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IMF: Overall Saudi Arabian GDP Projected to Grow 7.6% in 2022

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IMF: Overall Saudi Arabian GDP Projected to Grow 7.6%​


Thursday, 23 June, 2022 - 08:45

saudi-imf.jpg

IMF confirms that Saudi Arabia mitigated the economic risks resulting from the Russian-Ukrainian war (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Riyadh - Asharq Al-Awsat

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has highlighted solid indicators for the Saudi economy, expecting a 7.6 percent overall GDP growth in 2022.
Non-oil growth will increase to 4.2 percent in 2022, with the current account surplus will increase to 17.4 percent of GDP in 2022, said the Fund experts.
An IMF mission conducted discussions for the 2022 Article IV Consultation from May 23-June 6 and issued a concluding statement describing their preliminary findings.
The experts emphasized the strength of the Saudi economy and its financial position, explaining that the country's economic prospects have a positive outlook in the short and medium term.
"The near and medium-term outlook for Saudi Arabia is positive as growth is picking up, inflation will remain contained, and the external position will strengthen further."
The Fund indicated that the Kingdom managed the COVID-19 pandemic well and is well-positioned to weather the risks posed by the war in Ukraine and the monetary policy tightening cycle in advanced economies.
"Economic activity is picking up strongly, supported by a higher oil price and the reforms unleashed under Vision 2030," read the statement.
Saudi authorities' commitment to fiscal discipline should help further strengthen fiscal and external sustainability and avoid procyclicality while implementing the ambitious structural reform agenda will help ensure a durable, inclusive, and green recovery.
"Saudi Arabia is recovering strongly following a deep pandemic-induced recession."
The report also explained that the overall growth was robust at 3.2 percent in 2021, driven by recovering non-oil manufacturing, retail, e-commerce, and the trade sector.
The Fund pointed out that with increased labor force participation of nationals offsetting expatriates' departures, the unemployment rate has fallen further to 11 percent, a 1.6 percent drop from 2020, mainly owing to higher employment for Saudi nationals, particularly women, in the private sector.
The statement said that financial stability risks are well contained, and the banking system is profitable, liquid, and well-capitalized.
The staff's preliminary analysis found that the impact on credit growth and non-oil GDP is negligible and positive for the banking sector profitability when oil prices and liquidity are high.
They touched on the Kingdom's efforts concerning climate policies, stressing that the government is working to intensify investments in blue and green hydrogen production and is undertaking research and development focusing on the circular carbon economy.
They confirmed the strength of the Kingdom's economy and the power of its financial position, reflected in the great effort made by the government to promote its economic reforms in light of Vision 2030.
Saudi Arabia works on various projects in different sectors, including infrastructure, logistics, entertainment, tourism, and mining.
"The mission welcomes the Kingdom's commitment to fiscal sustainability and efforts to avoid procyclicality by setting a spending ceiling that would be delinked from oil price fluctuations."


Saudi economy sees fastest growth in decade on higher oil output​

The higher oil production by Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ states was to offset Russian output losses.

7 Jun 2022

Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product grew 9.9 percent in the first quarter, the fastest in a decade and more than a flash estimate last month of 9.6 percent, official data shows.
It was the fastest expansion since the third quarter of 2011 with the increase in oil production a key factor, said Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank.

“This growth is due to the high increase in oil activities by 20.3 percent,” the General Authority for Statistics said.

GDP growth was 2.6 percent higher than in the fourth quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis, while oil activity was up 2.9 percent on a quarterly basis, data released on Tuesday showed.

Crude petroleum and natural gas activities were the highest contributor to GDP at 32.4 percent, the statistics authority said.

Non-oil activity rose 3.7 percent, or 0.9 percent from the previous quarter. Government activity increased by 2.4 percent year on year, but declined 0.9 percent from the fourth quarter.

“All economic activities recorded positive annual growth rates in the first quarter of 2022,” the General Authority for Statistics said.

Wholesale and retail trade, restaurants and hotels activities grew by 6.3 percent from a year earlier, while exports grew by 22.1 percent, the data showed.

GDP per capita of 26,961 riyals ($7,187) in the first quarter of 2022 was up 33.8 percent from the corresponding 2021 quarter.

“The underlying data still points to a healthy pace of expansion in the non-oil sector,” Malik said adding, “Saudi is in a very strong position, given the limited global oil capacity and the high oil prices.”

Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ states agreed to bring forward oil production rises to offset Russian output losses as a result of Western sanctions for Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, which it calls a “special military operation”.

In April, the International Monetary Fund upgraded the kingdom’s economic growth outlook to 7.6 percent in 2022, citing higher oil output and prices, from 3.2 percent in 2021.


Saudi Aramco eclipses Apple to once again become the world's most valuable company​

By Michelle Toh, CNN Business
Updated 1638 GMT (0038 HKT) May 12, 2022

Hong Kong (CNN Business)Saudi Aramco has overtaken Apple as the world's most valuable company, underscoring the recent surge in oil prices that have boosted the energy giant this year.

Aramco is now worth about $2.43 trillion, compared with Apple's $2.37 trillion, according to data from Refinitiv.


I read that Saudi Arabia has had a 50 billion USD profit each month this year. That is 300 billion USD this year so far.:eek:

@The SC I hope that the country will use a lot of money on continuing focusing on education, R&D, science, technology and the military sector as well as helping old allies (Pakistan).:pakistan:
 
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IMF: Overall Saudi Arabian GDP Projected to Grow 7.6%​


Thursday, 23 June, 2022 - 08:45

saudi-imf.jpg

IMF confirms that Saudi Arabia mitigated the economic risks resulting from the Russian-Ukrainian war (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Riyadh - Asharq Al-Awsat

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has highlighted solid indicators for the Saudi economy, expecting a 7.6 percent overall GDP growth in 2022.
Non-oil growth will increase to 4.2 percent in 2022, with the current account surplus will increase to 17.4 percent of GDP in 2022, said the Fund experts.
An IMF mission conducted discussions for the 2022 Article IV Consultation from May 23-June 6 and issued a concluding statement describing their preliminary findings.
The experts emphasized the strength of the Saudi economy and its financial position, explaining that the country's economic prospects have a positive outlook in the short and medium term.
"The near and medium-term outlook for Saudi Arabia is positive as growth is picking up, inflation will remain contained, and the external position will strengthen further."
The Fund indicated that the Kingdom managed the COVID-19 pandemic well and is well-positioned to weather the risks posed by the war in Ukraine and the monetary policy tightening cycle in advanced economies.
"Economic activity is picking up strongly, supported by a higher oil price and the reforms unleashed under Vision 2030," read the statement.
Saudi authorities' commitment to fiscal discipline should help further strengthen fiscal and external sustainability and avoid procyclicality while implementing the ambitious structural reform agenda will help ensure a durable, inclusive, and green recovery.
"Saudi Arabia is recovering strongly following a deep pandemic-induced recession."
The report also explained that the overall growth was robust at 3.2 percent in 2021, driven by recovering non-oil manufacturing, retail, e-commerce, and the trade sector.
The Fund pointed out that with increased labor force participation of nationals offsetting expatriates' departures, the unemployment rate has fallen further to 11 percent, a 1.6 percent drop from 2020, mainly owing to higher employment for Saudi nationals, particularly women, in the private sector.
The statement said that financial stability risks are well contained, and the banking system is profitable, liquid, and well-capitalized.
The staff's preliminary analysis found that the impact on credit growth and non-oil GDP is negligible and positive for the banking sector profitability when oil prices and liquidity are high.
They touched on the Kingdom's efforts concerning climate policies, stressing that the government is working to intensify investments in blue and green hydrogen production and is undertaking research and development focusing on the circular carbon economy.
They confirmed the strength of the Kingdom's economy and the power of its financial position, reflected in the great effort made by the government to promote its economic reforms in light of Vision 2030.
Saudi Arabia works on various projects in different sectors, including infrastructure, logistics, entertainment, tourism, and mining.
"The mission welcomes the Kingdom's commitment to fiscal sustainability and efforts to avoid procyclicality by setting a spending ceiling that would be delinked from oil price fluctuations."


Saudi economy sees fastest growth in decade on higher oil output​

The higher oil production by Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ states was to offset Russian output losses.

7 Jun 2022

Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product grew 9.9 percent in the first quarter, the fastest in a decade and more than a flash estimate last month of 9.6 percent, official data shows.
It was the fastest expansion since the third quarter of 2011 with the increase in oil production a key factor, said Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank.

“This growth is due to the high increase in oil activities by 20.3 percent,” the General Authority for Statistics said.

GDP growth was 2.6 percent higher than in the fourth quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis, while oil activity was up 2.9 percent on a quarterly basis, data released on Tuesday showed.

Crude petroleum and natural gas activities were the highest contributor to GDP at 32.4 percent, the statistics authority said.

Non-oil activity rose 3.7 percent, or 0.9 percent from the previous quarter. Government activity increased by 2.4 percent year on year, but declined 0.9 percent from the fourth quarter.

“All economic activities recorded positive annual growth rates in the first quarter of 2022,” the General Authority for Statistics said.

Wholesale and retail trade, restaurants and hotels activities grew by 6.3 percent from a year earlier, while exports grew by 22.1 percent, the data showed.

GDP per capita of 26,961 riyals ($7,187) in the first quarter of 2022 was up 33.8 percent from the corresponding 2021 quarter.

“The underlying data still points to a healthy pace of expansion in the non-oil sector,” Malik said adding, “Saudi is in a very strong position, given the limited global oil capacity and the high oil prices.”

Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ states agreed to bring forward oil production rises to offset Russian output losses as a result of Western sanctions for Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, which it calls a “special military operation”.

In April, the International Monetary Fund upgraded the kingdom’s economic growth outlook to 7.6 percent in 2022, citing higher oil output and prices, from 3.2 percent in 2021.


Saudi Aramco eclipses Apple to once again become the world's most valuable company​

By Michelle Toh, CNN Business
Updated 1638 GMT (0038 HKT) May 12, 2022

Hong Kong (CNN Business)Saudi Aramco has overtaken Apple as the world's most valuable company, underscoring the recent surge in oil prices that have boosted the energy giant this year.

Aramco is now worth about $2.43 trillion, compared with Apple's $2.37 trillion, according to data from Refinitiv.


I read that Saudi Arabia has had a 50 billion USD profit each month this year. That is 300 billion USD this year so far.:eek:

@The SC I hope that the country will use a lot of money on continuing focusing on education, R&D, science, technology and the military sector as well as helping old allies (Pakistan).:pakistan:
No worries bro.. it is exactly what KSA has been doing for a looong time, is doing now and will continue in the future.. short, medium and long term..
 
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My advice to Arabs:

Ditch the West for China.

Do not be dependent on the West for anything, because the West will enslave you.
Thanks for the advice.. but do you really think Saudi Arabia and most Arab authorities don't know this?

These are politics played on the global checker.. keeping relations with the US is also a good move while seeking and achieving self-sufficiency in everything and from everywhere, China makes the US jealous.. and vice versa.. and that works in the Arabs' interests..
 
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Thanks for the advice.. but do you really think Saudi Arabia and most Arab authorities don't know this?

These are politics played on the global checker.. keeping relations with the US is also a good move while seeking and achieving self-sufficiency in everything and from everywhere, China makes the US jealous.. and vice versa.. and that works in the Arabs' interests..
Probably you are right. The authorities in Saudi Arabia and Egypt probably already realized this.

Thanks for the advice.. but do you really think Saudi Arabia and most Arab authorities don't know this?

These are politics played on the global checker.. keeping relations with the US is also a good move while seeking and achieving self-sufficiency in everything and from everywhere, China makes the US jealous.. and vice versa.. and that works in the Arabs' interests..
Exactly when the West refuses to invest in Muslim countries and then expects cooperation. lol. what hypocrites the west are.
 
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Probably you are right. The authorities in Saudi Arabia and Egypt probably already realized this.


Exactly when the West refuses to invest in Muslim countries and then expects cooperation. lol. what hypocrites the west are.
The West has its own policies based on the carrot and stick principle.. they give the carrot but expect you to take the stick too..Muslims accept the carrot and reject the stick.. hence creating a conflict in Western minds.. HaHaHa!
 
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My advice to Arabs:

Ditch the West for China.

Do not be dependent on the West for anything, because the West will enslave you.

More like ditch all big powers because all of them are there for their own interests, the Chinese will be no different to the US or the British, you will see. Have a working relationship with all big powers and all other countries that benefits you and in the background keep working on you own capability so you don't depend on anybody.
 
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More like ditch all big powers because all of them are there for their own interests, the Chinese will be no different to the US or the British, you will see. Have a working relationship with all big powers and all other countries that benefits you and in the background keep working on you own capability so you don't depend on anybody.

While the thinking is good and in a perfect uncomplicated world it would be the best solution for much of the Muslim world, the geopolitical realities dictates that you need to pick a "side". If not you will be forced to pick a side. Look at Turkey. They became a part of NATO (and to this day are part of the Western sphere for good and bad) because otherwise they risked getting absorbed by the other side (USSR). Pakistan had to pick the US as our main rival India was closely aligned to the other power (USSR). Later China (due to the Chinese-Indian rivalry) took the mantle. All this is about geopolitics. Otherwise Pakistanis and Han Chinese share very little if anything in common. This is the harsh reality.

Another thing is that powerful states don't like new competitors. This is how it is in business and all walks of life. Those in power want to retain their status quo and are doing everything to limit newcomers.

The sad thing about all this is, that the Arab world and Middle East/Western Asia is the cradle of civilization on its own and that the Islamic civilization is one of the greatest on the planet and arguably one of the most influential without a single doubt. Very few civilizations can even compete.

It is actually absolutely pathetic and a sign of the pathetic state of the Muslim world, that we are forced to align ourselves with either the West or China when we should be the third power like historically speaking. I am here talking about our leaders, not the average Muslim person.

But this is the consequence in the modern world where nation states rule, where Arabs are divided into 20 countries, where there is ethnic rivalry between Muslims etc. You cannot repeat a powerful transnational Caliphate today although it would have solved a lot on paper at least but it is not realistic.
 
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@The SC

Is it true that the sovereign wealth funds of the GCC control a combined wealth approaching 4 trillion (!!!) USD with KSA owning most of that sum? This is absolutely insane.

The GCC as a whole is probably a 3 trillion USD economy by now too.



Saudi Arabia has a very bright future.
 
. . .
@The SC

Is it true that the sovereign wealth funds of the GCC control a combined wealth approaching 4 trillion (!!!) USD with KSA owning most of that sum? This is absolutely insane.

The GCC as a whole is probably a 3 trillion USD economy by now too.



Saudi Arabia has a very bright future.
KSA $2 trillion.. the other part from other GCC countries..
 
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