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India's GDP contracts by 6.6% in 2020-21

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India's GDP contracts by 6.6% in 2020-21​

Updated: 31 Jan 2022, 08:48 PM IST

The National Statistical Office (NSO), in its first revised estimates of GDP, has said the Indian economy shrunk by 6.6 per cent in 2020-21, primarily due to the COVID-19 pandemic and nationwide lockdown curbs imposed by the government.

The provisional data released by the government May 2021 had said the GDP contracted by 7.3 per cent in 2020-21.

As per the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation release, real GDP or GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for the years 2020-21 and 2019-20 stands at ₹135.58 lakh crore and ₹145.16 lakh crore, respectively, showing a contraction of 6.6 per cent during 2020-21 as compared to growth of 3.7 per cent during 2019-20.

“Nominal GDP or GDP at current prices for the year 2020-21 is estimated at ₹198.01 lakh crore as against ₹200.75 lakh crore for the year 2019-20, showing a contraction of 1.4 per cent during 2020-21 as compared to growth of 6.2 per cent during 2019-20," the statement said.

At the aggregate level, nominal GVA at basic prices declined by 1.6 per cent during 2020-21 against the growth of 6.9 per cent during 2019-20. In terms of real GVA – GVA at constant (2011-12) basic prices -- there has been a contraction of 4.8 per cent in 2020-21 vs growth of 3.8 per cent in 2019-20, the release added.

During 2020-21, the growth rates of the primary sector (comprising agriculture, forestry, fishing and mining & quarrying), secondary sector (comprising manufacturing, electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services, and construction) and tertiary sector (services) have been estimated as 1.6 per cent, (-)2.8 per cent and (-) 7.8 per cent as against a growth of 1.9 per cent, (-) 6.8 per cent and (-) 8.4 per cent, respectively, in the previous year.

Nominal Net National Income (NNI) or NNI at current prices for the year 2020-21 stands at ₹171.94 lakh crore as against ₹177.17 lakh crore in 2019-20, showing a contraction of 2.9 per cent during 2020-21 as against growth of 6 per cent in the previous year, it stated.

Per Capita Income i.e. Per Capita Net National Income at current prices is estimated at ₹1,32,115 and ₹1,26,855 respectively for the years 2019-20 and 2020-21, it stated.

 
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Good news.
Earlier it was estimated to be 7.3% contraction (April 2020 to Mar 2021).
But now govt has revised data and it was only 6.6%.
This year growth is 9.2%.
 
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India Budget 2022: India can become world’s fastest growing economy: Economic Survey​

WION Web Team
New Delhi Published: Jan 31, 2022, 04:45 PM(IST)

According to India's Economic Survey 2022, the country has fiscal space to do more to support the economy and has the legroom to boost spending to become the world's fastest-growing economy overtaking China.

India's Economic Survey presented by the government on Monday pegged growth for 2022-23 at 8-8.5 per cent and for 2021-22 at 9.2 per cent.

 
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Good news.
Earlier it was estimated to be 7.3% contraction (April 2020 to Mar 2021).
But now govt has revised data and it was only 6.6%.
This year growth is 9.2%.

If they revise up previous estimate for 2020-2021, then current growth projection for 2021-2022 should be revised down as well, since previously the base growth estimation is lower than the new estimate.

India 2021-2022 growth has already been revised down by IMF into 9 % while World Bank said it will be around 8 %, both still using previous estimate for 2020-2021 period
 
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India 2021-2022 growth has already been revised down by IMF into 9 % while World Bank said it will be around 8 %, both still using previous estimate for 2020-2021 period
It's not expanding, it's shrinking

 
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It's not expanding, it's shrinking

You need to improve your reading comprehension.
The contraction of 6.6% was for Financial Year 2020-21 (which ended long back in March 2021).
Whereas for Financial Year 2021-22 (April 2021 to March 2022), GDP has Expanded by 9.27%.

If they revise up previous estimate for 2020-2021, then current growth projection for 2021-2022 should be revised down as well, since previously the base growth estimation is lower than the new estimate.

India 2021-2022 growth has already been revised down by IMF into 9 % while World Bank said it will be around 8 %, both still using previous estimate for 2020-2021 period
That has been done.
The latest growth estimate of 9.27% was made after taking into account change of last year's contraction to 6.6%. This has been made clear in Indian govt economic survey data release yesterday.
 
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India contracted by losing dead weight low value added industries while gaining high value industries. India wins again.
 
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Per Capita Income i.e. Per Capita Net National Income at current prices is estimated at ₹1,32,115 and ₹1,26,855 respectively for the years 2019-20 and 2020-21, it stated.

This mean Pakistan and India GDP per capita was almost same in 2020-21 in $.
 
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India's GDP contracts by 6.6% in 2020-21​

Updated: 31 Jan 2022, 08:48 PM IST

The National Statistical Office (NSO), in its first revised estimates of GDP, has said the Indian economy shrunk by 6.6 per cent in 2020-21, primarily due to the COVID-19 pandemic and nationwide lockdown curbs imposed by the government.

The provisional data released by the government May 2021 had said the GDP contracted by 7.3 per cent in 2020-21.

As per the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation release, real GDP or GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for the years 2020-21 and 2019-20 stands at ₹135.58 lakh crore and ₹145.16 lakh crore, respectively, showing a contraction of 6.6 per cent during 2020-21 as compared to growth of 3.7 per cent during 2019-20.

“Nominal GDP or GDP at current prices for the year 2020-21 is estimated at ₹198.01 lakh crore as against ₹200.75 lakh crore for the year 2019-20, showing a contraction of 1.4 per cent during 2020-21 as compared to growth of 6.2 per cent during 2019-20," the statement said.

At the aggregate level, nominal GVA at basic prices declined by 1.6 per cent during 2020-21 against the growth of 6.9 per cent during 2019-20. In terms of real GVA – GVA at constant (2011-12) basic prices -- there has been a contraction of 4.8 per cent in 2020-21 vs growth of 3.8 per cent in 2019-20, the release added.

During 2020-21, the growth rates of the primary sector (comprising agriculture, forestry, fishing and mining & quarrying), secondary sector (comprising manufacturing, electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services, and construction) and tertiary sector (services) have been estimated as 1.6 per cent, (-)2.8 per cent and (-) 7.8 per cent as against a growth of 1.9 per cent, (-) 6.8 per cent and (-) 8.4 per cent, respectively, in the previous year.

Nominal Net National Income (NNI) or NNI at current prices for the year 2020-21 stands at ₹171.94 lakh crore as against ₹177.17 lakh crore in 2019-20, showing a contraction of 2.9 per cent during 2020-21 as against growth of 6 per cent in the previous year, it stated.

Per Capita Income i.e. Per Capita Net National Income at current prices is estimated at ₹1,32,115 and ₹1,26,855 respectively for the years 2019-20 and 2020-21, it stated.


Couple of weeks ago there was a thread that claimed India's GDP had increased to almost $2.8 trillion dollars, I think.
How can a GDP increase in size whilst contracting by 6.6%?

Or does India use some kind of special calculations that we don't now about.
 
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Couple of weeks ago there was a thread that claimed India's GDP had increased to almost $2.8 trillion dollars, I think.
How can a GDP increase in size whilst contracting by 6.6%?

Or does India use some kind of special calculations that we don't now about.
India's GDP currently stands at 3 Trillion dollar at the end of 2021. The 6.6% contraction is for the period of April, 2020 to March, 2021.
 
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India's GDP currently stands at 3 Trillion dollar at the end of 2021. The 6.6% contraction is for the period of April, 2020 to March, 2021.

But, surely you and anyone with basic sense can see that it does not make sense.

India's economy was $2.6 trillion in 2020
a 6.6% contraction gives you a $172 billion reduction, meaning an economy of $2.43 trillion
India reported 9.2% growth for 2022 which gives an increase of $223 billion

2.43 + 2.23 = 2653

So according to the growth figures the economy should be around $2.6 trillion.
 
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