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Japan goes ever Deeper into Southeast Asia

Aepsilons

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SAVANNAKHET, Laos—Japanese companies are turning to Southeast Asia's frontier markets in search of cheaper labor, stepping into territory that until now has been firmly in China's sphere of influence.

Take Savannakhet, a town on the banks of the Mekong river where eight Japanese companies have recently started operations. They include camera-lens producer Nikon Corp. 7731.TO -0.87% and a Toyota 7203.TO -1.61% group auto-component maker.

Laos, an impoverished country of seven million people run by a small Communist elite, is a close ally of Beijing. China is a top aid donor and by far the largest investor in the country, with interests in mining, hydropower and agriculture.

Japan wants to change this equation. The industrial estate just outside Savannakhet is part of a Japan-funded master plan in Laos that includes a bridge over the Mekong to Thailand and the upgrading of a highway to the border with Vietnam.

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Several workers for KP Beau Lao Co. in Savannakhet, Laos, turned out children's toys for Bandai Co. of Japan earlier this month. Warangkana Chomchuen/The Wall Street Journal

"This country has a possibility to be a transportation hub for our company," said Hiroshi Yamamoto, a Laos-based manager at a Japanese firm which produces camera parts for Nikon at the industrial estate.

It is an example of how Japan is leveraging aid and investment in Southeast Asia to counterbalance China's growing clout in the region. Vietnam received $1.7 billion in aid from Japan in 2012, the most it gave to any country and up two-thirds from the previous year. Japan is ramping up aid to Cambodia, Myanmar and Laos—traditional allies of China—albeit from a low base.

The push comes at a time when disputes over territory and wartime history have worsened ties between Japan and China and deepened divisions in the region.

"Clearly, hedging against China is now a major consideration in Japanese aid," said David Potter, a professor at Japan's Nanzan University who is an expert on Japan's official overseas disbursements.


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A senior Japanese trade official acknowledged that Tokyo views aid as a way of breaking China's pre-eminence in poor nations like Cambodia and Laos. "We are hoping to see indigenous industries grow in these countries, so they can stand on their own, and become less dependent on China," the official said.

Japan's push is mimicking its strategy in Thailand in the 1980s and 90s, when Japan helped finance a big buildup of Thailand's infrastructure. Japanese companies from auto makers to electronics firms now account for over two-thirds of foreign investment in Thailand.

That effort was driven by economic concerns, but also worked to bind the countries closer together: Thailand has remained an ally of Japan as tensions have mounted in the region around China's increasing territorial assertiveness.

Now, the frontier markets of Laos and Cambodia offer Japanese companies a cheaper alternative to both Thailand and China itself. Average salaries in Thailand have risen by around 40% since a minimum-wage increase two years ago, and worker shortages are common.


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Few Japanese companies say they will leave Thailand, a major export hub, but they are increasingly looking to move labor-intensive businesses to neighboring countries.

"We were looking for a way to reduce production costs, but we also needed to locate near Thailand," said Toshiko Watanabe, a spokeswoman for automobile-component maker Denso Corp. 6902.TO -1.03% , which last year opened a production facility in Cambodia.

There are limits to the trend, and size matters: Thailand benefited massively along with Indonesia, another big consumer market, when Japan hastily shifted investment away from China after anti-Japanese riots there in 2012. Japanese firms invested around $10 billion in Thailand last year, a record, according to Japan's Finance Ministry.

Vietnam, a large nation of 92 million people that—like Japan—is involved in territorial disputes with China, attracted almost $3 billion in investment, up by a half from 2012. Meanwhile, smaller countries like Cambodia and Laos are likely to remain appendages to Thailand's supply chain.

Japanese firms are eager to make inroads in Myanmar, which has been looking to reduce its dependence on China. Tokyo has provided funds for the development of an industrial zone south of Yangon, but the country's huge infrastructure hurdles limit investment plans.

Japanese investment in Cambodia last year, for instance, was $127 million, up three-quarters on 2012, but still relatively small. Chinese firms invested 10 times more in Cambodia than Japanese companies between 2005 and 2012 and over four times more in Laos, according to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.

The push isn't problem-free. Some Japanese firms complain that workers in Laos and Cambodia, predominately agrarian economies, often leave factory jobs at harvest time. Others work to earn money to go back to school.

"The biggest challenges in Cambodia are recruitment and employee retention," said Yasuo Komine, a spokesman for Minebea Co. 6479.TO -1.55% Ltd., a Japanese maker of motors and ball bearings. The company set up a factory in Cambodia recently, where over 6,000 workers complete simple tasks like gluing components onto motors.

China, too, is digging in. Last year, Chinese President Xi Jinping announced plans to launch a new Asian infrastructure bank, a potential rival for the Japan-dominated Asian Development Bank, which so far has coordinated efforts to improve infrastructure in Southeast Asia. China is also involved in plans for high-speed rail links to connect Yunnan province with Laos and Thailand.

Still, in Laos, government officials say they are excited about the uptick in interest. Pledged Japanese investment in the country jumped to $406 million in 2013 from $27.5 million in 2012, and exceeded Japanese government aid for the first time, according to Motoyoshi Suzuki, a Japanese economic official who is advising the Laotian government.

Mr. Suzuki's data include investment from Japanese companies' subsidiaries in Thailand and other countries. They are higher than estimates by Japan's Finance Ministry, which comprise only realized outlays from firms' Japan headquarters.

"The cost in Laos is a third of that in China," said Hoshi Hiroyuki, managing director at a Japanese-Lao joint venture that makes children's toys at the Savannakhet industrial estate.

Toyota Boshoku Corp. 3116.TO -1.37% recently began making seat covers in Savannakhet, which it sends to Toyota Motor Corp.'s main auto-production facilities in Thailand.

"Suppliers for cars and small- and medium-size businesses are studying the Laos option very seriously," said Bounthavy Sisouphanthong, vice minister at Laos' Planning and Investment ministry.



http://online.wsj.com/articles/japan-inc-goes-deeper-into-southeast-asia-1411953543
 
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Lao can handle Only small scale. They will do rice farming yearly. When the farming season comes, you face lack of workers problem. Also, transportation cost for assemble plants when majority of Japan industry is in Thailand.
Now that car industry ecology in Thailand is about to complete. Thai do support industry like jig,fixtures, back cover for trucks, etc. There is no point to invest in Lao or Myanmar. Cambodia or VN is much better but Thailand has the most Japanese 2nd language speaking population.
 
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Maybe establishing factories in SEA for products like... things related to Japanese pop-culture as most of them are made in China.
 
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This is what I'm talking about !

Lao can handle Only small scale. They will do rice farming yearly. When the farming season comes, you face lack of workers problem. Also, transportation cost for assemble plants when majority of Japan industry is in Thailand.
Now that car industry ecology in Thailand is about to complete. Thai do support industry like jig,fixtures, back cover for trucks, etc. There is no point to invest in Lao or Myanmar. Cambodia or VN is much better but Thailand has the most Japanese 2nd language speaking population.

Japan will not be migrating services from Thailand to Laos; just offshoring some small scale manufacturing (non-automaton) to Laos which will be more cost-effective for us. Lao workers also are significantly cheaper than Thai workers. Salary of 1 Thai = 3 Lao
 
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Japan is eyeing Thailand for use as a trade hub and is happy the Kingdom is changing its regulations to facilitate the setting up of an international trading headquarters in the country, according to a Thai deputy prime minister.


After a meeting yesterday with Shigekazu Sato, the Japanese ambassador to Thailand, Pridiyathorn Devakula said he had given the ambassador an update on the massive Dawei deep-sea port and industrial-estate project in Myanmar.

The deputy PM said he also told Sato that this country was in the process of upgrading its Regional Operating Headquarters into an international trading headquarters.

"The Japanese ambassador asked whether we were going to build an international trading headquarters here and I told him yes. We are going to do it because Thailand is a big manufacturing country that has expanded many production bases to various countries and we have numerous products to offer.

"But we've never had an international trading headquarters in the country because we have so many tax and non-tax regulations, which have to be amended to increase our competitiveness against Singapore, Hong Kong and Malaysia."

Pridiyathorn said the government would change those regulations to match neighbouring countries so large corporations set up trading headquarters in Thailand, which would increase cross-border trading activities and in turn generate more income for the country.

Pridiyathorn, a former Bank of Thailand governor, also serves as economic adviser to the military regime. He said his agency was working on proposals to change the regulations, which were expected to be complete in two weeks before being presented to the Cabinet. There were many regulations in various ministries to amend.

Regarding the Dawei project, he said it was entering the "full phase" of Phase 1 but Phase 2 had yet to begin because Thailand was waiting to hear back from Myanmar. Thailand had no objection to that and was willing to talk to Myanmar about the second phase.

He said Japan was ready to join the second phase after the first phase was done but it would be up to Myanmar to decide when talks on this began, because the project was in its territory.

In terms of government bonds, Pridiyathorn said the government was still compiling numbers and was waiting for the subcommittee handling the matter to figure out the total debt from the overthrown elected government's rice-pledging scheme before closing the account.

That was being done so the government knew how many bonds needed to be issued to cover the debt.

After the first day of the regime's own populist scheme of direct subsidies to farmers, Pridiyathorn said everything went smoothly. This was because the Interior and Agriculture and Cooperatives ministries had sent representatives to monitor the disbursements with local authorities to make sure the money got into the accounts of registered farmers.

Japan's envoy tells deputy PM he favours world trade HQ in Thailand - The Nation
 
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Lion’s share of Burma’s new bank licenses awarded to Japan

Burma’s Foreign Bank Licensing Committee awarded preliminary licenses to nine foreign banks on Wednesday, and Japanese banks were by far the biggest winners. The license application process was kicked-off in May when the Burmese government sent letters to 40 foreign banks inviting them to apply for a license—a coveted privilege that carries the potential to give foreign financial institutions a lucrative foothold in Burma’s banking sector.


Japan’s three largest banks—Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation; Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ; and Mizuho Bank—were among the nine lucky banks awarded licenses by the government, which reportedly conducted an extensive screening process led by a committee of Burmese government officials and foreign consultants. Given the high stakes involved, the process was extremely competitive, with 25 banks from 12 different countries eventually submitting applications.



Although some local banks and individuals are concerned that foreign banks will gobble up the local banking sector, there is also optimism among Burmese bankers and officials that foreign banks will promote the development of Burma’s financial sector by transferring technical skills to local players and injecting much-needed liquidity into local banks in the form of kyat-denominated loans. In addition, the Burmese government is keen to modernize its banking system by incorporating the latest technology, a crucial factor which contributed to the success of Japanese financial institutions this week.



The Japanese banks that received licenses are also among the world’s largest in terms of capital, and Burma is betting that Japanese banks will advance the government’s goal of boosting liquidity and increasing the capital stock of Burma’s thinly-capitalized financial system.



By contrast, China’s state-owned banks might boast more capital on their balance sheets, but many of them are also dangerously exposed to China’s shadow banking system and real estate bubble, which many economists predict will eventually saddle China’s banking system with unsustainable amounts of debt.



When the Foreign Bank Licensing Committee announced the successful foreign banks on Wednesday the committee insisted that its decisions were based on “detailed quantitative and qualitative criteria.” However, it’s quite possible that political imperatives played a determinative role in the committee’s decision process. Anti-China sentiment is still running high in Burma, whereas Japan is still viewed as a more “friendly” country—not to mention the fact that Japan was Burma’s largest source of foreign aid during the military era. Japan has also provided massive amounts of investment, foreign aid, and debt forgiveness to Burma since the country transitioned to a quasi-civilian government in 2011.



Indeed, Gwen Robinson’s recent
Nikkei Asian Review article indicated that some analysts believe that Japan’s success this week may be connected to how Japanese officials felt snubbed by Burma’s recent decision to award several big infrastructure contracts to non-Japanese companies.


In particular, officials in Tokyo were convinced that Japanese companies would easily win last year’s bidding for a telecommunications license and the construction of Rangoon’s new international airport, but in both cases their hopes were dashed—and to add insult to injury, the airport contract was awarded to a consortium from Korea, Japan’s arch rival in many sectors.


Apparently, Burma’s bank licensing scheme is designed to support the country’s banking sector by prohibiting foreign involvement in retail banking on the one hand, while also requiring foreign banks to channel their kyat-denominated commercial loans through Burmese banks.

That is, foreign banks cannot extend kyat-denominated loans directly to local companies, but they are allowed to provide kyat loans to local banks. As a consequence, foreign licensees will need to partner with local banks in order to access the lucrative market of extending kyat-denominated loans to local enterprises. In doing so, the Burmese government expects that foreign banks will transfer the skills and technology which local banks will need to stand their ground against foreign banks if the financial sector is further liberalized.

Indeed, among the most important criteria considered by the license selection committee was the willingness expressed by foreign banks to train local staff, transfer critical technology, and cooperate with local banks. In her article, Gwen Robinson said that “It is understood that the Japanese banks pledged various programs to assist local banks, including the provision of training and, in the case of MUFG, setting up an education institute for banking personnel.”

The licensing system demonstrates that Burma is aiming to find a balance between enhancing the competitiveness of local banks and providing foreign banks with access to Burma’s red-hot economy, which the IMF projects will grow 8.5 percent in the current fiscal year. If successful, the scheme is expected to benefit both sides by attracting badly needed foreign investment while providing local banks with the protection, support, and time they need to compete with experienced and well-capitalized international financial institutions.

It’s unclear whether the selected foreign banks will focus on providing foreign-currency loans to foreign investors in Burma or devote more capital to indirectly providing kyat-denominated loans to local companies—partly because like many of Burma’s new laws it’s unclear how the licensing regime will work in practice. Moreover, regulations may be needed to implement the legal framework, which is governed by a recently-enacted Financial Institution Law that requires licensed foreign banks to hold at least US$75 million in capital and limits them to opening only one branch. The one-branch requirement is designed to alleviate concerns that foreign banks will monopolize the financial sector while encouraging foreign banks to cooperate with local and regional banks.

The nine lucky foreign banks now have 12 months to open a branch which complies with the Financial Institution Law, and if Burma’s Central Bank determines that a foreign bank has satisfied the law’s requirements within this time-frame it will receive a “final” license.

The five other foreign banks which obtained preliminary licenses this week included the following: Thailand’s Bangkok Bank; China’s Industrial and Commercial Bank of China; Malaysia’s Malayan Banking (Maybank); Australia & New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ); and two Singaporean banks—United Overseas Bank and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation.


Lion’s share of Burma’s new bank licenses awarded to Japan | DVB Multimedia Group

 
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Lao can handle Only small scale. They will do rice farming yearly. When the farming season comes, you face lack of workers problem. Also, transportation cost for assemble plants when majority of Japan industry is in Thailand.
Now that car industry ecology in Thailand is about to complete. Thai do support industry like jig,fixtures, back cover for trucks, etc. There is no point to invest in Lao or Myanmar. Cambodia or VN is much better but Thailand has the most Japanese 2nd language speaking population.
But Thailand politics is very unstable. The democracy is ruining your country.
 
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Japan wades into Myanmar power sector


Japanese energy company Marubeni Corp. said Friday it signed a deal with Myanmar's government to advance what it says is a low-carbon coal-fired power plant.
The Japanese company said electricity demand in Myanmar is increasing because of recent economic growth.

"Marubeni believes it can contribute to the reliable power supply in Myanmar by materializing this project and thereby participating in large power generation projects in Myanmar," it said in a statement.

The company signed an agreement with the Ministry of Electric Power to carry out a feasibility study for a coal-fired power plant "utilizing environmentally friendly and highly efficient technology." The plant, if developed, could generate as much as 2,000 megawatts of electricity.

The project would include the construction of transmission lines from the power plant in southern Myanmar to central Thailand.

International companies started investing more in Myanmar after general elections ended a period of military rule in 2010. Human rights groups say economic pressure, not rewards, is needed to maintain the momentum of reforms.


Read more: Japanese company proposes coal power plant in Myanmar - UPI.com
 
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But Thailand politics is very unstable. The democracy is ruining your country.

democracy does never ruin a country. Your mafia style dictatorship does. In the end the chimese system is doomed to fail. You can see this in Hongkong.
 
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democracy does never ruin a country. Your mafia style dictatorship does. In the end the chimese system is doomed to fail. You can see this in Hongkong.
Chinese politics works very well in China mainland. And it was never implemented in Hongkong. Hongkong is just another victim of democracy symptom.
 
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But Thailand politics is very unstable. The democracy is ruining your country.

The instability was not caused by the democratically elected government, but, rather, caused by the military's decision to conduct a coup. Both the governments of Thaksin Shinawatra and Yingluck Shinawatra were democratically elected, supported. If you look into the background, the instability is caused by members of the oligarchy, military.

Perhaps we can ask @somsak and @Sonyuke_Songpaisan to explain the situation in full detail.
 
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The instability was not caused by the democratically elected government, but, rather, caused by the military's decision to conduct a coup. Both the governments of Thaksin Shinawatra and Yingluck Shinawatra were democratically elected, supported. If you look into the background, the instability is caused by members of the oligarchy, military.

Perhaps we can ask @somsak and @Sonyuke_Songpaisan to explain the situation in full detail.
In the so-called dictatorship society, there will never be room for the chaos, right? So the chaos is definitely not caused by dictatorship. What we should blame in the Thailand case? Look around the world, Egypt, Ukraine,Tunis, all have similar symptom. Democracy of course.
 
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In the so-called dictatorship society, there will never be room for the chaos, right? So the chaos is definitely not caused by dictatorship. What we should blame in the Thailand case? Look around the world, Egypt, Ukraine,Tunis, all have similar symptom. Democracy of course.

You understand that Thaksin and Yingluck were very pro-China leaders right? And the current Military Government is also pro-China, right? Btw, the Americans are deploring the current government because its not 'democratically' elected. I actually am in the position that the cause of this situation in Thailand is not foreign based, but domestic. The yellow shirts, which are pro monarchy , pro-conservancy fear the rising power and influence of the red shirts , who represent pro-democracy, pro-modernity, pro-transparency, and support greater control of military influences and actions.

Thailand is unique case, and you have to understand its history to really appreciate this situation.
 
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You understand that Thaksin and Yingluck were very pro-China leaders right? And the current Military Government is also pro-China, right? Btw, the Americans are deploring the current government because its not 'democratically' elected. I actually am in the position that the cause of this situation in Thailand is not foreign based, but domestic. The yellow shirts, which are pro monarchy , pro-conservancy fear the rising power and influence of the red shirts , who represent pro-democracy, pro-modernity, pro-transparency, and support greater control of military influences and actions.

Thailand is unique case, and you have to understand its history to really appreciate this situation.
It's meaningless to say who's pro- what for me. They are all trouble makers.
 
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