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Mikhail Gorbachev visited China in 1989 and found a revolution looming. What he saw changed history
By Stan GrantAugust 31 2022
Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping believed Mikhail Gorbachev failed by putting political reform ahead of economic change.(AFP: Catherine Henriette)
Deng Xiaoping thought Mikhail Gorbachev was an idiot.
We know this because Deng's son, Deng Zhifang, said so.
Deng looked at Gorbachev, who died today aged 91, and saw failure. Gorbachev was swept up in the forces that drove the collapse of the Soviet Union, Deng made sure the Chinese Communist Party would survive.
Gorbachev, reacting to internal pressures, external revolt and economic crisis, showed his hand, opening up the secretive, closed system. Deng hid his intentions and bided his time.
The trajectory of our world was set in 1989. The year the Berlin Wall came down and the year Deng Xiaoping took a brutal decision to change the course of his country.
The two men's paths would cross.
A storm was brewing
In May 1989, Mikhail Gorbachev visited Beijing. It was the first visit by a Soviet leader in 30 years.It was part of a rapprochement between the communist powers. Yet a storm was brewing.
As Deng and Gorbachev met, the LA Times reported:
Gorbachev was alarmed. He saw a revolution looming. Some in the Soviet leader's delegation wondered if they were normalising relations with dead men."The talks Monday and today have been largely overshadowed by continuing student protests in Tian An Men Square outside the Great Hall. About 50,000 people were gathered in the square this morning as the meeting between Deng and Gorbachev began and thousands more were marching toward the centre of Beijing in the fourth day of a hunger strike that has grown to include more than 2,000 students demanding a dialogue with Chinese leaders on ways to expand democracy here."
Of course they would think that. Revolution was in the air across Europe as democracy movements grew in Poland, Hungary, and Czechoslovakia. In Romania, Nicolae Ceausescu would be ousted.
Soldiers held back protesters at the Great Hall of the People while Deng and Gorbachev met inside on May 16, 1989. (AFP: Toshio Sakai)
The year before his visit to China, Gorbachev was feted at the United Nations in New York. He toured the citadel of capitalism posing for his photo under a neon Coca-Cola sign.
Gorbachev addressed the United Nations about a new world — a world where old enmities and ideological division must be put aside.
As he said to thunderous applause: "The world has changed, and so have the nature, role and place of these relations in world politics."
Deng got to America a decade before Gorbachev. He also took in the sites, visiting a rodeo, listening to Willie Nelson and meeting Henry Kissinger.
US President Jimmy Carter welcomes Deng Xiaoping to the White House in 1979.(Wikimedia)
While Deng was in the United States, pro-democracy forces were gathering back in China.
Deng faced a fork in the road. Mao Zedong — the great revolutionary leader — was dead and after years of Mao's iron fist, Communist party leaders were debating new ideas.
Unlike Gorbachev, Deng would not tear down his system to try to save it. He returned from America determined to beat the West at its own game.
As Deng said: "If we can't grow faster than the capitalist countries, then we can't show the superiority of our system."
A choice between two roads
Deng began to release the Communist grip on the market economy, especially in rural areas. Special economic zones were established that welcomed foreign investment.Pressures were building in the country: inflation and inequality. There were calls for faster reform and inevitably greater freedom.
Some Chinese protesters in Tiananmen Square welcomed Gorbachev as a hero. (AFP: Catherine Henriette)
The year 1989 was a flashpoint. Gorbachev was riding the waves of history. Deng looked as though he could be swallowed by them.
Some of the Chinese protesters in Tiananmen Square welcomed the Soviet leader as a hero.
There were two roads: the Gorbachev road of political reform and the Deng road of political force.
Gorbachev rejected the China road. As he told his entourage: "I do not want the Red Square to look like Tiananmen Square."
What a moment, two titans of the Communist movement eyeballing each other across a table.
Gorbachev felt history was with him. Deng sought to bend history to his will.
We know now that Deng ordered his troops to massacre the Tiananmen protesters.
Two men, two countries
Should Gorbachev have been as ruthless? Could he have saved the Soviet Union?One of Gorbachev's aides, Georgy Shakhnazarov, said his leader "lacked the guts to have his Tiananmen".
As Vladislav Zubok writes in his book, Collapse: The Fall of the Soviet Union, Deng "preferred brute force to reclaim the 'mandate of heaven'."
Of course, it is not as simple as just comparing two men; two countries. They each faced different pressures.
China's economy was less industrialised and there was a great energy to be unleashed in rural reform.
Gorbachev was facing multiple threats. As Zubok says in 1989, Gorbachev and his followers "have no map, their compass is broken".
Deng believed Gorbachev failed by putting political reform ahead of economic change. He put the "cart before the horse".
History tells us who won.
In November '89 the Berlin Wall came down. By 1991, the Soviet flag was lowered in Red Square for the last time.
In 1989, China and the Soviet Union took different paths. History shows who won
Mikhail Gorbachev was swept up in the forces that drove the collapse of the Soviet Union, while Deng Xiaoping made sure the Chinese Communist Party would survive, writes Stan Grant.
www.abc.net.au