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Economy suffered Rs 69 bn loss in three days
Monday, March 16, 2009
GDP growth, tax collection targets at stake
By Mehtab Haider
ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s ailing economy suffered a colossal loss to the tune of Rs69 billion in just three days blockade and halting of all kinds of economic activities in the wake of ongoing long march that struck the country after breaking promises by the political elites, it is learnt.
According to initial estimates drawn by the authorities concerned and shared with The News on Sunday, the size of the overall economy touched Rs13,070 billion during the last financial year 2008-09 and if it was assumed that the agriculture sector did not affect owing to ongoing political turmoil then the non-agriculture size of the economy touched Rs10,456 billion.
The contribution of Punjab, Balochistan and NWFP in overall GDP stood at 78 percent, which showed that complete halting of economic activities resulted into a colossal loss of Rs23 billion on daily basis. If the losses suffered by Sindh are included, the overall losses turn out to be Rs29 billion per day.
The country is facing complete turmoil and movement was restricted for the last two days. This situation is going to prevail today (Monday) so the overall losses to the economy would touch Rs69 billion to Rs87 billion.
The loss of the economy, the sources said, also resulted into tax collection shortfall as FBR was eyeing to collect Rs116 billion during the ongoing month (March). The FBR is supposed to collect around Rs3.8 billion on daily basis for achieving its monthly target for March 2009. The three-day blockade will also result in losses of over Rs10 billion to the FBR in its effort to collect the due taxes.
When Adviser on Finance Shaukat Tarin was contacted for comments on Sunday, he said the Finance Ministry would come up with estimated losses to the economy owing to this turmoil. “We are requesting all political leaders to save the economy of the country,” he added.
He said he would assign competent persons to ascertain the facts in this regard, which would also be shared with the nation. However, the sources said the rigidity shown by the ruling elite for blocking the way of restoration of judges including Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry has virtually halted all economic activities, which were already suffering owing to the lingering economic crisis as well as severe loadshedding.
Exports, imports, tax collection and economic activities have been severely affected in the wake of ongoing protest mode prevailing upon the country, resulting into playing havoc with the economy of the country.
The businessmen are already facing the most difficult situation owing to global recession as well as domestic economic difficulties. The rates of utilities such as electricity and gas also touched new heights and now protesting mode has shattered the hopes for revival of the economic activities.
The government has impounded thousands of containers all over the country, virtually blocking supplies of goods from Karachi to all other parts of the country.
The government has made arrangements to seal major routes all over the country in effort to foil bid of the lawyers and opposition parties to stage sit-in at the Constitution Avenue of the federal capital on March 16. The administration has taken over containers, trucks and other vehicles into its control.
The revised GDP growth target of 2.5% as well as FBR’s tax collection target of Rs1,300 billion is at stake, putting the economic managers into difficult situation with regard to envisaged macroeconomic target with the IMF for fiscal 2008-09.
According to FBR high-ups, thousands of containers having goods of imports and exports are stuck up at Karachi port and there were no chances to make transportation arrangement because the government impounded all containers in order to seal all major cities of the country.
The sources said the tax collection has been affected in Karachi as well as Lahore, Faisalabad, Multan and other major cities of Punjab and one day loss could be at least more than Rs10 billion.
http://www.thenews.com.pk/top_story_detail.asp?Id=20944
Now, the amount is ~$ 1 bn. Was the long march worth of it?