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NDA ahead of UPA, Modi top choice as PM: Survey

Marxist

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New Delhi, Sep 6 (IANS) The BJP-led NDA has a clear edge over the UPA in terms of support base if Lok Sabha polls were held now and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's performance is rated below that of his government, says a opinion survey released Friday.

According to the latest survey conducted by ABP News-Nieslen, Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi is leading the race for the post of prime minister.

"If the Lok Sabha elections were to be held now, 40 percent respondents intend to vote for NDA (National Democratic Alliance) and only 27 percent would vote for UPA (United Progressive Alliance)," said a release.

These release said that survey data could be a major setback for Manmohan Singh as his performance has been rated "below average." It said people in north zone have rated his performance even poorer.

"Prime minister's performance is rated below UPA-II government's performance," it said.

It said the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) emerges as a clear winner across all zones (more so in north and west zones) and gender. Major support is seen gained from younger lot (18-30 years). Congress, however, is neck and neck with BJP in the southern zone.

The survey said more than 60 percent have rated Modi's performance "as good/very good". Modi is chief of BJP's campaign committee for the Lok Sabha elections and seen to be its prime ministerial candidate.

"Narendra Modi is leading the race (47 percent) for prime minister followed by Rahul Gandhi and Manmohan Singh. Modi is popular among voters from north, younger generation and affluent sections," it said.

"Across all zones except South, Narendra Modi emerges as the clear choice of the people for the position of Prime Minister of India. In south zone, it is neck and neck between Narendra Modi and Rahul Gandhi," it said.

It said majority of the respondents all across feel that Modi should be BJP's prime ministerial candidate for the 2014 Lok Sabha elections

"In a scenario, where it a competition between Priyanka Gandhi and Modi, BJP seems to be gaining more than Congress, even greater that it would have gained had it been some other candidate from Congress," the survey said.

The survey said 40 percent of those surveyed feel Manmohan Singh was responsible for poor economic situation of the country, but in the south, 45 percent feel that it is Finance Minister - P. Chidambram who is responsible.

The release said that a major fraction (42 percent) of people in north zone were unhappy with the performance of UPA-II.

The release said that at an overall level, people were in support of food security bill with 48 percent feeling that it is a step in the right direction.

The survey said that people feel that both Congress and BJP "were equally responsible for communalization of politics".

http://in.news.**********/nda-ahead-upa-modi-top-choice-pm-survey-172803850.html
 
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Delhi: According to the latest survey conducted by ABP News-Nieslen, if the Lok Sabha elections were to be held now, 40% respondents intend to vote for NDA and only 27% would vote for UPA.

36% respondents would vote for BJP & 22% would vote for Congress if general elections were to be held now.

These statistics observed from the respondents could be a major setback for PM Manmohan Singh as his performance has been rated below average; people in North zone have rated his performance even poorer.

Prime Minister's performance is rated below UPA-II government's performance.

BJP wins support (36%); higher in North (48%) and among youngsters (40%) and affluent (44% among SEC A).

Mixed response on UPA II performance; North zone and older generation (51+) are the unhappiest lot.

40% respondents feel that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is responsible for poor economic situation of the country. In south Zone 45% feel that it is Finance Minister - P. Chidambram who is responsible.

BJP emerges as a clear winner across all zones (more so in North and West zones) and gender. Major support is seen gained from younger lot (18-30 years). Congress, however, is neck and neck with BJP in the Southern zone.

Major fraction (42%) of people in North zone are unhappy with the performance of UPA-II. People in age group 51+ years seem to be least happy with UPA-II, and this could be the reason for increase in margin of votes (from 3% in favour of BJP in 2009 to 8% now in favour of BJP) for BJP and INC amongst 51+ years age group.

Across zone, gender and age people have rated Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's performance slightly below UPA-II government's performance.At an overall level people are in support of Food security Bill and (48%) feel that it is a step in the right direction

Modi leading the race for PM post

More than 60% have rated Gujarat CM Narendra Modi's performance as good/ very good; much higher among younger age group and affluent. His performance is rated much higher among people from Gujarat.

People feel that both Congress and BJP are equally responsible for communalization of politics (29%)

Narendra Modi is leading the race (47%) for Prime Minister followed by Rahul Gandhi (18%) and Manmohan Singh (14%). Modi is popular among voters form North, younger generation and affluents.

Gujarat's Chief Minister has a strong support base not just in West Zone (70% rated his performance as 'Very good' or 'Good') but across other zones as well, with an overall mean score of 3.9

79% of respondents in Gujarat have rated Narendra Modi's performance as 'Very good' or 'Good', with a mean score of 4.3.

Across all zones except South, Narendra Modi emerges as the clear choice of the people for the position of Prime Minister of India. In South zone, it is neck and neck between Narendra Modi and Rahul Gandhi.

Majority of the respondents all across feel that Narendra Modi should be BJP's Prime Ministerial candidate for the 2014 Lok Sabha elections.

Narendra Modi seems to have a greater magnetic power than Priyanka Gandhi.

In a scenario where it a competition between Priyanka Gandhi and Narendra Modi, BJP seems to be gaining more than Congress, even greater that it would have gained had it been some other candidate from Congress vs Modi, but we also observe no change in support base of Congress.

BJP is likely to retain its own voters to a large extent (90%) , additionally it seems that BJP would be able to attract voters of other parties as well (18%), in the hypothetical situation where Narendra Modi is leading BJP and Priyanka Vadra is leading the Congress party.

The complete field work was carried out in the period between Aug 20-23, 2013 for ABP News-Nielsen survey. Total 8976 respondents were surveyed across 28 cities. The target respondent was male/female who is an eligible voter with age 18 years & above and their name registered in the voter's list.

NDA ahead of UPA if polls held now, Modi top choice for PM: ABP News-Nielsen Survey
 
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The complete field work was carried out in the period between Aug 20-23, 2013 for ABP News-Nielsen survey. Total 8976 respondents were surveyed across 28 cities. The target respondent was male/female who is an eligible voter with age 18 years & above and their name registered in the voter's list.


In cities this result is along expected line ............wish someone would do field work in rural India and publish the result. That would then complete the picture and give us an Idea of thing to come.
 
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In cities this result is along expected line ............wish someone would do field work in rural India and publish the result. That would then complete the picture and give us an Idea of thing to come.

It would be worst in rural area. They are worst effected by CONgrASS. Just think man, in cities where people have good infra, facilities and earning sources as compared to villagers, they have still chosen Modi. My personal view.
 
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All this is fine, but these are city surveys and the government is even today chosen by the non urban areas. What do they think?

It would be worst in rural area. They are worst effected by CONgrASS. Just think man, in cities where people have good infra, facilities and earning sources as compared to villagers, they have still chosen Modi. My personal view.

You are wrong. Rural areas have their own dynamic and people are more likely to vote for their caste etc compared to urban. That dilutes the impact of real issues. Also the kind of money congress currently has access to, they have the $$$ power to influence rural areas.

I don't think a richer party has gone to elections before, congress will seriously use that dough they have accumulated over the last decade.
 
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