India Has Fissile Material for 2,000 Warheads, Assesses Pakistan

[HariPrasad]

India Has Fissile Material for 2,000 Warheads, Assesses Pakistan

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  Image for representation only. | File/PTI

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has assessed that India has enough fissile material for more than 2,000 warheads, a media report said on Thursday.

The National Command Authority (NCA) on Wednesday concluded that India’s growing nuclear programme and absence of a conflict resolution mechanism were upsetting strategic stability in the region and the situation was forcing Pakistan to maintain ‘full-spectrum deterrence capability’, reported Dawn.

Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) said that the apex policy-making body for the country’s strategic programme reviewed in its meeting the regional security environment and was briefed on fast-paced strategic and conventional capability developments taking place in the neighbourhood.

The media report said that contrary to international estimates, Pakistani assessment is that India has enough fissile material, both reactor- and weapon-grade plutonium, for more than 2,000 warheads.

International Institute of Strategic Studies noted in a paper: “New Delhi’s plutonium stocks also continue to pile up; according to one Pakistani assessment, by the end of 2013 India had produced enough weapons- and reactor-grade plutonium (0.8-1tn and 15tn respectively) for 2,000 warheads.”

The meeting was presided over by Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and attended by Defence Minister Khawaja Asif, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar, Interior Minister Chaudhry Nisar, Adviser on National Security and Foreign Affairs Sartaj Aziz, Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee Chairman General Rashad Mehmood, the three services chiefs and the director general of the strategic plans division.

Dawn cited US think tanks Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and the Stimson Centre as saying that Pakistan had the fastest growing nuclear programme and could have the third largest nuclear stockpile within five to 10 years.

The NCA meeting comes amid shelling at the border with India and a day ahead of talks between Pakistani Rangers and India's Border Security Force (BSF) chiefs in New Delhi.

Saying that there are no estimates available on Indian missile inventories, the media report said that concerns expressed by the NCA pertained to India’s growing strategic capabilities in the form of new weapon systems, including submarine-launchable intercontinental and medium-range ballistic missiles and improvements in its ballistic missile defence.

The NCA also noted with concern India’s rapidly expanding conventional military asymmetry and dangerous limited conventional war policy called Cold Start doctrine.

“The NCA re-affirmed that the state remains fully cognisant of the evolving security dynamics of South Asia and will take all measures to safeguard its national security,” the military’s public relations wing said.

It said the NCA resolved to maintain full-spectrum deterrence capability in line with the dictates of credible minimum deterrence against all forms of aggression.

 

[Ghazwa e Hind]

Things reached at this stage due to lack of any check of IAEA on Indian nuclear program. World powers are taking this risk and keeping their eyes closed just for the sake of a huge market available to their corporations.

Indian ability to produce more kids is their biggest weapon. More mightier than all conventional and non-conventional weapons and diplomacy!

 

[HariPrasad]

Things reached at this stage due to lack of any check of IAEA on Indian nuclear program. World powers are taking this risk and keeping their eyes closed just for the sake of a huge market available to their corporations.

Indian ability to produce more kids is their biggest weapon. More mightier than all conventional and non-conventional weapons and diplomacy!

You know our fast breeder reactor is about to be commissioned and it shall produce 700 Bomb material per year. We have a plan of building 4 of this type. One more uranium purifivation plant has commissioned at Mysore. It is capable of producing uranium for 7 nuclear submarine fleet and produce 30 bombs per year? We have gathered a huge stock pile of tritium weighing in Hundreds of KG. 4 gm of that is used in a bomb.

 

[Ghazwa e Hind]

You know our fast breeder reactor is about to commissioned and it shall produce 700 Bomb material per year. We have a plan of building 4 of this type.

These things are only limited to cartoon series like chota bheem and mighty raju!

 

[HariPrasad]

These things are only limited to cartoon series like chota bheem and mighty raju!

Hummmm That is why your government in leadership of your prime minister has shown this concern. After all you guys have developed a habit of reacting to the cartoons like chota bheem.

 

[Vyom]

You know our fast breeder reactor is about to commissioned and it shall produce 700 Bomb material per year. We have a plan of building 4 of this type. One more uranium purifivation plant has commissioned at Mysore. It is capable of producing uranium for 7 nuclear submarine fleet and produce 23 digit bombs per year? We have gathered a huge stock pile of tritium weighing in Hundreds of KG. 4 gm of that is used in a bomb.

wait for the fissile material cutoff treaty to fall through, any one not signing it will face global Apartheid, like North Korea.

 

[bhola singh]

Indian ability to produce more kids is their biggest weapon. More mightier than all conventional and non-conventional weapons and diplomacy!

India birth rate 2.50.
Pakistan birth rate 3.28.

You saying pakistan producing more kids is India's fault as well...

 

[HariPrasad]

wait for the fissile material cutoff treaty to fall through, any one not signing it will face global Apartheid, like North Korea.

Meanwhile we shall have enough Fissile materiel to produce few thousand bombs and we would develop cold fusion technique by then.

 

[Chanakya's_Chant]

Things reached at this stage due to lack of any check of IAEA on Indian nuclear program.

Ever since the Indo-US Nuclear Deal was signed - India did not only permanently shut down the CIRUS reactor which used to produce weapons grade plutonium but we also placed 12 out of our 21 nuclear reactors under IAEA safeguards meaning the spent fuel in these reactors cannot be reprocessed and used in our nuclear weapons programme.

So far 20 facilities have been placed under IAEA safeguards. This includes unit 1 and 2 of the Tarapur Atomic Power Station (TAPS), units 1 to 6 of Rajasthan Atomic Power Station, units 1 and 2 of Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant, and units 1 and 2 of Kakrapar Atomic Power Station.

In addition to the reactors, the Nuclear Material Store, Away from Reactor (AFR) fuel storage facility, both at Tarapur, the Uranium Oxide Plant, the Ceramic Fuel Fabrication Plant, Enriched Uranium Fuel, Enriched Uranium Oxide Plant, Enriched Fuel Fabrication Plant and the Gadolinia Facility and the entire Nuclear Fuel Complex in Hyderabad have been placed under the IAEA safeguards.

This assessment is nothing but another pretext for Pakistan to increase their own warhead production in turn portraying India as the bogeyman.

 

[Vyom]

Meanwhile we shall have enough Fissile materiel to produce few thousand bombs and we would develop cold fusion technique by then.

Cold fusion is way too far in the future may be 200-300 years, A technology so vital that I am against weaponizing it against any possible reason. Unless of course we as a race face some kind of inter galactic war *highly unlikely*. Such technology will change human destiny hopefully not destroy it.

Perhaps the only holy grail of energy left will be the harnessing of Matter Antimatter reaction tech, a few grams of fuel will be enough to annihilate a city. A few kgs to shatter the planet to mere pebbles.

 

[Vyom]

Ever since the Indo-US Nuclear Deal was signed - India did not only permanently shut down the CIRUS reactor which used to produce weapons grade plutonium but we also placed 12 out of our 21 nuclear reactors under IAEA safeguards meaning the spent fuel in these reactors cannot be reprocessed and used in our nuclear weapons programme.

So far 20 facilities have been placed under IAEA safeguards. This includes unit 1 and 2 of the Tarapur Atomic Power Station (TAPS), units 1 to 6 of Rajasthan Atomic Power Station, units 1 and 2 of Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant, and units 1 and 2 of Kakrapar Atomic Power Station.

In addition to the reactors, the Nuclear Material Store, Away from Reactor (AFR) fuel storage facility, both at Tarapur, the Uranium Oxide Plant, the Ceramic Fuel Fabrication Plant, Enriched Uranium Fuel, Enriched Uranium Oxide Plant, Enriched Fuel Fabrication Plant and the Gadolinia Facility and the entire Nuclear Fuel Complex in Hyderabad have been placed under the IAEA safeguards.

This assessment is nothing but another pretext for Pakistan to increase their own warhead production in turn portraying India as the bogeyman.

The reactor like Dhruva are still operational, there has been a plan to construct a new one Dhruva 2 yet its tightly under wraps, as far as I know a few (2 nos) of the reprocessing plants are not under IAEA and new ones are being constructed only fro Civilian use and most likely all future reactors will be placed under IAEA safe guards unless specifically for "research" purposes..

 

[Chanakya's_Chant]

The reactor like Dhruva are still operational, there has been a plan to construct a new one Dhruva 2 yet its tightly under wraps, as far as I know a few (2 nos) of the reprocessing plants are not under IAEA and new ones are being constructed only fro Civilian use and most likely all future reactors will be placed under IAEA safe guards unless specifically for "research" purposes..

Yes, Dhruva produces an average of 18 kg of Pu which can fuel about 3, 4 bombs per year though it can produce up to 30 kg of weapons grade plutonium per year maximum. Work on BARC-II at Vizag will start in two years will be much bigger than BARC-I in Trombay.
Atomic Energy Dept. keen on taking up mining in Nalgonda - The Hindu

Both the Fast Breeder Test Reactor (FBTR) and the Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor (PFBR) will remain outside safeguards. The initial nuclear fuel core used in the FBTR consisted of approximately 50 kg of weapons-grade plutonium but since it's a low capacity reactor it will be the 500 MWe PFBR which will be commissioned by year end will produce 150 kg of weapon-grade plutonium annually.

And since we will be using imported uranium in almost all of our nuclear reactors - IAEA safeguards are a must though we are not only having a record indigenous production of uranium these days but also many of our indigenous PHWR's are still out of IAEA safeguards.

You know our fast breeder reactor is about to commissioned and it shall produce 700 Bomb material per year.

With an annual production of 150 kg of weapon-grade plutonium the PFBR will produce enough to assemble 30 nuclear warheads annually only but even for that we need to wait since once the Pu is produced in the reactors it is not immediately available for making bombs. The fuel rods have to be cooled for a couple of years and then reprocessed to have the weapon-usable Pu extracted. So the actual production of assembled weapons can be less.

 

[HariPrasad]

Cold fusion is way too far in the future may be 200-300 years, A technology so vital that I am against weaponizing it against any possible reason. Unless of course we as a race face some kind of inter galactic war *highly unlikely*. Such technology will change human destiny hopefully not destroy it.

Perhaps the only holy grail of energy left will be the harnessing of Matter Antimatter reaction tech, a few grams of fuel will be enough to annihilate a city. A few kgs to shatter the planet to mere pebbles.

Neither cold fusion is too far nor fusion reactor.

Yes, Dhruva produces an average of 18 kg of Pu which can fuel about 3, 4 bombs per year though it can produce up to 30 kg of weapons grade plutonium per year maximum. Work on BARC-II at Vizag will start in two years will be much bigger than BARC-I in Trombay.
Atomic Energy Dept. keen on taking up mining in Nalgonda - The Hindu

Both the Fast Breeder Test Reactor (FBTR) and the Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor (PFBR) will remain outside safeguards. The initial nuclear fuel core used in the FBTR consisted of approximately 50 kg of weapons-grade plutonium but since it's a low capacity reactor it will be the 500 MWe PFBR which will be commissioned by year end will produce 150 kg of weapon-grade plutonium annually.

And since we will be using imported uranium in almost all of our nuclear reactors - IAEA safeguards are a must though we are not only having a record indigenous production of uranium these days but also many of our indigenous PHWR's are still out of IAEA safeguards.



With an annual production of 150 kg of weapon-grade plutonium the PFBR will produce enough to assemble 30 nuclear warheads annually only but even for that we need to wait since once the Pu is produced in the reactors it is not immediately available for making bombs. The fuel rods have to be cooled for a couple of years and then reprocessed to have the weapon-usable Pu extracted. So the actual production of assembled weapons can be less.

INDIA 's Nuclear military capability-A FULL Analysis..

Here it is said that once fast breeder reactor is commissioned, India shall be able to produce 700 bomb every year.

 

[Chanakya's_Chant]

INDIA 's Nuclear military capability-A FULL Analysis..

Here it is said that once fast breeder reactor is commissioned, India shall be able to produce 700 bomb every year.

He was probably referring to the cumulative production capacity after the commissioning of the PFBR - even then at the moment and anytime in the near future it is scarcely possible. He might as well have included the civilian plutonium stock India has (which this report compiled by NCA has done as well) including those extracted from the PHWR's under IAEA safeguards.

The main thing to understand about estimates of the number of nuclear bombs is that no one outside the respective governments will really know how many weapons have been assembled. And the government people are not likely to talk. Most estimates by non-governmental think-tanks and analysts are just unverifiable hearsay. The only responsible outside estimates are based on nuclear fissile materials production and stocks.

The most legitimate and practical estimates can be derived from the existing weapons grade plutonium stocks as assessed by the International Panel on Fissile Materials which has been tracking fissile material production of all countries year after year. According to which India was estimated to have produced approximately 540 kilogrammes of weapon-grade plutonium, enough for 135 to 180 nuclear warheads, though not all of that material is being used.

They estimate that India has produced between 110 and 120 nuclear warheads only.

 

[SrNair]

Things reached at this stage due to lack of any check of IAEA on Indian nuclear program. World powers are taking this risk and keeping their eyes closed just for the sake of a huge market available to their corporations.

Indian ability to produce more kids is their biggest weapon. More mightier than all conventional and non-conventional weapons and diplomacy!

Really ??
Our weapons and technology is our own , we invested entire resources and developed without anyones help.That is noone's favour or stealing and proliferation (like some of our neighbours ).
So noone in this world stand against us.