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Is hundred-fold nuclear growth feasible?

Skull and Bones

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A renowned nuclear physicist has questioned the country’s obsession with nuclear growth.

“At present, there are two questions: is rapid expansion of nuclear power desirable and ‘hundred-fold growth’ in nuclear energy industry is feasible?” said M V Ramana, nuclear physicist, here on Monday. “Without finding an answer for these questions, we cannot move further,” he said.

M V Ramana is now working at Program on Science and Global Security, Princeton University. He was at Madras Institute of Development Studies to address on the theme ‘Nuclear Energy in India: Perspectives on its past, present and future’.

He has authored ‘Bombing Bombay? Effects of Nuclear Weapons and a Case Study of a Hypothetical Explosion’ and co-edited ‘Prisoners of the Nuclear Dream’. His most recent book ‘The Power of Promise – Examining Nuclear Energy in India’ has been well received by nuclear scientists and activists of international community.

Speaking to City Express, Ramana discussed the history of nuclear energy in India, the faults and failures the country faced. He also questioned the feasibility of rapid expansion of nuclear industry, as it’s contribution is only 2.3 percent to the total power production.

“In 1948, then Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru introduced Atomic Energy Bill terming ‘exclusive responsibility of the State’. But one member Krishnamurthy Rao, pointed out that the Bill did not have scope for oversight, checks and balances when compared to the US Atomic Energy Act. He also said that in the UK, the secrecy was restricted only to defence purpose and asked if secrecy had to maintained even for research in India? Nehru then confessed saying, I do not know how to distinguish the two (peaceful and defence purposes),” said Ramana.

He added, “Secrecy is maintained even when it is not needed and that becomes the problem.”

He also revealed that our total installed capacity is 4.78 GW, including Pressurized Heavy Water Reactors (PHWR) and Boiling Water Reactors (BWR). “We have one pilot scale Fast Breeder Reactor (FBR), the construction of which began in 1985, but it is yet to be completed. We are amid the construction of 5.3 GW reactors. Besides, the government has also plans to import 40 GW Light Water Reactors (LWR) in the period between 2012-2020, to fill the deficit. With all these, till date, the power from nuclear energy is just 2.3 percent when compared to other energy sources like thermal, hydro and renewable. Still, the government’s rhetoric is that the nuclear energy industry will be expanded. At this juncture, the debate on costs, benefits and risks of expanding has not come up,” he added.

He further said that in 2009, Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh said that our three-stage strategy could yield potentially 470,000 MW of power by the year 2050. But the country’s nuclear society forgets to ask questions like if rapid expansion is desirable and the hundred-fold growth is feasible, in the next four decades. My recent book focuses on these questions.”

“The hundred-fold growth is not feasible. The reasons are our history of nuclear energy, the constraints we faced during the developments of new reactors and oppositions from the people. Till date, all reactors have had overruns in construction, including time and cost. Meanwhile, every accident is new and likewise, while constructing new reactors in India, each reactor unit has different problems. We have failed to learn lessons from the past and there is a possibility of repeating those failures in the future too,” he said.

When asked about his stand on nuclear energy debate he said, “We are scientists. If we tell the facts of the nuclear energy which are negative, we are ultimately branded ‘anti-nuclear’. Nuclear is a source of energy which needs democratic public discussion,” said Ramana.

http://newindianexpress.com/cities/chennai/article1470866.ece
 
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We need to privatize the whole power sector and let the free markets with a profit incentive decide from where our electric power must be produced and how much it should cost. The transmission and distribution systems also need to be privatized. The govt should transfer the nuclear technology to 100% Indian private companies and and regulate thier safety and security procedures and keep watch on them and let those 100% Indian companies produce electric power. The whole utility system need to be privatized for us to increase our productivity, efficiency and competence
 
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^^^ Privatisation is not a silver bullet Sir. Especially in a country as under developed as India. Private companies have destroyed the livelihood of many communities in the rural area. Worst Kind of croony capitalism has wrecked havoc on the poor tribal people.
India by large is not ready for full privatisation yet.
 
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It's doable for sure.

The ethics of doing so are separate.


The issues of feasibility and ethics of nuclear power have been linked by this guy for some unfathomable reason.


They are two seperate debates and should be argued as such.
 
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My friend you are mixing law and order(fraud etc.,) issue with privatization. The govt and supreme court has no authority to takeover property of private people for any purpose. As far as pollution is concerned it is a property rights issue. I don't have a right to through garbage in my neighbor's property, can't dump sewer and can't release pollutants into air which my neighbor breathes. If tribal people don't want their land they should be protected by property rights and fundamental rights. If power plants won't get build because of this then the price of electricity will go up, forcing the private companies to search for other alternatives. Free markets will find a way. The argument you are making was the same argument made during the privatization of telecom sector, the private companies will charge so much that economically poor people in india will never be able to afford a mobile phone service. Yet today the most common thing between a poor guy and a rich guy in India is a cell phone and its service. Anather example is the hardware the prices of mobile phones are constantly going down, the mobile phones are doing it with a profit insentive and not for the purpose of social service, the govt has not asked nokia to reduce the cost for its mobile phones. Yet the costs of mobile phones are going down and quality is going up. Nokia is doing all this for the purpose of profit and nothing else. The govt should privatize the utility sector. It is not privatizing the utility sector that is holding our country from becoming a prosperous nation. Have you realized why soviet union has collapsed and north korea is not doing well. The sustaining of poverty in India is due to lack of free makets. What India is freedom and free markets nothing else will make us a prosperous country.

^^^ Privatisation is not a silver bullet Sir. Especially in a country as under developed as India. Private companies have destroyed the livelihood of many communities in the rural area. Worst Kind of croony capitalism has wrecked havoc on the poor tribal people.
India by large is not ready for full privatisation yet.
 
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