Pakistan cotton production fell from 10.6 m bales in 2014 to 6.2 m bales in 2019 and 6.3 m bales in 2020 (expected).
Market Year | Production | Unit of Measure | Growth Rate |
2010 | 8640 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -6.49% |
2011 | 10600 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 22.69% |
2012 | 9300 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -12.26% |
2013 | 9500 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 2.15% |
2014 | 10600 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 11.58% |
2015 | 7000 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -33.96% |
2016 | 7700 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 10.00% |
2017 | 8200 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 6.49% |
2018 | 7600 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -7.32% |
2019 | 6200 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -18.42% |
2020 | 6300 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 1.61% |
https://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/?country=pk&commodity=cotton&graph=production
This is a huge fall of 4.3 m bales.
A consistent fall in cotton cultivation area for the last seven years has eventually reduced crop production to little over 10 million bales this year from the bumper crop of 15m bales in 2011-12.
Almost 9m acres were under cotton cultivation in 2011-12. The sowing area steeply declined to 5.9m acres in 2018-19 as opposed to government estimates of 7.3m acres, but no successive governments took any action to arrest the situation, with the result that the country now relies on imported cotton to meet local demand.
Over the past few years, growers shifted from cotton to sugarcane due to various reasons — the most prominent being the political clout wielded by the sugar industry. Furthermore, growers preferred sugarcane as it is a less labour-intensive crop and the plant root stays for a minimum of three crops.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1455335
Ironically, cotton import is rising, 0.95 m bales in 2014 to 3.3 m bales in 2019 and 4.5 m bales in 2020.
Market Year | Imports | Unit of Measure | Growth Rate |
2010 | 1443 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -8.32% |
2011 | 900 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -37.63% |
2012 | 1800 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 100.00% |
2013 | 1200 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -33.33% |
2014 | 950 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -20.83% |
2015 | 3300 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 247.37% |
2016 | 2450 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -25.76% |
2017 | 3400 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 38.78% |
2018 | 2850 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | -16.18% |
2019 | 3300 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 15.79% |
2020 | 4500 | 1000 480 lb. Bales | 36.36% |
https://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/?country=pk&commodity=cotton&graph=imports
A huge rise of 2.35 m bales of cotton import.
“Unfortunately cotton production has been reduced to the extent that today the country has to import a substantial quantity of cotton by spending between $1-1.5 billion to meet domestic consumption of around 15m bales,”
It would be in the best interest of the country if the incumbent government chalks out a plan to increase cotton production or war footings and by increasing cultivation land for the cop and restricting other crops from replacing areas.
The new agriculture policy should ensure that sugarcane and wheat production should be brought down to the level to only to meet local consumption since surplus production of these two crops has to be exported by providing subsidies. Hence cotton production should be maximised and there should be exportable surplus since it never needed subsidy on exports.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1455335