On the verge of war: India and Pakistan again in the conflict over Kashmir
Heart of Aranne 03/03/2019
For the first time in many years, India has responded to terror attacks on its territory in an air strike deep inside Pakistan that has reignited the conflict over control of the Muslim region
Indian Air Force Fighters Wikipedia
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When the Indian pilot Abhindan Wertman returned from Pakistani captivity last Friday, the sigh of relief in the West could be heard. The Washington Post gave the pilot credit for preventing war between India and Pakistan, two states with proven nuclear capability and a complex history of relations with the United States and the West.
After nearly fifty years of quiet periods ravaged by local flare-up in the Kashmir border region, this time India and Pakistan warmed up engines for a real war like it has not been since 1971, but then they did not enjoy nuclear power and the ability to destroy each other.
As far as India is concerned, there is no doubt that Pakistan has driven the escalation. On February 14, a suicide bomber belonging to the Mohammed Army blew himself up in a convoy of Indian security vehicles in Kashmir. It was the worst attack in Kashmir in thirty years, and it was clear that the Indians would respond with unusual force. In the eyes of the Indians, the 'Muhammad Army' is an organization established, funded and trained by the Pakistani security forces and intelligence in order to embitter the lives of India in Kashmir.
Embedded video
BBC Breaking News
✔
@BBCBreaking
The moment Indian fighter pilot Abhinandan Varthaman crosses Pakistan border, following his release two days after his jet was shot down over Pakistan-administrated Kashmir http://bbc.in/2TmvVi0
4,584
March 1, 2019
1,978 people talk about it
Information and privacy about Twitter ads
One Indian government minister announced its decision to divert the waters of the Chenab River and actually dry Pakistan, but it was clear that the Indian public and the Indian media were not satisfied with future and speculative actions and demanded immediate and open military action against Pakistan.
On February 26, India attacked the organization's bases deep in Pakistan, about 150 kilometers from Islamabad. India has broken a long-standing policy of ensuring that its responses to pro-Pakistani terrorism in its territory will be within the borders of the Kashmir conflict area and not outside it.
Almost a war
Kashmir is the only country in the Indian Federation with a Muslim majority. In 1947 the British divided the Indian sub-continent on a religious basis, thus establishing independent India and Pakistan, but Kashmir remained an exception. After a short war between India and Pakistan, most of the Muslim population of Kashmir found itself under Indian rule. Pakistan, for its part, has managed to capture some remnants in western Kashmir, and has never reconciled itself to Indian rule in the region.
Google Maps
After decades of conflict in which the boundaries of power between the two countries were within the disputed region, Indian planes bombed and humiliated Pakistan deep in its territory. Thus, for the first time since the eruption of the separatist conflict in Kashmir in the late 1980s, both countries thought war was preferable to the existing situation.
The day after the Indian offensive escalated the situation between the two countries. India and Pakistan knew battles between them, hidden and open, but air battles were an exceptional event that had not taken place for decades. This time, Pakistan had the upper hand. The Pakistani F-16s managed to knock down a MiG-21 and blow up the Indian pilot. India claimed that it succeeded in landing a Pakistani plane, but the image of the captive pilot overshadowed its claims.
The Pakistani response to the Indian demand to return the pilot lowered the flames, creating a situation in which each country can present significant achievements in its own home. Pakistan reminded the Indians that it had a strong and skilled army, and that a total conflict between the two countries could cost India dearly, and India hit Pakistan deeply in its territory and created new norms in the war on terror without paying the price of all-out war without international condemnation.
Israel's name also rose during the conflict. India bombed the bases of the Muhammad Army with Raphael's Spike missiles, and Rafael's Spider systems protected India from Pakistani espionage. But Israel was not only mentioned in the context of defense exports to India, but also in providing a more aggressive Indian security concept in the struggle against Pakistan.
The bomb on the enemy's rear is considered an Israeli brand in India. The severe attack in Kashmir has increased the pressure on Prime Minister Moody to give up the diplomatic praise that India would recom- mend if it acted in moderation and to act in the Israeli system that fights terror at all costs and everywhere. The editor of a news website in India asked simply: Can India respond to terrorism like Israel ?, and in another newspaper they wrote that the world powers, including Israel, are behind India in its fight against Pakistani terrorism
Articles hostile to Israel and to the Indian vein also emphasized the Israeli aspect of the conflict, and even hinted that Israel is an actor encouraging escalation in the Indian-Pakistani conflict. Robert Fisk, the veteran correspondent of the British Independent in the Middle East, sees the fingerprints of Israeli defense exports to India on Indian assertiveness toward Pakistan, and another pro-Palestinian article compared the new Indian policy toward Pakistan to Gadi Eizenkot's Dahiya Doctrine.
One of the most interesting statements came from the chief of staff and exiled Pakistani president Mushraf, who urged Pakistan to recognize the State of Israel and improve relations between the two countries in order to cool the Israeli affair with India. Pakistan's attitude to Israel has always been complex and along with open hostility, WikiLeaks documents have revealed to us that Pakistan secretly warned Israel against terrorist attacks on India a decade ago.
Intermediate goals
The most dangerous round of fighting between India and Pakistan ever invites the question of where the conflict is going, and whether in the foreseeable future there can be a solution to the conflict in Kashmir. AG Nurani is one of the most prominent scholars in India when it comes to Kashmir. Norani noticed that even when India was at the height of its power, in the balance and easily defeated the Pakistanis in battle, Pakistan did not give up Kashmir.
Even when India was at a low after the defeat of China in 1962 or the late 1980s with the collapse of the Soviet bloc, it did not give up on Kashmir. In other words, according to Nouri, as long as India and Pakistan are independent and sovereign states, the Kashmir issue will not be resolved.
In a triangle between India, Pakistan and the Kashmiris, Indians will not give up Kashmir and be seen as another country within the Indian Federation. The Pakistanis, on their part, will not agree to recognize the line of control - which is the cease-fire border 70 years ago - as an international border. And the Kashmiris will not agree to the division of Kashmir between India and Pakistan (indeed, according to the polls, at least three-quarters of the Kashmiri Muslims in India prefer an independent state to any other option).
Moody and former Prime Minister Paxtin Sharif in 2014 | Wikipedia
In the absence of a visible solution, each side will attempt to achieve intermediate goals. The Kashmiris will continue to try to be an independent international player, and will discover that in the absence of a significant military capability or a nuclear threat, they have become a conflict that the world has forgotten for most of the time. The Kashmiri secular forces, which once demanded independence from India, were defeated by the internal struggle against Islamist forces, thereby losing the appetite of Western countries to change the existing status quo.
Pakistan will try to 'Palestinize' the conflict in Kashmir, that is, try to nationalize it by a measured escalation of the situation. For the Pakistanis, the Palestinian conflict is an imitation model that has won international attention. International meetings have been convened on the Palestinian issue, seeking solutions to the problem. In the Kashmir conflict on the other hand, Pakistan finds itself quite alone most of the time.
Even the Organization for Islamic Cooperation (OIC) is indifferent to the Kashmir issue. Last May the organization met in Bangladesh and the issue of Kashmir was barely mentioned, but the hostess advanced a proposal to include India as an observer in the organization. Thus, during the crisis, the Indian foreign minister was invited to address the conference of foreign ministers in Abu Dhabi, and the issue of Kashmir was absent from the final document published yesterday. Pakistan's announcement that it would boycott the meeting if invited by the Indian foreign minister also made a marginal impression on the organization.
In the absence of a diplomatic horizon to challenge India's control of the region, Pakistan hopes that a 'successful' attack could create an Indian entanglement in Kashmir that would also weaken the right-wing regime and bring back the previous rules of the game. The Pakistanis still have dividends from the years when Pakistan and its army were the loyal allies of the West, and India put its eggs in the failed Soviet basket; They trust their own army, which by the way is an inciting anti-Indian element in Pakistani politics.
The limits of power
The Indians will invest their best efforts in portraying Pakistan as a terrorist state and as a state. The goal is to take advantage of India's economic and political power and leave Pakistan with only one ally - China, which also has taken the Kashmiri territory.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D0lbornU0AAR_6q?format=jpg&name=900x900
Indians see Pakistan as an artificial state and have been fantasizing for two decades about its dissolution into several political entities, as happened in 1971 with the defeat of Pakistan by the Indian army and the establishment of Bangladesh. The Indian prime minister has already threatened Pakistan that he would encourage secessionists in Aluchim, Pakistan, if it challenges India in Kashmir. Meanwhile, Moody lashes out on his left rivals for delaying the huge deal to buy French fighter jets for false accusations of corruption and bribery in a deal with the French.
The downing of the plane will help the army and give Indian politicians greater immunity to media that requires war after attacks in Kashmir. The image of the captive pilot is also a picture of India's borders of power in a general military confrontation with Pakistan. India is facing elections and raising the security issue on the agenda is likely to serve Prime Minister Moody, even if the military results in the recent conflict were complex and even painful.
Israeli defense exports to India may also benefit from the crisis in Kashmir, and not only because of a possible arms race in India and Pakistan. Already nearly half of Israel's defense exports are exported to India, but one of India's conditions is a partnership in the Make in India program that requires production within India. When the Spike missile deal with Rafael was canceled in late 2017, the tension between the Indian army's desire to acquire the most advanced military technology and the desire of the Indian government to use defense imports to require production in India and strengthen India's capabilities as a manufacturing power was revealed.
The army of India has in the past been forced to purchase inferior security equipment for similar reasons. This program - which is Moody's baby makes defense exports to India more complex. India emerged from the recent Kashmir crisis with a more determined desire to translate economic and political supremacy into military supremacy, and it is possible that in vital security projects the desire to receive a quality product will outweigh the desire to raise defense imports to upgrade India's economy.
https://mida.org.il/2019/03/03/על-סף-מלחמה-הודו-ופקיסטן-שוב-בעימות-על/
translted by google from hebrew
Heart of Aranne 03/03/2019
For the first time in many years, India has responded to terror attacks on its territory in an air strike deep inside Pakistan that has reignited the conflict over control of the Muslim region
Indian Air Force Fighters Wikipedia
He squeaked
send to a friend
share over
When the Indian pilot Abhindan Wertman returned from Pakistani captivity last Friday, the sigh of relief in the West could be heard. The Washington Post gave the pilot credit for preventing war between India and Pakistan, two states with proven nuclear capability and a complex history of relations with the United States and the West.
After nearly fifty years of quiet periods ravaged by local flare-up in the Kashmir border region, this time India and Pakistan warmed up engines for a real war like it has not been since 1971, but then they did not enjoy nuclear power and the ability to destroy each other.
As far as India is concerned, there is no doubt that Pakistan has driven the escalation. On February 14, a suicide bomber belonging to the Mohammed Army blew himself up in a convoy of Indian security vehicles in Kashmir. It was the worst attack in Kashmir in thirty years, and it was clear that the Indians would respond with unusual force. In the eyes of the Indians, the 'Muhammad Army' is an organization established, funded and trained by the Pakistani security forces and intelligence in order to embitter the lives of India in Kashmir.
Embedded video
BBC Breaking News
✔
@BBCBreaking
The moment Indian fighter pilot Abhinandan Varthaman crosses Pakistan border, following his release two days after his jet was shot down over Pakistan-administrated Kashmir http://bbc.in/2TmvVi0
4,584
March 1, 2019
1,978 people talk about it
Information and privacy about Twitter ads
One Indian government minister announced its decision to divert the waters of the Chenab River and actually dry Pakistan, but it was clear that the Indian public and the Indian media were not satisfied with future and speculative actions and demanded immediate and open military action against Pakistan.
On February 26, India attacked the organization's bases deep in Pakistan, about 150 kilometers from Islamabad. India has broken a long-standing policy of ensuring that its responses to pro-Pakistani terrorism in its territory will be within the borders of the Kashmir conflict area and not outside it.
Almost a war
Kashmir is the only country in the Indian Federation with a Muslim majority. In 1947 the British divided the Indian sub-continent on a religious basis, thus establishing independent India and Pakistan, but Kashmir remained an exception. After a short war between India and Pakistan, most of the Muslim population of Kashmir found itself under Indian rule. Pakistan, for its part, has managed to capture some remnants in western Kashmir, and has never reconciled itself to Indian rule in the region.
Google Maps
After decades of conflict in which the boundaries of power between the two countries were within the disputed region, Indian planes bombed and humiliated Pakistan deep in its territory. Thus, for the first time since the eruption of the separatist conflict in Kashmir in the late 1980s, both countries thought war was preferable to the existing situation.
The day after the Indian offensive escalated the situation between the two countries. India and Pakistan knew battles between them, hidden and open, but air battles were an exceptional event that had not taken place for decades. This time, Pakistan had the upper hand. The Pakistani F-16s managed to knock down a MiG-21 and blow up the Indian pilot. India claimed that it succeeded in landing a Pakistani plane, but the image of the captive pilot overshadowed its claims.
The Pakistani response to the Indian demand to return the pilot lowered the flames, creating a situation in which each country can present significant achievements in its own home. Pakistan reminded the Indians that it had a strong and skilled army, and that a total conflict between the two countries could cost India dearly, and India hit Pakistan deeply in its territory and created new norms in the war on terror without paying the price of all-out war without international condemnation.
Israel's name also rose during the conflict. India bombed the bases of the Muhammad Army with Raphael's Spike missiles, and Rafael's Spider systems protected India from Pakistani espionage. But Israel was not only mentioned in the context of defense exports to India, but also in providing a more aggressive Indian security concept in the struggle against Pakistan.
The bomb on the enemy's rear is considered an Israeli brand in India. The severe attack in Kashmir has increased the pressure on Prime Minister Moody to give up the diplomatic praise that India would recom- mend if it acted in moderation and to act in the Israeli system that fights terror at all costs and everywhere. The editor of a news website in India asked simply: Can India respond to terrorism like Israel ?, and in another newspaper they wrote that the world powers, including Israel, are behind India in its fight against Pakistani terrorism
Articles hostile to Israel and to the Indian vein also emphasized the Israeli aspect of the conflict, and even hinted that Israel is an actor encouraging escalation in the Indian-Pakistani conflict. Robert Fisk, the veteran correspondent of the British Independent in the Middle East, sees the fingerprints of Israeli defense exports to India on Indian assertiveness toward Pakistan, and another pro-Palestinian article compared the new Indian policy toward Pakistan to Gadi Eizenkot's Dahiya Doctrine.
One of the most interesting statements came from the chief of staff and exiled Pakistani president Mushraf, who urged Pakistan to recognize the State of Israel and improve relations between the two countries in order to cool the Israeli affair with India. Pakistan's attitude to Israel has always been complex and along with open hostility, WikiLeaks documents have revealed to us that Pakistan secretly warned Israel against terrorist attacks on India a decade ago.
Intermediate goals
The most dangerous round of fighting between India and Pakistan ever invites the question of where the conflict is going, and whether in the foreseeable future there can be a solution to the conflict in Kashmir. AG Nurani is one of the most prominent scholars in India when it comes to Kashmir. Norani noticed that even when India was at the height of its power, in the balance and easily defeated the Pakistanis in battle, Pakistan did not give up Kashmir.
Even when India was at a low after the defeat of China in 1962 or the late 1980s with the collapse of the Soviet bloc, it did not give up on Kashmir. In other words, according to Nouri, as long as India and Pakistan are independent and sovereign states, the Kashmir issue will not be resolved.
In a triangle between India, Pakistan and the Kashmiris, Indians will not give up Kashmir and be seen as another country within the Indian Federation. The Pakistanis, on their part, will not agree to recognize the line of control - which is the cease-fire border 70 years ago - as an international border. And the Kashmiris will not agree to the division of Kashmir between India and Pakistan (indeed, according to the polls, at least three-quarters of the Kashmiri Muslims in India prefer an independent state to any other option).
Moody and former Prime Minister Paxtin Sharif in 2014 | Wikipedia
In the absence of a visible solution, each side will attempt to achieve intermediate goals. The Kashmiris will continue to try to be an independent international player, and will discover that in the absence of a significant military capability or a nuclear threat, they have become a conflict that the world has forgotten for most of the time. The Kashmiri secular forces, which once demanded independence from India, were defeated by the internal struggle against Islamist forces, thereby losing the appetite of Western countries to change the existing status quo.
Pakistan will try to 'Palestinize' the conflict in Kashmir, that is, try to nationalize it by a measured escalation of the situation. For the Pakistanis, the Palestinian conflict is an imitation model that has won international attention. International meetings have been convened on the Palestinian issue, seeking solutions to the problem. In the Kashmir conflict on the other hand, Pakistan finds itself quite alone most of the time.
Even the Organization for Islamic Cooperation (OIC) is indifferent to the Kashmir issue. Last May the organization met in Bangladesh and the issue of Kashmir was barely mentioned, but the hostess advanced a proposal to include India as an observer in the organization. Thus, during the crisis, the Indian foreign minister was invited to address the conference of foreign ministers in Abu Dhabi, and the issue of Kashmir was absent from the final document published yesterday. Pakistan's announcement that it would boycott the meeting if invited by the Indian foreign minister also made a marginal impression on the organization.
In the absence of a diplomatic horizon to challenge India's control of the region, Pakistan hopes that a 'successful' attack could create an Indian entanglement in Kashmir that would also weaken the right-wing regime and bring back the previous rules of the game. The Pakistanis still have dividends from the years when Pakistan and its army were the loyal allies of the West, and India put its eggs in the failed Soviet basket; They trust their own army, which by the way is an inciting anti-Indian element in Pakistani politics.
The limits of power
The Indians will invest their best efforts in portraying Pakistan as a terrorist state and as a state. The goal is to take advantage of India's economic and political power and leave Pakistan with only one ally - China, which also has taken the Kashmiri territory.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D0lbornU0AAR_6q?format=jpg&name=900x900
Indians see Pakistan as an artificial state and have been fantasizing for two decades about its dissolution into several political entities, as happened in 1971 with the defeat of Pakistan by the Indian army and the establishment of Bangladesh. The Indian prime minister has already threatened Pakistan that he would encourage secessionists in Aluchim, Pakistan, if it challenges India in Kashmir. Meanwhile, Moody lashes out on his left rivals for delaying the huge deal to buy French fighter jets for false accusations of corruption and bribery in a deal with the French.
The downing of the plane will help the army and give Indian politicians greater immunity to media that requires war after attacks in Kashmir. The image of the captive pilot is also a picture of India's borders of power in a general military confrontation with Pakistan. India is facing elections and raising the security issue on the agenda is likely to serve Prime Minister Moody, even if the military results in the recent conflict were complex and even painful.
Israeli defense exports to India may also benefit from the crisis in Kashmir, and not only because of a possible arms race in India and Pakistan. Already nearly half of Israel's defense exports are exported to India, but one of India's conditions is a partnership in the Make in India program that requires production within India. When the Spike missile deal with Rafael was canceled in late 2017, the tension between the Indian army's desire to acquire the most advanced military technology and the desire of the Indian government to use defense imports to require production in India and strengthen India's capabilities as a manufacturing power was revealed.
The army of India has in the past been forced to purchase inferior security equipment for similar reasons. This program - which is Moody's baby makes defense exports to India more complex. India emerged from the recent Kashmir crisis with a more determined desire to translate economic and political supremacy into military supremacy, and it is possible that in vital security projects the desire to receive a quality product will outweigh the desire to raise defense imports to upgrade India's economy.
https://mida.org.il/2019/03/03/על-סף-מלחמה-הודו-ופקיסטן-שוב-בעימות-על/
translted by google from hebrew
this is how the world works 
