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Pakistan And IMF At Loggerheads Over CPEC Data : Global : Business Times

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Pakistan And IMF At Loggerheads Over CPEC Data : Global : Business Times


Pakistan is at odds with a visiting staff-level delegation from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) over the true extent of Pakistan's financial exposure under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).

The IMF team consisting of members of the Lending Policy Division wants access to contract details of CPEC projects as a prelude to a proposed bailout package. It raised the issue of the CPEC deals during a recent meeting with the Ministry of Planning and Development (MPD).

Instead of detailed reports about CPEC projects, however, what the IMF got from the Pakistanis was an "overview of the macroeconomic outlook and progress on the CPEC initiative," according to sources privy to the talks. The Pakistani panel negotiating with the IMF is led by Federal Minister for Planning, Development and Reform Makhdoom Khusro Bakhtiar.

The IMF staff-level delegation led by Mission Chief Harald Finger is ostensibly sizing-up Pakistan's macroeconomic situation. It seems keen on finding more about the contract agreements of energy projects under CPEC. Bakhtiar, however, didn't release any information, saying that only the Ministry of Energy can do so.

The IMF seems particularly concerned about Pakistan's ability to service its massive debt associated with CPEC. In 2016, it conducted an in-depth report of CPEC as part of Article-IV consultations.

The IMF report revealed that CPEC infrastructure and transport projects are financed by long-term concessional government borrowings from China. CPEC projects in the energy sector involve foreign direct investments and commercial borrowing from Chinese financial institutions, either by majority foreign-owned joint ventures or Chinese investors.

The size of the CPEC investments has ballooned to $60 billion from $46 billion (when CPEC got off the ground in 2014) due to the inclusion of new projects.

Pakistan has rejected criticism of its growing indebtedness to China on account of CPEC. It affirms its share of the CPEC loans is only $6 billion, or 6.3% of the total outstanding external debt of $95 billion as of June 30.

CPEC deals are "open and transparent," said a statement from the Ministry of Finance. In addition, the IMF delegation was informed that 22 projects worth $28.6 billion are under various phases of implementation in CPEC, said Hasaan Daud Butt, CPEC project coordinator.

Authoritative sources said the government of Prime Minister Imran Khan is under no obligation to reveal details of CPEC contracts to a third party such as the IMF, especially since without a formal arrangement with the IMF. They pointed out that disclosing Chinese financing deals under CPEC is one of the disadvantages of seeking an IMF bailout program.

Its worsening current account deficit almost ensures Pakistan will seek another bailout from the IMF. On Sept. 27, Pakistan shared revised economic growth estimates and other macroeconomic indicators with the IMF delegation visiting the country for week-long talks that might lead to a new bailout.

Economists said the IMF staff-level visit might be a prelude to formal bailout talks, but Islamabad has strenuously denied it wants another bailout package from the IMF to deal with its ballooning current account deficit.

Last week, the Khan administration lowered the country's GDP growth estimate to around 5.2 percent this year from the original target of 6.2 percent. It said a dearth of funds and low outputs in agriculture and manufacturing are among the reasons for the faster than an anticipated slowdown of the economy.

Economists said the deceleration of Pakistan's economy for the first time in six years will negatively impact job growth and the quality of life among Pakistanis.

The Khan administration is also said to be assessing options to arrange $11 billion in loans to deal with current account deficit problems. Among the options are the IMF bailout program; Chinese financial assistance and the purchase of oil on deferred payments from Saudi Arabia.

http://en.businesstimes.cn/articles/103611/20181002/pakistan-imf-loggerheads-over-cpec-data.htm
 
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IMF can not force any country to divulge details of its dealings with other countries .
 
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IMF can not force any country to divulge details of its dealings with other countries .
If it is foreign or defence affairs, IMF can't do that. But in case of economic matters, debt level, feasibility of economic projects, IMF reserves the right to ask for details. IMF can even ask countries to manage its economic affairs better, cancel loss making or excessive costing projects and prune debt levels.

IMF is only asking Pakistan to reveal the viability of the projects and debt of CPEC. If China is giving grants/aid to Pakistan, then there is no need to reveal it. But, loans have to be revealed
 
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CPEC is being renegotiated.
this is false narrative ... the actual situation is that at the time of CPEC agreements in 2005 it was agreed b/w Pak-China that all projects would be reviewed after every 5 years which both of the previous governments of Pakistan ignored during their tenure.

A review is due and in principal its is decided to review the projects now Assad Umar has already in an interview said that new projects would focus on capacity development, secondly Sheikh Rasheed just yesterday announced that under CPEC railway was supposed initiate a $ 8.2 billion project but after review they have bring it down to $ 6.2 billion, so media (specially international media) is creating a hype and false narrative against the CPEC at the time when second phase of the CPEC is under consideration with focus on new priorities.
 
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The real problem of IMF loans is that IMF will ask Pakistan to reveal imports of defence goods and ask Pakistan to cut down on defence to ensure economy is in good shape and unnecessary money is not sent out. Since Pakistan imports defence goods of over $2 billion dollars a year, the forex outgo in that will be definitely scrutinised by IMF.

The real problem with IMF loans is in the defence deals part. The import of submarine, corvette, gunship etc from China will all be asked to reduced.
 
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IMF can not force any country to divulge details of its dealings with other countries .

But any lender would want to know the assets and liabilities of a potential debtor, specially one as large as this, on a country level, to ensure repayment. Besides, going to IMF is a voluntary choice made by the country, not anyone else, and one that has not been made by the new government yet.
 
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