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The Modi Bounce

Bang Galore

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Indians Give Their Prime Minister and Economy High Marks, Worry about Crime, Jobs, Prices, Corruption

By Bruce Stokes

What a difference a couple of years can make. With a rising economic tide, a new captain at the helm and a buoyant public mood, the Indian ship of state has the wind at its back.

In late 2013, Indians were mired in dissatisfaction with the way things were going in their country. They were only moderately satisfied with economic conditions. And barely half had a favorable view of then-Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, a member of the long-ruling Indian National Congress party (INC).

In 2015, a year after an election swept the opposition Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) into power, public satisfaction with India’s direction has nearly doubled and pride in the country is up compared with findings from a Pew Research Center survey conducted in December 2013 and January 2014. Almost three-quarters of the public now think economic conditions are good. And about two-thirds have a very favorable view of current Prime Minister Narendra Modi. This high level of approval is two to three times that for other leading Indian politicians, according to a new 2015 Pew Research Center survey.

Modi’s appeal is a driving force behind this upsurge in Indians’ positive mood. Those who have a lot of confidence in Modi voice greater satisfaction with the direction of the country today than those with only some confidence in the prime minister. Respondents who have a lot of confidence in Modi also say the nation’s economic situation is very good.

And those who have a lot of confidence in Modi are more likely to expect the economic situation in India to improve a lot over the next 12 months.

Moreover, Modi’s aura has reinvigorated Indians’ faith in their government. About two-thirds of respondents who have a lot of confidence in the prime minister say the influence of the national government is now very good.

On the world stage, Indians still feel underappreciated. But their belief that India gets the respect it deserves is up 12 percentage points after Modi’s first year in office. Moreover, more than seven-in-ten of those surveyed express a lot of confidence in Modi’s handling of international relations.

The Modi phenomenon transcends India’s traditionally partisan politics. On most of the challenges facing the nation, the prime minister and his party enjoy support from both the BJP party faithful and followers of the opposition Congress party. Moreover, Modi and the BJP now have greater backing than Congress in rural areas, traditionally a Congress stronghold........


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1. The Modi Phenomenon
By Bruce Stokes



Prime Minister Narendra Modi is, by far, India’s most popular political figure. And the intensity of his support is much stronger than that enjoyed by other leading politicians. He enjoys robust backing among both his own party members and adherents of the opposition, and in rural areas as well as in cities.

Fully 87% of Indians say they have a favorable opinion of Modi. This backing is up from 78% in 2013, prior to his election as prime minister. (See this Pew Research Center survey for pre-election sentiment.) And this support is quite intense. Almost seven-in-ten Indians (68%) have a very favorable view of the BJP leader today.

Modi is popular across the demographic spectrum – to both men and women, and among all age groups, educational backgrounds and income levels. As might be expected, 94% of BJP followers support the leader of their party.

However, it is notable that 74% of backers of the rival Indian National Congress party (INC) also see Modi favorably. The difference is in the intensity of that support. More than eight-in-ten BJP partisans (83%) have a very favorable opinion of Modi. But only about four-in-ten Congress followers (41%) feel as strongly positive about the prime minister. Rural areas have not traditionally been a stronghold of BJP support; historically that has been the preserve of the Congress party. Yet Modi’s strongest backing now comes in rural areas: 89% living in the countryside see him favorably (73% very favorably) versus 84% of city dwellers (59% very favorably). Men (72%) are also more likely than women (64%) to voice intense enthusiasm.

Those who are satisfied with the direction of the country are more likely to have a lot of confidence in Modi than those who are dissatisfied with the country’s direction. And Indians who view the current economic situation as very good are more likely to have a lot of confidence in Modi than those who think the current economic situation is only somewhat good........

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The Modi Bounce | Pew Research Center
 
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of concern is the finding that only 25% approve the way Modi govt has dealt with Pakistan; a full 50% disapprove.

Does this mean the population wants to be more aggressive or more conciliatory? Modi govt should find out what is causing this anamoly.
 
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All 'cause of falling crude oil prices.. I still give zero out of ten to Modi! :coffee:
 
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of concern is the finding that only 25% approve the way Modi govt has dealt with Pakistan; a full 50% disapprove.

Does this mean the population wants to be more aggressive or more conciliatory? Modi govt should find out what is causing this anamoly.
Obviously Indians want Modi to be more tough with Pakistan.
 
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Half way through its term is the fair and reasonable time the govt needs to show its results. and we must wait for that. efforts inn some areas are really good, better coordination of PMO with various ministries is expected
 
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Summary by Pew:

Indians adore Modi
By Hani Zainulbhai


Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi speaks during a press conference in Canberra, Australia, on Nov. 18, 2014. (Photo credit: Mark Graham/AFP/Getty Images)

One year after history-making political change swept the country, Indians’ fervor for their leader Narendra Modi has not abated. A new poll in India shows the public’s views of the country’s direction and the economy are on the rise.

Even so, Indians continue to see problems in their daily lives and in foreign relations. Nevertheless, in advance of Modi’s visit to the United States later this month, Indians are confident in relations between the two countries. Here are some of the key findings from a new Pew Research Center report:


1 Indians are overwhelmingly more positive about their country than they were two years ago. More than half (56%) of Indians express satisfaction with their country’s direction – up 27 percentage points from 2013. And nearly three-quarters say the current state of the economy is good, whereas only 57% said so two years ago.

2 Indians’ love for Modi runs across the country.
Fully 87% of Indians have a favorable view of Modi, including a strong majority (68%) who see the prime minister very favorably. And among all respondents – men and women, the young and old, the urban and rural populations and members of the three national political parties – a majority holds very favorable views of the prime minister. One exception is supporters of the main opposition party, the Indian National Congress.

3 Environmental issues are a growing concern.
Indians express increasing concern about air pollution. Across seven national challenges, roughly three-in-four Indians say air pollution is a very big problem compared with about only half who voiced that view in 2014 – a rise of 22 percentage points. Coal, a major pollutant, accounts for approximately 71% of India’s electricity production, according to most recent statistics from the World Bank.

Furthermore, among seven global issues, Indians are most concerned about climate change. Over seven-in-ten Indians (73%) are very concerned about global climate change, compared with 49% who are concerned with global economic instability, the second-highest response.

4 Indians give a thumbs-up to the national government and the military.
The public’s support for the central government (93%) parallels its high support for Modi and his party, the Bharatiya Janata Party (both 87%). Since 2014, the government saw a 30 percentage point increase in those who say its influence is very good. And fully 95% say the military’s influence is good – with nearly three-quarters saying it is very good.

5 Indians have high opinions of the U.S. and President Obama.
Later this month, U.S. President Barack Obama and Indian Prime Minister Modi will meet in New York to discuss, among other issues, climate change – a top concern for Indians. Meanwhile, 70% of Indians hold a favorable view of the U.S., and ratings of Obama, who visited India in January 2015, are even higher, with nearly three-quarters of the public expressing confidence in him to do the right thing regarding world affairs.

Indians adore Modi | Pew Research Center
 
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