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Tension in Kashmir as separatist leader Sajjad Lone stands in election
From The TimesMay 13, 2009
Rhys Blakely in Mumbai
Hopes for a political settlement in Indian-controlled Kashmir were lifted yesterday when a separatist leader stood in a general election for the first time since a bloody insurgency erupted in the region 20 years ago.
The disputed Himalayan territory voted on the final day of Indias month-long election. With the first exit polls showing no outright winner, the stage is now set for a frantic round of political horse trading to decide the countrys next government after the results become known on Saturday.
Sajjad Lone, 42, stood in Baramulla, a constituency renowned as a hotbed of militancy close to Indias border with Pakistan. Although he insisted that fighting elections is a change of strategy and not ideology, he was branded a traitor by rival separatists who called for a boycott of the polls.
Kuldip Nayar, a political analyst, said: This candidate is a straw in the wind. If he wins, more separatists may follow suit. The danger is that hard-core extremists are forced to become even more extreme.
Ajit Doval, a former director of Indias Intelligence Bureau, told The Times that Pakistans powerful Directorate of Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) would be among those wrongfooted if Kashmiris chose to pursue their aims through the ballot box.
He said that the ISI had consistently backed militant groups fighting Indian forces in Kashmir during the insurgency that has claimed at least 47,000 lives.
Kashmir was one of seven states and two union territories to vote in the largest democratic poll yet held. Neither of Indias two main parties is expected to win the 272 seats required to secure a majority and Congress, which leads the ruling coalition, and the Hindu nationalist BJP will have to court regional and caste-based parties to win power.
Three women are tipped to emerge as king-makers in that process. Mayawati, a controversial politician who has courted Indias Dalit (Untouchable) community, is expected to control up to 40 of Parliaments 543 seats. Jayalalithaa Jayaram, a former Bollywood singer who leads the opposition state government in Tamil Nadu, is expected to wield up to 30. Mamata Banerjee, an anti-industrialist firebrand from West Bengal, could win 15.
Also key will be Indias Communists, who control a Left bloc expected to win at least 40 seats. They may stand in the way of the reappointment of Manmohan Singh, the Prime Minister, after he forced through a deal that gave India access to civil nuclear technology from the US last year. The Left said that the deal made India a lackey of the West and withdrew its support from Congress, which nearly forced the collapse of the Government.
Most predictions and early exit polls have Congress slightly ahead of the BJP after both parties launched campaigns that gave priority to attacks on rivals.
Tension in Kashmir as separatist leader Sajjad Lone stands in election - Times Online
From The TimesMay 13, 2009
Rhys Blakely in Mumbai
Hopes for a political settlement in Indian-controlled Kashmir were lifted yesterday when a separatist leader stood in a general election for the first time since a bloody insurgency erupted in the region 20 years ago.
The disputed Himalayan territory voted on the final day of Indias month-long election. With the first exit polls showing no outright winner, the stage is now set for a frantic round of political horse trading to decide the countrys next government after the results become known on Saturday.
Sajjad Lone, 42, stood in Baramulla, a constituency renowned as a hotbed of militancy close to Indias border with Pakistan. Although he insisted that fighting elections is a change of strategy and not ideology, he was branded a traitor by rival separatists who called for a boycott of the polls.
Kuldip Nayar, a political analyst, said: This candidate is a straw in the wind. If he wins, more separatists may follow suit. The danger is that hard-core extremists are forced to become even more extreme.
Ajit Doval, a former director of Indias Intelligence Bureau, told The Times that Pakistans powerful Directorate of Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) would be among those wrongfooted if Kashmiris chose to pursue their aims through the ballot box.
He said that the ISI had consistently backed militant groups fighting Indian forces in Kashmir during the insurgency that has claimed at least 47,000 lives.
Kashmir was one of seven states and two union territories to vote in the largest democratic poll yet held. Neither of Indias two main parties is expected to win the 272 seats required to secure a majority and Congress, which leads the ruling coalition, and the Hindu nationalist BJP will have to court regional and caste-based parties to win power.
Three women are tipped to emerge as king-makers in that process. Mayawati, a controversial politician who has courted Indias Dalit (Untouchable) community, is expected to control up to 40 of Parliaments 543 seats. Jayalalithaa Jayaram, a former Bollywood singer who leads the opposition state government in Tamil Nadu, is expected to wield up to 30. Mamata Banerjee, an anti-industrialist firebrand from West Bengal, could win 15.
Also key will be Indias Communists, who control a Left bloc expected to win at least 40 seats. They may stand in the way of the reappointment of Manmohan Singh, the Prime Minister, after he forced through a deal that gave India access to civil nuclear technology from the US last year. The Left said that the deal made India a lackey of the West and withdrew its support from Congress, which nearly forced the collapse of the Government.
Most predictions and early exit polls have Congress slightly ahead of the BJP after both parties launched campaigns that gave priority to attacks on rivals.
Tension in Kashmir as separatist leader Sajjad Lone stands in election - Times Online