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Mamata Banerjee implicates RAW in Burdwan explosion

Ok I am talking about center. WB may have some other equations.

A few things are going in favour of BJP:

1. When the Sarda and other ponzi schemes were exposed, Mamta took 5 ministers' names including her own and questioned the critics if they are thieves, now 2 of them have been arrested, 1 is sitting in a hospital to avoid imminent arrest, and last 2 are waiting for their turns, this is a huge blow to her 'clean' image.

2. Bengal politics didn't used to work on communal lines, but she has polarized the electorate in her quest to secure muslim votebank with mindless crude appeasement politics, this will help BJP.

3. Burdwan incident further consolidated BJP's position.

4. Infighting within tmc is another challenge.

5. Those goons who used to 'do the vote' for cpm have now doing it for tmc by terrorizing people, they are helping tmc to some extent by rigging the elections, but people are increasingly viewing tmc like the way they see cpm, so they are moving to BJP even in muslim majority areas.

Plus points for tmc are:

1. They have done some work in rural Bengal that cpm didn't do, so they have some support base there, remember, elections results in Bengal is decided by rural Bengal.

2. They have got a major chunk of the significant muslim votes. That vote along with 15-20% of other votes can give them a clear majority.

3. Opposition votes are fragmented, cpm will still take away some votes, congress will take away some votes, now bjp will take away some votes, others will have their own share, tmc had a near clean sweep with some 38% votes, cpm used to win elections because of this only.

4. BJP has its own serious problems, weak leadership, weak organizational strength, weak grass root level presence in every village/panchayat/para level, rural Bengal won't vote for them if people are not convinced that bjp can actually save them on the ground from pre & post election violence by the rulling party, a sad but hard reality of Bengal politics. :(

I have heard that bjp might help mim to fight election in Bengal to fracture muslim votebank, is it true @SarthakGanguly ? :)
 
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It wont be enough if only Mamta dies!!In that case that Harami ka pilla Madan Mitra would succeed her we need.The CBI needs to arrest Madan as well and than TMC would be over. . . .
 
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I have heard that bjp might help mim to fight election in Bengal to fracture muslim votebank, is it true @SarthakGanguly ? :)
Your assessments are correct, barring one. In rural Bengal, BJP has made some serious inroads. One of the reason why I no longer bash Bengalis. :D No seriously, even apart from the urban middle and high, the support for BJP is growing among the poorer people as well. This is especially true in the border districts. I got this report during the Assembly elections, now not sure. :P But considering the wind direction, things must only have gotten better. For us that is. :D

MIM is actually trying to get in. If it does, it will be a death knell for Mamta. But considering the already volatile situation in Bengal, it's introduction may cause considerable unrest ...at least in the long term. At times there are folks here wishing they go there and steal the votebank of Mamta(trust me, if they do go, most of the 'secular' Muslims will vote for MIM instead of Mamta). But then it might be a big price to pay...considering the location of Bengal(beside Bangladesh). Let's see.
 
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Not that group..... some other group, i saw it in a news channel clip, i am not sure if it was kannur or palakkad....

The other group was taken back in presence of N.T.Ramesh ...... I also read that news .

I was just interested about NVM coming back ....... with that name how can they be a part of LDF .
 
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A few things are going in favour of BJP:

1. When the Sarda and other ponzi schemes were exposed, Mamta took 5 ministers' names including her own and questioned the critics if they are thieves, now 2 of them have been arrested, 1 is sitting in a hospital to avoid imminent arrest, and last 2 are waiting for their turns, this is a huge blow to her 'clean' image.

2. Bengal politics didn't used to work on communal lines, but she has polarized the electorate in her quest to secure muslim votebank with mindless crude appeasement politics, this will help BJP.

3. Burdwan incident further consolidated BJP's position.

4. Infighting within tmc is another challenge.

5. Those goons who used to 'do the vote' for cpm have now doing it for tmc by terrorizing people, they are helping tmc to some extent by rigging the elections, but people are increasingly viewing tmc like the way they see cpm, so they are moving to BJP even in muslim majority areas.

Plus points for tmc are:

1. They have done some work in rural Bengal that cpm didn't do, so they have some support base there, remember, elections results in Bengal is decided by rural Bengal.

2. They have got a major chunk of the significant muslim votes. That vote along with 15-20% of other votes can give them a clear majority.

3. Opposition votes are fragmented, cpm will still take away some votes, congress will take away some votes, now bjp will take away some votes, others will have their own share, tmc had a near clean sweep with some 38% votes, cpm used won elections because of this only.

4. BJP has its own serious problems, weak leadership, weak organizational strength, weak grass root level presence in every village/panchayat/para, rural Bengal won't vote for them if people are not convinced that bjp can actually save them on the ground from pre & post election violence by the rulling party, a sad but hard reality of Bengal politics. :(

I have heard that bjp might help mim to fight election in Bengal to fracture muslim votebank, is it true @SarthakGanguly ? :)
The real problem in Bengal or atleast what I have been able to make out from and friends is that the BJP and the Congress had totally given up on Bengal owing to the Left rule for the 34 long years otherwise it is absolutely impossible that after Dr. Bidhan Roy no other leaders could emerge from any other party . Moreover the BJP given the uncertainty of mandate at the national level always banked on Mamta to pledge support to the BJP in case of NDA formation.Given this scenario the people had no other option other than Mamta who had been most vocal against the left all this while.Had the BJP played the same proactive role that its playing of late they could have been in power.As far as the leadership issue is concerned Rahul Sinha has the capacity to play a decisive role.Moreover BJP already has won seats under Samik Bhattacharya in Muslim strongholds like Basirhaat,a constituency where they constitute 65% of the population.Given all this things are looking pretty bright for the BJP.
 
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The other group was taken back in presence of N.T.Ramesh ...... I also read that news .

I was just interested about NVM coming back ....... with that name how can they be a part of LDF .

NVM is going to find it difficult to come back......
 
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