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India Has No Middle Class

shiningindia

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NEW DELHI: Could the Great Indian Middle Class be the Great Indian Mythical Class? A proposed new international definition of what constitutes the middle class in a developing country has thrown up a startling conclusion by global standards, India has no middle class.

Noted economist Nancy Birdsall, president of the Center for Global Development, has proposed a new definition of the middle class for developing countries in a forthcoming World Bank publication, Equity in a Globalizing World. Birdsall defines the middle class in the developing world to include people with an income above $10 day, but excluding the top 5% of that country. By this definition, India even urban India alone has no middle class; everyone at over $10 a day is in the top 5% of the country.

This is a combination both of the depth of India's poverty and its inequality. China had no middle class in 1990, but by 2005, had a small urban middle class (3% of the population). South Africa (7%), Russia (30%) and Brazil (19%) all had sizable middle classes in 2005.

While many economists have in the past as well attempted to define the middle class, Birdsall puts into monetary terms the broader concept of what a middle class really is, as opposed to merely counting the middle third of a country. In socio-political terms, the middle class is traditionally that segment of society with a degree of economic security that allows it to uphold the rule of law, invest and desire stability. They do not, unlike those defined as rich, depend on inheritances or other non-productive sources of income.

Birdsall argues that while the equivalent of $10 per day in 2005 as a lower limit is on the low side by the standards of industrialized countries, somewhere around $10 a day per person household members are able to care about and save for the future and to have aspirations for a better life for themselves as well as their children because they feel reasonably secure economically.

OECD countries define their poverty lines as 50% of median income which works out in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms to about $30 day. In US the poverty line for a single individual in 2008 was $29 per day and for each individual in a four-person household was about $14 per day.

However, people in developing countries living on even $10 a day still have extremely low social indicators. Economist Lant Pritchett has shown that infant mortality of households in the richest quintile in Bolivia was 32 and Ghana 58 per 1,000. Fewer than 25% of people in the richest quintile in India complete 9 grades of school, Pritchett showed. "An upper limit of the 95th percentile, while on the high side, is just about sufficient to exclude the countrys richest," Birdsall adds.


India has no middle class? - India - The Times of India
 
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Ha haa....so now this is a new way to caluculate poverty......ab yeh log ...percentile ka pahada padh ke hum logon ko garib sabit karainge.
 
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wow now i can have BPL card..:woot:
 
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Western policy to show India and China down....if we don't have a middile class then who the hell is buying up those small cars up...??
 
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Western policy to show India and China down....if we don't have a middile class then who the hell is buying up those small cars up...??

India saw sales of one million two wheelers in March 2010
The market also crossed 10 million mark for the fiscal year 2009-10 for the first time.

And maintianing a 2 wheeler costs ~Rs 2500-4000/month.
cost of the same 2 wheeler was in the range of ~Rs30K-Rs 70K.

April 2010 2 wheeler Sales
The Bike Chronicles of India: April 2010, 2 Wheeler Sales in India

Domestic Market

According to figures released by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), domestic passenger car sales have increased 32.28 per cent to reach 145,905 units in January 2010 from 110,300 units in the same month last year.

Across all categories, total sale of vehicles increased 44.94 per cent to 1,114,157 units in January 2010, against 768,698 units in the January 2009.

Road Ahead

The Indian auto industry is likely to see a growth of 10-12 per cent in sales in 2010, according to a report by the global rating firm, Fitch. According to its report, Indian Auto Sector Outlook, competition in the country's auto sector is likely to increase due to increasing penetration of global original equipment manufacturers (OEM).
Automobiles
And maintianing a 4 wheeler costs ~RS 5000-10K+(depending on vehicle type)

Indian 4Wheelers range from Rs 1 Lakh-Rs 4 crore+

this is a look at the basic means of transportation for an ordinary citizen in India.
So if those so called 800+ million living in less than $10 pay, then the report contradicts the number of 2 Wheelers and 4 Wheelers being sold accross the country only for domestic use.
May be common sense prevails to judge a report.

Another interesting thing is,Indian teledensity which was just kicked to 51.05% (more than 600 million mobiles and active SIMs sold across by the end of February)
http://www.andhrabusiness.com/NewsImageFiles/201002250720276562500_1.jpg
India's overall teledensity at 49.50 :: Andhra Business : Growing with AP :

Yet there were as many BPLs,but the efforts being put for eradication of poverty was considerable. And saying that there is no middle class in India is highly laughable.
 
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i also never believe on western measure on below poverty line. more than 10 million indian purchase two wheeler and more than 1.5 million indian purchase four wheeler every year. more than 4 crore indian have own two wheeler. so how there is no middle class family.
 
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i also never believe on western measure on below poverty line. more than 10 million indian purchase two wheeler and more than 1.5 million indian purchase four wheeler every year. more than 4 crore indian have own two wheeler. so how there is no middle class family.

they why you took pain to start this crappiest thread?
Post or start only with what your are comfortable of or believe .It resembles like you started another conspiracy with the support of some western junk report.
 
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they why you took pain to start this crappiest thread?
Post or start only with what your are comfortable of or believe .It resembles like you started another conspiracy with the support of some western junk report.

i am not supporting this western junk report. i just want to say when the proposed definition will approved there will be no middle class in india in the view of western country. the times of india published this report, it doesn't mean they r supporting this report.

actually western country always want to disgrace developing country like china,india,pakistan etc.
 
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i also never believe on western measure on below poverty line. more than 10 million indian purchase two wheeler and more than 1.5 million indian purchase four wheeler every year. more than 4 crore indian have own two wheeler. so how there is no middle class family.

purchase a two or four wheeler doesn't indicate middle class. I agree with what the article states as both India and China are still extremely poor. Just look at the GDP per capita. That is the best indicator.
 
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purchase a two or four wheeler doesn't indicate middle class. I agree with what the article states as both India and China are still extremely poor. Just look at the GDP per capita. That is the best indicator.

first thing u said "two or three wheeler doesn't indicate middle class". can u explain the person who belong from lower class "how can they buy $9000 car ? if there is no indian family whose income above $10 per day, how can every year 10 million two wheeler sold in india.
Second thing u said"both India and China are still extremely poor. Just look at the GDP per capita. That is the best indicator". i just want to say look at foreign reserve of both country.
i am giving u real data. india and china has largest middle class. In india 40 million people belonging from middle class.
 
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