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Indian rupee falls second time in two weeks

Devil Soul

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By AFP Published: July 5, 2013
MUMBAI: India’s rupee fell to near its lifetime low on Friday, prompting the central bank to intervene in currency markets to drag the ailing unit up, dealers said.
The rupee hit an intra-day low of 60.59 rupees to the US greenback – near its record low of 60.76 hit on June 26 – as Indian importers bought dollars.
Helped by intervention from the central bank, the Indian currency later pared some of its losses to close at 60.22 rupees to the dollar.
“Possibly there was intervention from the Reserve Bank around the 60.58/59 level, which helped the rupee to recover,” said Hemal Doshi, a currency strategist at Geojit Comtrade, according to the Press Trust of India.
The central bank does not normally comment on its interventions in the market but dealers reported that there were some signs of intervention to prop up the rupee.
The reported intervention came a day after the central bank’s governor said that the Reserve Bank of India did not have an exchange rate target.
The rupee has skidded lower as overseas funds pull out of emerging markets on investor expectations of a scaling down of the hefty US monetary stimulus and as India’s domestic economic woes mount.
The Reserve Bank of India is believed to have intervened several times in the market in recent weeks, but Governor Duvvuri Subbarao said the priority was managing volatility.
“We employ all instruments available to us to manage volatility, and we do try to manage volatility. But we do not have an exchange rate band,” Subbarao told reporters in the southern city of Chennai on Thursday.
The Indian currency, which has fallen by more than 10 per cent in 2013, is the worst performing currency among major Asian countries.
Analysts believe that the central bank lacks the financial firepower needed to manage the rupee and prevent it from falling further.
Its tumble raises import prices of everything from oil and fertilisers to food staples such as pulses, stoking already high consumer inflation and causing hardship for India’s poor millions.
Business leaders have been hoping that the RBI would cut interest rates when it meets on July 30 in an effort to spur growth, which is at a decade low of five per cent, but the falling rupee makes this more difficult.
The RBI has lowered rates three times this year.
 
Normally you would think that a falling currency would improve your Trade balance.

But for some reason, India's Trade balance is only becoming worse and worse?

India's Trade deficit at seven-month high as gold imports surge | Reuters

And it's not just gold imports that are pulling it down, India's exports themselves are falling too.

That's because Rupee depreciation is not helping exports as it should have. Due to an overall slowdown in demand for goods and services overseas.
 
That's because Rupee depreciation is not helping exports as it should have. Due to an overall slowdown in demand for goods and services overseas.

Also, in order to produce exports, you need to import raw materials.

And imports become more expensive with a falling currency, driving up the production costs of the exports. Thus negating the advantage that exports gain from a falling currency.

The best way to avoid this problem is to source your entire supply chain within the country, from raw materials to end product.
 
Also, in order to produce exports, you need to import raw materials.

And imports become more expensive with a falling currency, driving up the production costs of the exports. Thus negating the advantage that exports gain from a falling currency.

The best way to avoid this problem is to source your entire supply chain within the country, from raw materials to end product.

Right. Exporting sectors like IT, pharma, auto components are not gaining much. As for supply chain efficiency; it will improve only when there is massive infrastructure overhaul. Not going to happen any time soon.
 
Indians are directly trading in gold now. Forget about the rupee. The currency is worthless. Now is the time to use all your rupees to buy gold!
 
Indians are directly trading in gold now. Forget about the rupee. The currency is worthless. Now is the time to use all your rupees to buy gold!

On the other hand Chinese bond trading markets fell 90% and the future is bleak.

Devaluing rupee is advantageous some times, when foreign investments are coming here in India ..... :cheers:
 
The US economy has been gaining strength for the last 2 weeks. So the US dollar is gaining strength against all currencies right now.
 
lol $=60 no big deal...$ has touched 101 mark against PKR.

For india devalue of its currency is good news as it exports alot but for a country like Pakistan that is dependent mostly on imports it is very bad news.
 
The US economy has been gaining strength for the last 2 weeks. So the US dollar is gaining strength against all currencies right now.

This trend has been going on for way longer than 2 weeks.

It has been going on for the past year.

Incidentally, the Chinese Yuan has been rising pretty much non-stop against the USD over the past year.
 
Oh,dear;Oh,dear。。。

Rupee plunges by 97 paisa to record low

Last updated on: July 08, 2013 10:19 IST

Subhadip Sircar in Mumbai

The rupee on Monday fell by a massive 97 paise to breach the 61-mark to 61.19, a new all-time low, against the dollar in early trade at the Interbank Foreign Exchange market, on heavy demand for the American currency amid capital outflows.

Rupee plunges by 97 paisa to record low - Rediff.com Business
 
The rupee is tanking。

The worst is yet to come。

By this rate,it is not entirely impossible that one Japanese yen might be worth more than one Indian rupee one or two years down the road。:laughcry:
 
The rupee is tanking。

The worst is yet to come。

By this rate,it is not entirely impossible that one Japanese yen might be worth more than one Indian rupee one or two years down the road。:laughcry:

Something is going on inside India that they are not letting people know.
 

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