Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527412578397433857

 

[Paul2]

Russians keep pushing Popasna, Severodonetsk

Ukrainians keep holding, and withdrawing from where they can't suppress enemy artillery.

Kharkiv region, more regrouping. Ukrainians decided to take remaining villages slowly, preserving soldiers.

Sumy - crossborder shelling, crossborder skirmish. Attempted infiltration by Russian specops suspected. Russian specops platoon retreated behind the border.

 

[PakFactor]

@PakFactor

It's a double edged sword taking Russian funds to pay Ukraine for reconstruction -- because what about the rest that was unnecessarily destroyed due to Western interference? This could set a precedence as the video mentioned violating private property rights, just because someone is close to someone and you take there assets. As for the Marshall Plan, good luck with inflation and all and we could be headed into a recession type situation down the road.

 

[F-22Raptor]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527397291145019400

 

[Paul2]

If you seen fee maps going around, Russians have more units north of Severodonetsk, but in fact the net amount of forces is bigger south to it. There are fever units, but more troops.

Forces in Izyum are ones who were pushed there from Kiyv, or after 1st, or even 2nd RnR.

Russian forces attacking from Popasna, are much more fresh, since they didn't fight much besides Marioupol, or skirmishes during first hours of the war, and they largely preserved their artillery, or even got extra from reserves.

As I said, it's still 6-7 freaking field armies. The fight will last until autumn as both sides got depleted, and heavy weapons are still nowhere in sight besides puny 100 m777

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527393917800431624

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527396126877442050

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527398133587759105

The artillery of the 100th brigade of the army of the Donetsk People's Republic, correcting the fire with the help of a drone received from the Veche, destroys and puts to flight tanks and infantry of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Avdiivka direction.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527388362167832581

 

[Oldman1]

Training and familisation is a problem.

Patriot is a very complicated system, more or less like how AGEIS system work, it would take an average Ukrainian weeks, if not months of training to be able to use it.

Few weeks, they better get started learning then, we don't know how long this war will be, can't assume its going to be over before Ukrainians start learning.

Another issue is export control, US does not want to lose sensitive information on their system, which is most tech supplied are stripped of essential tech, you can't really strip the essential system on a Patriot....

Hence why I suggested they put in locations that's far from Russian controlled territory and protect more vital assets like in Western Ukraine like Odessa and Lviv and other locations. Why else Russians keep lobbing cruise missiles there. Or maybe China can provide their SAM system just like they delivered to Serbia. But I kid on that one.


True, maybe even help build their Neptune missiles besides their artillery. focus on breaking that blockade as well as making a land attack version of the Neptune. Should help increase the range. Also don't know if Poland or other countries can build SAMs like the S-300 besides radar and missiles to replace those fired or destroyed.

About logistic, Russia still can't hit anywhere in Ukraine at any time, Logistic is not really an issue here, but I think Ukrainian would need to focus on Civilian-Military effort on Logistic. Maybe they will do it in their 4th round of TDF intake. Giving the first round is trained to Defend, second round is trained as replacement of loss combat power, 3rd round is train on counter offensive, probably 4 th round are trained to supplies and logistic? I don't know.

About logistic, Russia still can't hit anywhere in Ukraine at any time, Logistic is not really an issue here, but I think Ukrainian would need to focus on Civilian-Military effort on Logistic. Maybe they will do it in their 4th round of TDF intake. Giving the first round is trained to Defend, second round is trained as replacement of loss combat power, 3rd round is train on counter offensive, probably 4 th round are trained to supplies and logistic? I don't know.

I was more referring to having trucks and vans than more about people that can drive them. The Ukrainian troops need constantly supplies for defending as well as launching counter offensive.

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527398133587759105

 

[F-22Raptor]

If you seen fee maps going around, Russians have more units north of Severodonetsk, but in fact the net amount of forces is bigger south to it. There are fever units, but more troops.

Forces in Izyum are ones who were pushed there from Kiyv, or after 1st, or even 2nd RnR.

Russian forces attacking from Popasna, are much more fresh, since they didn't fight much besides Marioupol, or skirmishes during first hours of the war, and they largely preserved their artillery, or even got extra from reserves.

As I said, it's still 6-7 freaking field armies. The fight will last until autumn as both sides got depleted, and heavy weapons are still nowhere in sight besides puny 100 m777

The new $40B package will last Ukrainian forces until the end of the year. The Ukrainians are getting a lot of fresh weaponry, and likely more advanced with MLRS coming.

 

[Oldman1]

It sounds like MLRS systems M270 or M142 HIMARS could be included in new weapons packages for Ukraine.

It's more like should. It would help drastically.

 

[The SC]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527384030882037760

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527371601666363392

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527366250032029696

 

[Oldman1]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527283385131048960

 

[F-22Raptor]

It's more like should. It would help drastically.

Those systems will be a nightmare for the Russians. That’s a lot of accurate firepower at significant range that the Russians will struggle to counter due to their mobility.

 

[Oldman1]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527268286072856576

https://twitter.com/x/status/1527243589310455808

 

[Nuclear Clown]

Youre saying France will nuke Russia if Russia attackes Finland? What makes you believe the French are dumb?

If you wanna play the nuke game there is really one nation that has enough of them to destroy Russia, and that is The USA. Russia would of course retaliate and destroy USA too.
In fact Russia has enough nukes to totally destroy France and UK, which are the only nuclear powers in Europe. But neither of them have enoug nukes to destroy Russia completley.

You don't get what the 3rd gen stealth that was mounted onboard the M51.3 SLBM is!!!

it simply absorbs ANY type of radar waves, including from OTHRs like the 29B6 Konteyner. It's in service since June 2020 for the M51 missile. Rafale F4 receives this too and so will the ASN4G hypersonic nuclear cruise missile...
So, what happens? No detection from where it comes before the MIRVs are released... This is no 200 seconds warning, it's 20 to 30s and it's a bit too late to order retaliations in case of first strike... Moreover, go figure who launched, how it did happened... Who knows, it may even be launched from Iranian territorial waters, some unloaded missiles with stealth off may even be launched towards Israel and USA : you just need to read Khamenei's Twitter to conclude he's totally bonkers...
With such a tool, we can absolutely play dirty.

Moreover, France LIES about its nuclear stockpile, I'm well placed to know this: the public is only told about the peace-time "active" nukes : this means those ready to be launched 24/7/365 in retaliation for a surprise attack, so this means the 2 SSBNs that are permanently at sea with 16 M51.3 SLBMs, each having 10 MIRVs...
Following Popovs' nuclear threats, guess what? The 4 subs are at sea and the ASMPA-R Mach-3 ALCMs have been deployed... Aren't there some Rafales in the Baltic states? ASMP ranged 300km+, ASMPA ranged 500km+, ASMPA-R has seen its range extended (likely 750-800km now) and, how funny, France did another test on March 23rd 2022...

Then, you know, there is no need to fully destroy Russia!!! The 3 quarters of the country are near empty :

So, you know, with 640 MIRVs and 58 ALCMs, knowing that the French ones are often confused with neutron-bombs due to enhanced radiation effect that implies that the lethality is multiplied by 10, so, e.g. a 100 kt will send ad patres as much ppl as if it was an 1 megaton one, except that instead of being immediately wiped out by the thermal effect, they will suffer a slow and painful death by ARS while survivors will be slowly eaten by cancer... It's even nastier is case of surface blast as the ground materials that are neutron-activated will be way more radio-active, in case of surface blast, the fallouts would look like Chernobyl's Red Forrest in May 1986, except this intensity would spread to about 5000km²+ for a 100kt and to 10,000km²+ for a 300kt while you can double-triple the area for the edge of 1 rad/h zone. Pay a visit to Pripyat and the guide will tell you to move away from the area when it barely radiates 0.05 rad/h. OK, at 1 rad/h you would only start to puke and defecate in your pants after a week, you'll only be a castrated zombie after 2 weeks and reach a lethal dose after a month, and, any way, even at 0.1rad/h, the area is FUBAR...
Now you surely know that in order to please the ecologists, French govt. publishes nuclear dismantlement, don't you? Take the Hades which was similar to the Iskander, except there were two per TEL and the TEL looked like a normal truck:

On 23 June 1997 the last of the Hadès missiles was destroyed... Now, if all the cold war IRBMs on the Plateau d'Albion etc, were dismantled, I've NEVER read about the dismantlement of the 452 Cold War era city-buster warheads between 800 kt and 1.2 Mt, but one thing for sure : the 250kg payload of the MdCN is enough for 1 megaton, the 450kg payload of the SCALP is enough for 1.8 megaton

So, you know, it makes no difference if Russia can fully destroy the UK, France or the USA: the only difference is that Russians will die slowly, first symptoms will be a headache like they never had, then diarrhea and puking and I prefer not speaking about further effects of ARS, so, you know what? I definitively prefer being at the receiving end of the Tsar-Bomba than by a TNO (Tête Nucléaire Océanique) or by a TNA (Tête Nucléaire Aéroportée) and not being wiped out due to the rather moderate yield and the even less destructive surface burst, because I know about the totally insane levels of radiations and fallouts that will be released...

Then, some more fun : Map of French NPPs:

Near all French NPPs have 4x 3817 MWth reactors, sometimes only two... In Chernobyl, there were 4x 3200 MWth reactors and only one was blown up... Just nuke the area where I live, get 4.77x the Chernobyl disaster as a special prize I can tell you that the Chernobyl fallouts did their world tour several times, just like Céline Dion
Moreover, EDF owns the biggest stockpile of enriched uranium, and this is not including the 30t+ of mil-grade plutonium which is assuredly stored in a military facility... My 2 cts that if these end in a nuke's fireball, there won't be any need for these to reach the critical mass to detonate, you know, same effect as a thermonuclear when you have a double flash Now I can't tell about the exact effect but with such a quantity, the only thing that is certain, it'd make the Tsar Bomba look like a joke, so... maybe...

There's something dumber than nuking Russia : it's nuking France because it's the most nuclear country on the planet...

And, another point for fun? Ever heard about the CERN https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CERN
You surely know that it's the #1 antimatter production + storage facility and that they allegdly have already opened two tiny wormholes for short time, but, IDK if it's still on their Facebook page,, but there once was this in the pictures...

Some feared they may create a blackhole by accident while using the LHC. They said it can't happen as an accident, they didn't said that it can't happen at all... And the LHC is dug enough deep to withstand direct nuke blasts, so, you know, Putler can have as many nukes he wants

Why limiting yourself at destroying Russia when you can do a nicer fireworks?

Frankly? Who wants to live in Mordor with a Putler (or uncle-Xi) posing as Sauron and with orcs everywhere?