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Is this the end of the road for Ghani’s so-called National Unity Government?
Global Village Space
M. K. Bhadrakumar |
There are no takers so far for the estimation that the Haqqani network carried out the massive blast that hit Kabul’s embassy district on Wednesday, killing over 90 people and wounding more than 450 — that is, aside from the Afghan intelligence. The US President, US State Department, Speaker of the US Congress, UN Secretary-General – none of them seemed sure who the perpetrators were.
Ghani proved to be inept not only as a ruler but also as a politician. But the Americans are stuck with him for good or bad and the regional states do not demand a transition in Kabul.
Meanwhile, Kabul residents have trained their wrath on the colossal security failure on the part of security agencies, which is, of course, stunning insofar as such a massive terror attack could be staged right in the heart of the Afghan capital at a rush hour. There has been a big demonstration in Kabul on Friday demanding the resignation of President Ashraf Ghani and CEO Abdullah Abdullah. “At least” four protesters got killed. Ghani’s government has drawn the blood of Kabul residents in the holy month of Ramadan. Things can turn ugly.
Read more: Rising terror in Afghanistan: Is a new war about to begin?
Is this the end of the road for Ghani’s so-called National Unity Government? Neither Ghani nor Abdullah will voluntarily quit. Ghani proved to be inept not only as a ruler but also as a politician. But the Americans are stuck with him for good or bad and the regional states do not demand a transition in Kabul. As for Abdullah, he is no longer the representative of “Panjshiris” (followers of Ahmad Shah Massoud) who are today split into different factions.
One way out of the political deadlock is to convene a Loya Jirga to hold a torch light into the dark tunnel ahead, but then, the jirga might call on former President Hamid Karzai to step in as interim leader – and that, of course, is completely unacceptable to the Americans. It has become extremely difficult for the Americans to install another puppet regime in Kabul.
More effort should be put into promoting the four-nation talks (involving Afghanistan, Pakistan, China, and the US) on the Afghan peace process and speeding up the country’s political reconciliation.
Indeed, Wednesday’s blast will impact President Donald Trump’s Afghan strategy. In his phone call to Ghani after Wednesday’s blast, Trump kept his cards close to his chest. Much wrangling is going on amongst his senior strategists, which is apparently Trump’s style of functioning until he finally makes up his mind. More and more American analysts are asking what purpose will be served by dispatching a few thousand extra troops to Afghanistan.
Read more: Deadly Kabul Bombing: ISIS or Haqqanis?
Interestingly, a Chinese commentary dwelling on Wednesday’s blast in Kabul also counseled that “more effort should be put into promoting the four-nation talks (involving Afghanistan, Pakistan, China, and the US) on the Afghan peace process and speeding up the country’s political reconciliation”. It highlighted that “Beijing’s Belt and Road initiative could give strong economic backing to Afghanistan, a country along this route, and this will help alleviate Afghanistan’s security turmoil.”
read more: Is this the end of the road for Ghani’s so-called National Unity Government?
Global Village Space
M. K. Bhadrakumar |
There are no takers so far for the estimation that the Haqqani network carried out the massive blast that hit Kabul’s embassy district on Wednesday, killing over 90 people and wounding more than 450 — that is, aside from the Afghan intelligence. The US President, US State Department, Speaker of the US Congress, UN Secretary-General – none of them seemed sure who the perpetrators were.
Ghani proved to be inept not only as a ruler but also as a politician. But the Americans are stuck with him for good or bad and the regional states do not demand a transition in Kabul.
Meanwhile, Kabul residents have trained their wrath on the colossal security failure on the part of security agencies, which is, of course, stunning insofar as such a massive terror attack could be staged right in the heart of the Afghan capital at a rush hour. There has been a big demonstration in Kabul on Friday demanding the resignation of President Ashraf Ghani and CEO Abdullah Abdullah. “At least” four protesters got killed. Ghani’s government has drawn the blood of Kabul residents in the holy month of Ramadan. Things can turn ugly.
Read more: Rising terror in Afghanistan: Is a new war about to begin?
Is this the end of the road for Ghani’s so-called National Unity Government? Neither Ghani nor Abdullah will voluntarily quit. Ghani proved to be inept not only as a ruler but also as a politician. But the Americans are stuck with him for good or bad and the regional states do not demand a transition in Kabul. As for Abdullah, he is no longer the representative of “Panjshiris” (followers of Ahmad Shah Massoud) who are today split into different factions.
One way out of the political deadlock is to convene a Loya Jirga to hold a torch light into the dark tunnel ahead, but then, the jirga might call on former President Hamid Karzai to step in as interim leader – and that, of course, is completely unacceptable to the Americans. It has become extremely difficult for the Americans to install another puppet regime in Kabul.
More effort should be put into promoting the four-nation talks (involving Afghanistan, Pakistan, China, and the US) on the Afghan peace process and speeding up the country’s political reconciliation.
Indeed, Wednesday’s blast will impact President Donald Trump’s Afghan strategy. In his phone call to Ghani after Wednesday’s blast, Trump kept his cards close to his chest. Much wrangling is going on amongst his senior strategists, which is apparently Trump’s style of functioning until he finally makes up his mind. More and more American analysts are asking what purpose will be served by dispatching a few thousand extra troops to Afghanistan.
Read more: Deadly Kabul Bombing: ISIS or Haqqanis?
Interestingly, a Chinese commentary dwelling on Wednesday’s blast in Kabul also counseled that “more effort should be put into promoting the four-nation talks (involving Afghanistan, Pakistan, China, and the US) on the Afghan peace process and speeding up the country’s political reconciliation”. It highlighted that “Beijing’s Belt and Road initiative could give strong economic backing to Afghanistan, a country along this route, and this will help alleviate Afghanistan’s security turmoil.”
read more: Is this the end of the road for Ghani’s so-called National Unity Government?
