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Continuing its selling momentumfrom the previous day, the stock market registered a decline of over 700 points on Friday, just hours after the government raised fuel prices.
At 11:44am, the KSE-100 index shed 711.84 points against the previous day's close of 42,237.91 to fall to 41,526.07.
According to analysts, the bearish trend in the stock market today is a result of the government's decision to increase the prices of petroleum products by Rs30 per litre and its announcement of securing a determination from the power regulator for about Rs8 per unit increase in electricity rates for the next fiscal year starting July 1.
The developments were announced by Finance Minister Miftah Ismail in a late-night press conference on Thursday in a bid to finalise a deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The rise in fuel prices and power tariffs via the removal of subsidies introduced by the PTI government is one of the main prerequisites that the incumbent coalition government needs to meet for the resumption of the $6 billion IMF programme, which has been stalled since April.
The PTI government had announced a four-month freeze (until June 30) on petrol and electricity prices on February 28 as part of a series of measures to bring relief to the public.
At the time, and even after coming into power last month, the PML-N and other parties part of the new coalition government had severely criticised Imran Khan's government for "derailing" the IMF programme through unfunded fuel subsidies. But despite being at the helm for over a month, these parties had not reversed the subsidies until May 26, when the government had raised the prices of petroleum products by Rs30 per litre after delaying the decision for long.
Last night, it raised the fuel prices by another Rs30, with Ismail saying that while the inevitable decision would increase inflation and create problems for people but the government could not let the country go bankrupt because of the wrong decisions of the previous government as international prices were going up.
But while "this overnight fuel price increase brings us closer to resuming the much-needed IMF programme, it means pain and demand compression at the micro-level", explained Raza Jafri, head of Intermarket Securities, a local brokerage firm.
"Existing holders have been rotating out from cyclical sectors while new investors are still shying away. Stocks are falling on low volumes," he told Dawn.com.
Meanwhile, Aba Ali Habib Securities' head of research Salman Naqvi identified multiple other factors that contributed to the bearish trend at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX).
The "market is under pressure due to uncertainties [...] at political and economic fronts, the shifting of ratingto negative from a stable position by Moody's, skyrocketing inflation, rising interest rate on treasury bills and delay in the IMF", he said while speaking to Dawn.com.
According to a report by Mettis Global — a web-based financial data and analytics portal — the country widening trade deficit is also a reason behind the low investor confidence.
Data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics show that the country's merchandise trade deficit widened by an alarming 57.85 per cent year-on-year to an all-time high at $43.33 billion during the first 11 months of 2021-22 through May on the back of higher-than-expected imports.
At 11:44am, the KSE-100 index shed 711.84 points against the previous day's close of 42,237.91 to fall to 41,526.07.
According to analysts, the bearish trend in the stock market today is a result of the government's decision to increase the prices of petroleum products by Rs30 per litre and its announcement of securing a determination from the power regulator for about Rs8 per unit increase in electricity rates for the next fiscal year starting July 1.
The developments were announced by Finance Minister Miftah Ismail in a late-night press conference on Thursday in a bid to finalise a deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The rise in fuel prices and power tariffs via the removal of subsidies introduced by the PTI government is one of the main prerequisites that the incumbent coalition government needs to meet for the resumption of the $6 billion IMF programme, which has been stalled since April.
The PTI government had announced a four-month freeze (until June 30) on petrol and electricity prices on February 28 as part of a series of measures to bring relief to the public.
At the time, and even after coming into power last month, the PML-N and other parties part of the new coalition government had severely criticised Imran Khan's government for "derailing" the IMF programme through unfunded fuel subsidies. But despite being at the helm for over a month, these parties had not reversed the subsidies until May 26, when the government had raised the prices of petroleum products by Rs30 per litre after delaying the decision for long.
Last night, it raised the fuel prices by another Rs30, with Ismail saying that while the inevitable decision would increase inflation and create problems for people but the government could not let the country go bankrupt because of the wrong decisions of the previous government as international prices were going up.
But while "this overnight fuel price increase brings us closer to resuming the much-needed IMF programme, it means pain and demand compression at the micro-level", explained Raza Jafri, head of Intermarket Securities, a local brokerage firm.
"Existing holders have been rotating out from cyclical sectors while new investors are still shying away. Stocks are falling on low volumes," he told Dawn.com.
Meanwhile, Aba Ali Habib Securities' head of research Salman Naqvi identified multiple other factors that contributed to the bearish trend at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX).
The "market is under pressure due to uncertainties [...] at political and economic fronts, the shifting of ratingto negative from a stable position by Moody's, skyrocketing inflation, rising interest rate on treasury bills and delay in the IMF", he said while speaking to Dawn.com.
According to a report by Mettis Global — a web-based financial data and analytics portal — the country widening trade deficit is also a reason behind the low investor confidence.
Data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics show that the country's merchandise trade deficit widened by an alarming 57.85 per cent year-on-year to an all-time high at $43.33 billion during the first 11 months of 2021-22 through May on the back of higher-than-expected imports.
PSX sheds over 700 points after painful fuel price hikes
Price hike's a step towards resumption of IMF facility, but it also "means pain, demand compression at micro-level", says analyst.
www.dawn.com
