to a World Bank report last year.


According to Naxal plans, the elite rich are to be overthrown and there is to be an equal distribution of wealth attained by employing Mao’s “protracted people’s war” strategy. The Naxalite movement is an armed agrarian revolutionary war aiming to attain area-wise seizure of power, the modus operandi is to encircle cities from the countryside and then finally capture them. The revolution is sustained by class and caste tensions and a general sense of desperation due to poor economic and social conditions.


In 2004, two Naxal /Maoist groups joined to form the Communist Party of India (Maoist). Since 2011, CPI(M) is leading the state government in Tripura, it also leads the Left Front coalition of leftist parties in other states and parliament. Since 2004, Maoist insurgents are better equipped with weapons and properly trained in guerilla warfare. Lower castes and marginal groups low in the social hierarchy also form its support base.


Naxalites have formed sympathetic student groups in universities and human-rights groups, their ideology attracts not only peasants but the urban educated, also it is rare to find an illiterate Naxal, they easily talk people into joining their ranks. The movement is on the rise and its influence among the poor is only growing, it also benefited from the ongoing drought in India which affects peasants drastically. Difficulties like starvation and disease brought more farmers into the folds of the Naxalite movement.


The government has not given peasants any relief 270,000 farmers have committed suicide since 1995. Naxalites claim support by the poorest rural populations, especially Adivasis. Modi might find it difficult to repress the Naxal might , discontent will only grow among the lower classes as there is no way he can provide half a million jobs every year or a good economy for the fastest growing population in the world. Today it is one of the strongest revolutionary leftist movements in the world, comparable to that in the Philippines, Peru and Nepal.


The Naxals were highly repressed, they were tortured and their leaders were killed but today 14 out of India’s 28 states are affected by their dangerous presence. The Naxals want to topple the Indian state by force and first intended to achieve this by 1975 but have since compromised and now aspire to control India by 2016 or thereabouts.


In September 2008, the Union Home Ministry approved a proposal to set up a new commando force to fight the Naxals and recruit and train 10,000 personnel for the elite force. This elite force was to infiltrate the Maoist territories in small groups. This force was named the Cobra Unit , after its deployment the insurgency in the Red Corridor increased against all expectations. The Indian security forces began a major offensive against the Naxalites last year, using satellite technology large areas of India were mapped. Altogether more than 80000 security forces were deployed to recapture Naxalite areas. Indian government even ordered a number of sophisticated UAVs from U.S to spearhead the operation.


The latest tactic of the Naxals was implanting IEDs in dead bodies of their adversaries to cause more casualties. This ‘Body trap’ strategy of the Maoists has never been witnessed before in the history of the Naxal Movement. They keep employing new tactics constantly which makes them even more unpredictable and dangerous, it has even been claimed they learn tactics from Hollywood action movies and their mercenaries are given CDs to watch and pick up methods from. They employ a wide range of low-intensity guerrilla tactics against government institutions, officials, security forces and paramilitary groups.


In the last two years, the Naxals have definitely become more lethal in the area of Chhattisgarh, Home Ministry data has the statistics. Naxal activities in Jharkhand are at an all-time high as well, more lives have been lost in Naxal violence in Jharkhand than in Chhattisgarh.In the past two years alone, there have been 863 Naxal attacks in Jharkhand. As many as 254 civilians, 59 security personnel and 19 Naxals have been killed. Now Naxalites are active in 40% of India’s land area, they are active in Chhattisgarh, Orissa, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Jharkhand, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and West Bengal states. The Naxals almost run a parallel government, anyone who understands Maoist tactics needs no specific intelligence inputs to know that anyone could be the target of an attack in what is referred to as the Red Corridor. Most political parties survive in Naxal areas by bribing them to stay safe. The Naxals are a big threat to business and industry as some of the railways and mining towns are in their strongholds, they constantly sabotage roads by planting improvised explosive devices under road surfaces or simply digging roads up. Naxalites view roads as a means for the government to send its forces into their territory, so it does not let the Indian government start any development projects.


Dr Bibhu Prasad Routray, who was deputy director in the National Security Council Secretariat, says that the commando operation in Naxal areas failed due to poor intelligence gathering. India,s then Prime Minister Manmohan Singh labeled the Naxalites “the biggest internal security challenge” to India. In his tenure, Naxals attacked a political rally in the state of Chattisgarh, brutally massacring 28 ministers as punishment for Sonia Gandji,s unjust policies against the poor and ordering extra-judicial killings. The biggest Naxal attack then was in April 2010 when at least 75 personnel of CRPF were killed in an ambush by Naxalites in Chhattisgarh. Vietnamese and Israeli help was also sought by the Indian government to learn tactics for guerrilla warfare operations against the Naxalites. Naxalites are no more confined to traditional weapons and are better equipped than the police forces, they use latest modern communication gadgets to track police movements. Gathering intelligence Naxalites interact with Maoists from Nepal, secessionists in India’s restive northeast, Islamists from Bangladesh, criminals from Myanmar and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam LTTE in Sri Lanka.


The Indian media seems to be in a sorry state of affairs, the Naxals carried out 863 attacks in Jharkand in two years and the media hardly reported these developments. Attacks were being carried out every two days and Indian media gave next to no coverage , this makes one wonder whether there is there some kind of censor policy enforced by the Indian government.


How can the Indian media not notice the insurgencies India is surrounded with? Kashmir freedom movement has claimed tens of thousands of lives. The north-eastern states are wracked by dozens of secessionist movements. The seven states of northeastern India also called the Seven Sisters are significantly different, ethnically and linguistically from the rest of India. These states are rocked by numerous armed and violent insurgencies, seeking separate statehood, autonomy or outright independence, mostly due to government neglect.


These include Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Manipur, Mizoram, Nagaland and Tripura. The Tamil struggle continues till date and is gaining momentum each passing day. India has in all, an estimated 30 armed insurgency movements sweeping across the country.


There are 16 belligerent groups and 68 major organization as terrorist groups in India, which include: nine in the northeast Seven Sisters, four in the center & the east including Maoist/ Naxalites, seventeen in the west Sikh separatist groups, and 38 in the northwest Kashmir.


The Naxalite problem is in certain respects more serious than the Kashmir problem. Naxal leaders , when looking into the future, dream of seeing the red flag fly over the Red Fort in Delhi in their lifetime. All this going on and the Indian media turns a blind eye until news leaks out.


India has always feared outside powers would manipulate grassroots rebel groups in India and further destabilize an already regionalized country. In 2011, Indian police accused the Chinese government of providing sanctuary to the movement’s leaders. Alarmist visions linking Naxalites to militant groups supposedly backed by Pakistan, India’s main geopolitical rival are the ultimate nightmare scenario for India. India actually needs to do some introspection and find out where it went wrong instead of blaming others.


Pakistani media has never faced any impediment in creating news stories out of random events while the Indian media cannot see even major insurgencies. The FATA areas remained a hot topic many a time in Pakistan though attacks there were never even close to the rate of attacks by the Naxals in India. There is much more terrorism in India than in Pakistan, many rampant insurgencies, an alarming poverty rate and dangerous rape and crime ratio. Still tourism flourishes there, thanks to the ‘ostrich in the sand ‘ policy of the Indian media and the government’s hush-hush policy. Indian media presents a censored version of the news aimed at downplaying the Naxal crisis brewing at home. It is highly unlikely that this ostrich in the sand attitude will wish away the Naxalites.


Suhas Chakma, Director of Asian Centre for Human Rights, New Delhi, says that ‘India is at war with itself’. Until the Indian government implements employment, poverty alleviation and land reform programmes, counterinsurgency measures cannot achieve much…


Using strong-arm tactics on the Naxalites is not advisable as they have grassroots support of millions of victimised Indians. In the present globalized world where terrorism and human rights are talked about a lot, surprisingly the Naxalite movement is overlooked on both counts. Neither terrorist acts by Naxalites nor their deliberate oppression by the Indian Government has attracted international attention; the names of these insurgencies are never taken on international forums.


Thinktank Stratfor informed India a few years back that irrespective of the Maoist movement appearing to be fairly contained in India, they could develop the “tradecraft for urban terrorism”,’ In this situation, what if the Naxals get access to India’s already scantily protected nuclear assets , seeing the huge failings in Indian nuclear security.


So India is actually sitting on a time-bomb which is slowly ticking away until the time comes that they capture major Indian cities. ‘Shining India’ is a myth, existing only in the minds of Indian journalists and television anchors who have glorified it unrealistically.
With this attitude, India is a security risk for itself and for the world.


@sabena_siddiqi
 
. . . .
Pakistan's neighbor India has bigger issues oflandless peasants, the caste-based Apartheid, and the problem of widespread hunger, poverty and desperation, which is worse than most of its neighbors. In addition, there is a known and growing nexus between the radical Hindus and some of the Indian intelligence and military officials, as recently detailed by former police chief of Maharashtra, Mr. S.M. Mushrif in his book titled "Who Killed Karare?".

Here is a report by a Pakistani journalist Rahimullah Yusufzai after his recent visit to India:

"I fear there will be a bloody revolution in India," a retired Indian military officer remarked to this writer and other guests during a recent visit to New Delhi. It was shocking to hear the comment from a soldier, in a country that supposedly had given a voice to its huge population and was believed to be all-inclusive.

It is obvious that India's much-praised democracy hasn't brought any real change in the lives of millions of Indians. That some of the poorest men and women are now up in arms in parts of India is evidence enough that democratically elected governments must do more to provide rights and justice to the rural poor and ensure even-handed development in different parts of the country.

The Naxalite violence in India has caused pain to most thinking Indians. For them it is a matter of anguish that a growing number of Indians are disillusioned with their country's democracy and see no hope of benefiting from India's steady economic progress. They have picked up the gun to fight for their rights.

The Maoist-linked violence is spreading and engulfing new places. The vast region affected by the insurgency include the states of Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar and West Bengal and runs south through Orissa, Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh. It is usually called the "Red Corridor" because the leadership for the rebels is provided by communist cadres labelled as Maoists. The Communist Party of India (Marxists-Leninists), despite suffering splits, is still the standard-bearer of the rebels.

According to reports in the Indian media, more than 220 districts in 20 or so states are now affected by Maoist-linked violence. Indian intelligence agencies believe the movement has at its disposal 20,000 armed cadres and over 50,000 regular members. Apart from the rural poor, indigenous tribes such as the Girijans in Andhra Pradesh and Santhals in West Bengal have been flocking to the Naxalite movement. The movement has appeal for the dispossessed and the under-privileged. In the words of its present leader, Mupalla Laxman Rao, in hiding somewhere in eastern India and better known as Ganapathi, his party's influence has grown stronger and it was now the only genuine alternative before the people of India.

The Naxalite movement began as a peasants' uprising in May 1969 in the village of Naxalbari in West Bengal. It was initially led by 49-year-old Charu Mazumdar and its aim was to seize power through an agrarian revolution by overthrowing the feudal order. Mazumdar died in police custody 12 days after his arrest in Calcutta in 1972 and became a hero to Maoist cadres that have increased in number and strength over the years despite splits in the movement. The Naxalite insurgency has sprouted after every defeat and is now stronger than ever.

India's share of the world's poorest people has increased to 39 percent from 25 percent in 1980. In comparison, the Below Poverty Line population worldwide has decreased from 1,470 million to 970 million. There are reportedly 301 million Indians below the poverty line, just 19 million less than in 1983. The Human Development Report by the UN has been ranking India among the lowest 60 or 65 countries in the list of 193 nations that are part of the annual study. India's poor performance on this score was in spite of the around nine percent growth rate in its GDP. There are reports in the media about farmers committing suicide or selling their wives to pay mounting debts. Though the recorded figures of such cases aren't high in a big country such as India with 1.17 billion people, it still indicates the desperate state of certain communities.

India's poor and marginalised groups have on occasions showed their anger through the power of the ballot. This happened in the 2004 and also in the 2009 national elections. The Hindu nationalist BJP tried to seek votes by coining the slogan, India Shining, in the 2004 Lok Sabha elections as part of its claim that its coalition government had brought prosperity during its five-year rule. But the electorate thought otherwise as the majority, particularly the poor and rural voters, the lower castes and minorities hadn't benefited from the progress that had mostly made the rich richer. Their verdict in the polls was against the BJP-led NDA alliance and in support of the Congress and its allies. The Congress won again in 2009 despite the incumbency factor because it was largely seen as the party that cared more for the rights of the poor and the rural voters and was conscious of the concerns of the minorities, particularly Muslims.

However, it is the ruling Congress now that is confronted with the challenge of responding to the needs of India's restless rural poor and tribal communities. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh recently described the Naxalite insurgency as the single greatest threat to India's internal security. Rahul Gandhi, son of Congress head Sonia Gandhi and the rising star of Indian politics, has been focusing on the vast Indian hinterland, visiting the under-developed rural villages and spending nights at the homes of Dalits, often termed the poorest and most oppressed people in the country. This cannot be enough to calm down the Naxalites, who are convinced that only force could win the Indian people their rights.

A showdown between the Indian government and the Naxalites is now imminent. The Congress-led government is mobilising hundreds of thousands of security personnel, mostly police and paramilitary forces, to launch an offensive against the Maoists mostly likely in November. It has ruled out the use of the military, but the operation will be coordinated from New Delhi as part of a central government initiative. Indian analysts and foreigners knowledgeable about India have pointed out that the country lacked a cohesive strategy to deal with the insurgency. The ruling elites have also been criticised for being slow in responding to the needs of the poorest communities, who were then easily recruited by the Maoists.

Such is the hatred of the Naxalites for the ruling elite that their leader Ganapathi, a former schoolteacher, branded Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Home Minister P Chidambaran as "terrorists." In a recent interview at his secret jungle hideout with the weekly magazine Open, he said "the people will rise up like a tornado under our party's leadership to wipe out the reactionary blood-sucking vampires ruling our country." At another point, the 59-year old Ganapathi declared: "Those (government) sharks want to loot the wealth and drive the tribal people of the region to further impoverishment."

By threatening to unleash a "tornado" of violence if the Indian government went ahead with its planned large-scale offensive against his insurgent forces, Ganapathi has made the intentions of the Maoists obvious. Already, his men, and even some women cadres, have carried out actions that are now normally associated with the Taliban. They have kidnapped and beheaded government officials, blown up electricity and telephone towers, destroyed roads and railway tracks, killed political opponents and attacked police stations and other official installations. The offensive against the Naxalites will certainly weaken and deprive them of some of their bases and hideouts, but the issue cannot be resolved by the use of force alone. Many members of the Indian intelligentsia sympathise with the cause of the Maoists and objective analysts see it as an economic issue and one concerning lack of justice. The Indian ruling elite needs to tackle the root-cause of the insurgency instead of applying force through the state apparatus to crush the rebels.


I think Mr. Yousufzai, an independent journalist and reporter from Pakistan, has done a good job of reporting what he saw and heard in India and he has put it in context.

But predicting revolutions is hazardous business. In spite of studying historic causes of past revolutions, it's not any more accurate than predicting when and where the next big earthquake or hurricane will hit and what will happen in its aftermath.

Talking about Pakistan, the violence has reached new heights in recent days. The conditions have existed for a while and the triggers have been in place, and yet, it's not certain if what we are seeing now is indeed a revolution. There are still many questions as to whether the nation's political and military leadership can forestall a bloody revolution, by a combination of the use of force and appearance of reform to placate those violently protesting the tyranny of the status quo. After all, terrorism is often defined as a form of violent protest.

In India, too, conditions exist for a bloody revolution. But it's not certain what the trigger will be. It could be the growth of the Maoist movement and its spread from rural to urban India where it begin to be seen by Indian urban middle class and gets the attention of the world media. But it's by no means fait accompli. All depends on the ability of India's political leaders and its military's competency in forestalling it. But the jury is still out on these questions.


Haq's Musings: Bloody Revolution in India?
 
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yes, islamists and maoists.. they are a 'threat' but nothing that can't be dealt with

tianamen 2.0 will happen here on every pathetic anti national regardless of their religion, maybe we do need a 'bloody revolution' to show we are truly secular

modi ji's administration will unleash ancient vedic bhramastra on all traitors
 
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By dressing up “militants” as Muslims wearing skullcaps in a mock anti-terror drill, Indian police exposed not only communal mentality but low IQ and poor general knowledge negating Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s vision of SMART — Strict and Sensitive, Modern and Mobile, Alert and Accountable, Reliable and Responsive, Techno savvy and Trained — law enforcers voiced at the recent conference of directors-general of police in Guwahati.
Footage of the drill showed commandos capturing “terrorists” in white-knitted skullcaps before bundling them into police jeeps. But do terrorists — even if they happen to be Muslims — don the Islamic skullcap to unleash murder and mayhem? I don’t think so.
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The latest Global Terrorism Index (released by international think tank Institute of Economics and Peace) reveals that while jihadists were responsible for 15 percent of terrorism-related killings in India, Maoists accounted for the lion’s share of casualties — a whopping 50 percent — in 2013. The remaining 35 percent of deaths were caused by guerrillas fighting for statehood or independence in states like Assam, Manipur and Nagaland.
Maoists have created a Red Corridor from the India-Nepal border to south India but the worst-hit states are Chattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand and Orissa. Their goal is to overthrow the Indian government by force. The writ of the administration doesn’t run in large tracts of central India where there are no police stations, post offices, revenue collectors or even cellular network.
Similarly, the National Democratic Front of Bodoland (NDFB), which gunned down 75 Adivasis or tribespeople, just before Christmas in its devilish pursuit of a separate homeland for ethnic Bodos in Assam, is one of the deadliest separatist outfits in business. New York survived 9/11. Mumbai is doing fine despite 26/11, thank you. I think that armed rebellions like the Maoist insurgency or secessionist uprisings in the northeast pose a far graver challenge to the Indian State. New Delhi should focus on neutralizing anti-national groups trying to seize power or dismember India instead of maligning Muslims who have never challenged the state till today.

Demonizing Muslims won’t help | Arab News
 
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Vietnamese and Israeli help was also sought by the Indian government to learn tactics for guerrilla warfare operations against the Naxalites

when did india sought help from Vietnam, and isreal to train its paramilitary soldiers in guerrilla warfare??

The Indian media seems to be in a sorry state of affairs, the Naxals carried out 863 attacks in Jharkand in two years and the media hardly reported these developments

indian media is reporting this news about maoists attack. it is the indian media's report is the only way you get to know about Maoists attack. unlike in FATA and baugistan. there is no road connecting maoist strogholds. there is only thick forest, which is not an easy to cross.. particularity for media persons. as indian paramilitary and police force who are fighting these Maoists it won't be a wise choice to bring media personals to front line.

Thinktank Stratfor informed India a few years back that irrespective of the Maoist movement appearing to be fairly contained in India, they could develop the “tradecraft for urban terrorism”,’ In this situation, what if the Naxals get access to India’s already scantily protected nuclear assets , seeing the huge failings in Indian nuclear security.
don't worry, maoists are not islamic terrorists who just want to wipe out the entaire population. maoists are fighting against the rich people who suppress the poor, they don't want any nuclear bomb. they they don't even demand a separate state.
 
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The Naxalite movement is India’s largest insurgency, second only to the Kashmir movement

The benefits of ‘Shining India ’ do not reach 90 per cent of Indians, economic growth in India has not trickled down.
ns.

also it is rare to find an illiterate Naxal, they easily talk people into joining their ranks.

it also benefited from the ongoing drought in India which affects peasants drastically..

there is no way he can provide half a million jobs every year or a good economy for the fastest growing population in the world.

The Indian security forces began a major offensive against the Naxalites last year, using satellite technology large areas of India were mapped.

Indian government even ordered a number of sophisticated UAVs from U.S to spearhead the operation.

Naxals attacked a political rally in the state of Chattisgarh, brutally massacring 28 ministers as punishment for Sonia Gandji,s unjust policies against the poor and ordering extra-judicial killings.

Vietnamese and Israeli help was also sought by the Indian government to learn tactics for guerrilla warfare operations against the Naxalites.

Gathering intelligence Naxalites interact with the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam LTTE in Sri Lanka.

The Indian media seems to be in a sorry state of affairs, the Naxals carried out 863 attacks in Jharkand in two years and the media hardly reported these developments.

Attacks were being carried out every two days and Indian media gave next to no coverage

There is much more terrorism in India than in Pakistan, many rampant insurgencies, an alarming poverty rate and dangerous rape and crime ratio.

seeing the huge failings in Indian nuclear security.
Please provide authentic sources of your these claims i have quoted.
 
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when did india sought help from Vietnam, and isreal to train its paramilitary soldiers in guerrilla warfare??
I use credible publications when researching, will give you the source




indian media is reporting this news about maoists attack. it is the indian media's report is the only way you get to know about Maoists attack. unlike in FATA and baugistan. there is no road connecting maoist strogholds. there is only thick forest, which is not an easy to cross.. particularity for media persons. as indian paramilitary and police force who are fighting these Maoists it won't be a wise choice to bring media personals to front line.


don't worry, maoists are not islamic terrorists who just want to wipe out the entaire population. maoists are fighting against the rich people who suppress the poor, they don't want any nuclear bomb. they they don't even demand a separate state.
 
.
Pakistan's neighbor India has bigger issues oflandless peasants, the caste-based Apartheid, and the problem of widespread hunger, poverty and desperation, which is worse than most of its neighbors. In addition, there is a known and growing nexus between the radical Hindus and some of the Indian intelligence and military officials, as recently detailed by former police chief of Maharashtra, Mr. S.M. Mushrif in his book titled "Who Killed Karare?".

Here is a report by a Pakistani journalist Rahimullah Yusufzai after his recent visit to India:

"I fear there will be a bloody revolution in India," a retired Indian military officer remarked to this writer and other guests during a recent visit to New Delhi. It was shocking to hear the comment from a soldier, in a country that supposedly had given a voice to its huge population and was believed to be all-inclusive.

It is obvious that India's much-praised democracy hasn't brought any real change in the lives of millions of Indians. That some of the poorest men and women are now up in arms in parts of India is evidence enough that democratically elected governments must do more to provide rights and justice to the rural poor and ensure even-handed development in different parts of the country.

The Naxalite violence in India has caused pain to most thinking Indians. For them it is a matter of anguish that a growing number of Indians are disillusioned with their country's democracy and see no hope of benefiting from India's steady economic progress. They have picked up the gun to fight for their rights.

The Maoist-linked violence is spreading and engulfing new places. The vast region affected by the insurgency include the states of Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar and West Bengal and runs south through Orissa, Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh. It is usually called the "Red Corridor" because the leadership for the rebels is provided by communist cadres labelled as Maoists. The Communist Party of India (Marxists-Leninists), despite suffering splits, is still the standard-bearer of the rebels.

According to reports in the Indian media, more than 220 districts in 20 or so states are now affected by Maoist-linked violence. Indian intelligence agencies believe the movement has at its disposal 20,000 armed cadres and over 50,000 regular members. Apart from the rural poor, indigenous tribes such as the Girijans in Andhra Pradesh and Santhals in West Bengal have been flocking to the Naxalite movement. The movement has appeal for the dispossessed and the under-privileged. In the words of its present leader, Mupalla Laxman Rao, in hiding somewhere in eastern India and better known as Ganapathi, his party's influence has grown stronger and it was now the only genuine alternative before the people of India.

The Naxalite movement began as a peasants' uprising in May 1969 in the village of Naxalbari in West Bengal. It was initially led by 49-year-old Charu Mazumdar and its aim was to seize power through an agrarian revolution by overthrowing the feudal order. Mazumdar died in police custody 12 days after his arrest in Calcutta in 1972 and became a hero to Maoist cadres that have increased in number and strength over the years despite splits in the movement. The Naxalite insurgency has sprouted after every defeat and is now stronger than ever.

India's share of the world's poorest people has increased to 39 percent from 25 percent in 1980. In comparison, the Below Poverty Line population worldwide has decreased from 1,470 million to 970 million. There are reportedly 301 million Indians below the poverty line, just 19 million less than in 1983. The Human Development Report by the UN has been ranking India among the lowest 60 or 65 countries in the list of 193 nations that are part of the annual study. India's poor performance on this score was in spite of the around nine percent growth rate in its GDP. There are reports in the media about farmers committing suicide or selling their wives to pay mounting debts. Though the recorded figures of such cases aren't high in a big country such as India with 1.17 billion people, it still indicates the desperate state of certain communities.

India's poor and marginalised groups have on occasions showed their anger through the power of the ballot. This happened in the 2004 and also in the 2009 national elections. The Hindu nationalist BJP tried to seek votes by coining the slogan, India Shining, in the 2004 Lok Sabha elections as part of its claim that its coalition government had brought prosperity during its five-year rule. But the electorate thought otherwise as the majority, particularly the poor and rural voters, the lower castes and minorities hadn't benefited from the progress that had mostly made the rich richer. Their verdict in the polls was against the BJP-led NDA alliance and in support of the Congress and its allies. The Congress won again in 2009 despite the incumbency factor because it was largely seen as the party that cared more for the rights of the poor and the rural voters and was conscious of the concerns of the minorities, particularly Muslims.

However, it is the ruling Congress now that is confronted with the challenge of responding to the needs of India's restless rural poor and tribal communities. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh recently described the Naxalite insurgency as the single greatest threat to India's internal security. Rahul Gandhi, son of Congress head Sonia Gandhi and the rising star of Indian politics, has been focusing on the vast Indian hinterland, visiting the under-developed rural villages and spending nights at the homes of Dalits, often termed the poorest and most oppressed people in the country. This cannot be enough to calm down the Naxalites, who are convinced that only force could win the Indian people their rights.

A showdown between the Indian government and the Naxalites is now imminent. The Congress-led government is mobilising hundreds of thousands of security personnel, mostly police and paramilitary forces, to launch an offensive against the Maoists mostly likely in November. It has ruled out the use of the military, but the operation will be coordinated from New Delhi as part of a central government initiative. Indian analysts and foreigners knowledgeable about India have pointed out that the country lacked a cohesive strategy to deal with the insurgency. The ruling elites have also been criticised for being slow in responding to the needs of the poorest communities, who were then easily recruited by the Maoists.

Such is the hatred of the Naxalites for the ruling elite that their leader Ganapathi, a former schoolteacher, branded Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Home Minister P Chidambaran as "terrorists." In a recent interview at his secret jungle hideout with the weekly magazine Open, he said "the people will rise up like a tornado under our party's leadership to wipe out the reactionary blood-sucking vampires ruling our country." At another point, the 59-year old Ganapathi declared: "Those (government) sharks want to loot the wealth and drive the tribal people of the region to further impoverishment."

By threatening to unleash a "tornado" of violence if the Indian government went ahead with its planned large-scale offensive against his insurgent forces, Ganapathi has made the intentions of the Maoists obvious. Already, his men, and even some women cadres, have carried out actions that are now normally associated with the Taliban. They have kidnapped and beheaded government officials, blown up electricity and telephone towers, destroyed roads and railway tracks, killed political opponents and attacked police stations and other official installations. The offensive against the Naxalites will certainly weaken and deprive them of some of their bases and hideouts, but the issue cannot be resolved by the use of force alone. Many members of the Indian intelligentsia sympathise with the cause of the Maoists and objective analysts see it as an economic issue and one concerning lack of justice. The Indian ruling elite needs to tackle the root-cause of the insurgency instead of applying force through the state apparatus to crush the rebels.


I think Mr. Yousufzai, an independent journalist and reporter from Pakistan, has done a good job of reporting what he saw and heard in India and he has put it in context.

But predicting revolutions is hazardous business. In spite of studying historic causes of past revolutions, it's not any more accurate than predicting when and where the next big earthquake or hurricane will hit and what will happen in its aftermath.

Talking about Pakistan, the violence has reached new heights in recent days. The conditions have existed for a while and the triggers have been in place, and yet, it's not certain if what we are seeing now is indeed a revolution. There are still many questions as to whether the nation's political and military leadership can forestall a bloody revolution, by a combination of the use of force and appearance of reform to placate those violently protesting the tyranny of the status quo. After all, terrorism is often defined as a form of violent protest.

In India, too, conditions exist for a bloody revolution. But it's not certain what the trigger will be. It could be the growth of the Maoist movement and its spread from rural to urban India where it begin to be seen by Indian urban middle class and gets the attention of the world media. But it's by no means fait accompli. All depends on the ability of India's political leaders and its military's competency in forestalling it. But the jury is still out on these questions.


Haq's Musings: Bloody Revolution in India?
India’s poverty level falls to record 22%: Planning Commission - Livemint
@sabena siddiqi the truth is india's poverty is decreasing... not increasing.... it is Pakistan's poverty is increasing
Over half of Pakistan lives under poverty line: Dar - Pakistan - DAWN.COM
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Please provide a source of your these claims i have mentioned above
All of the above from Indiatimes news articles
World Bank Report and Stratfor.
And all the Naxal attacks are reported in Indian media.
You never saw all this anywhere before ;)
 
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