Zarvan
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NEW DELHI: Pakistan could be reviving cross-border terrorism in India. Indian security sources say smaller jihadi groups in different parts of India, particularly southern India, are being "activated" with funds and material to work at short notice.
In fact, the blasts in a train in Chennai last week were interpreted by many in the Indian system as a "dry run". The intensity of the blasts was not enough to cause great damage but it could be practice for a later event. In Pakistan, they point to the reappearance of Maulana Masood Azhar of Jaish-e-Mohammed, a sign that groups like his have official sanction to start operations again. "It appears to be a situation where Pakistan is keeping its powder dry, waiting to see how Indian politics turns out in the coming months," said a source.
On the border, ceasefire violations are becoming routine as summer sets in, generally considered to be high terror activity time, especially in the months until September. With Pakistani home minister Nisar Ali Khan declaring that Narendra Modi would destabilize the region and army chief Gen Raheel Sharif appropriating Kashmir as Pakistan's "jugular vein", the Indian security establishment is interpreting these as signs that things could get hot again. What is clear is that Indians are being used to commit attacks, keeping the tag of "homegrown terror" alive, to maintain plausible deniability by Pakistan.
Their real fear seems to be centred on what happens if a terror attack takes place in the immediate aftermath of the elections. If, as is widely expected, the new government is headed by Modi, it could become a difficult situation. As Sushant Sareen of IDSA said, "It could put Modi in a commitment trap." It would be particularly difficult at a time when a new government has not yet had time to settle down, but there would be the euphoria of a victory, with a resultant pressure to retaliate.
Tamil Nadu train blast dry run for strikes in southern India? - The Times of India
@jarves @janon @nair @Areesh @A.Rafay @Alpha1 @Ravi Nair @OrionHunter @IND151 @he-man
In fact, the blasts in a train in Chennai last week were interpreted by many in the Indian system as a "dry run". The intensity of the blasts was not enough to cause great damage but it could be practice for a later event. In Pakistan, they point to the reappearance of Maulana Masood Azhar of Jaish-e-Mohammed, a sign that groups like his have official sanction to start operations again. "It appears to be a situation where Pakistan is keeping its powder dry, waiting to see how Indian politics turns out in the coming months," said a source.
On the border, ceasefire violations are becoming routine as summer sets in, generally considered to be high terror activity time, especially in the months until September. With Pakistani home minister Nisar Ali Khan declaring that Narendra Modi would destabilize the region and army chief Gen Raheel Sharif appropriating Kashmir as Pakistan's "jugular vein", the Indian security establishment is interpreting these as signs that things could get hot again. What is clear is that Indians are being used to commit attacks, keeping the tag of "homegrown terror" alive, to maintain plausible deniability by Pakistan.
Their real fear seems to be centred on what happens if a terror attack takes place in the immediate aftermath of the elections. If, as is widely expected, the new government is headed by Modi, it could become a difficult situation. As Sushant Sareen of IDSA said, "It could put Modi in a commitment trap." It would be particularly difficult at a time when a new government has not yet had time to settle down, but there would be the euphoria of a victory, with a resultant pressure to retaliate.
Tamil Nadu train blast dry run for strikes in southern India? - The Times of India
@jarves @janon @nair @Areesh @A.Rafay @Alpha1 @Ravi Nair @OrionHunter @IND151 @he-man
