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Did Russia just reduce the threat of Indian-backed terrorism against Pakistan?

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Andrew Korybko |

Russia’s plan to build a pipeline connecting Iran, Pakistan and India greatly diminishes the chance that New Delhi will continue to support terrorism in Balochistan.

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Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak confirmed that his country will be constructing a gas pipeline between Iran, Pakistan, and India, with the Russian news agency TASS quoting him as saying that, “The agreement, the memorandum that was signed yesterday, focuses on cooperation in implementation of projects related to gas production in Southern Iran and supplies of this resource to India through the exclusive economic zone of Pakistan under the Persian Gulf.”

If this turns out to be the case, then the “South Asian Stream” gas pipeline is guaranteed to have far-reaching geopolitical implications by making India’s energy security partially dependent on Pakistani Balochistan, which New Delhi’s Research & Analysis Wing (RAW) intelligence agency has frenziedly tried to destabilize for years already.

The report also said that there would be a branch pipeline as well, and even though it didn’t specify exactly what’s intended by this, The Express Tribune, a Pakistani media outlet, earlier wrote that an unnamed senior Russian official told them that Moscow plans on “laying an offshore pipeline that will pass through Gwadar Port.”

If this turns out to be the case, then the “South Asian Stream” gas pipeline is guaranteed to have far-reaching geopolitical implications by making India’s energy security partially dependent on Pakistani Balochistan, which New Delhi’s Research & Analysis Wing (RAW) intelligence agency has frenziedly tried to destabilize for years already. The author wrote about Indian Prime Minister Modi’s thinly veiled threat to this region last year during his 69th independence anniversary speech in an August 2016 analysis about how “India’s Geopolitical Hate For Pakistan Is Sabotaging The North-South Corridor”.

Read more:Does Chabahar matter?

The main point was that India’s US-backed destabilization efforts against Pakistani Balochistan as part of the larger Hybrid War on CPEC inevitably run the risk of spilling across the border into the neighboring Iranian region of Sistan-e-Baluchistan and unwittingly undermining security in the Chabahar port that forms the terminal location of the planned North-South Transport Corridor with Russia.

Furthermore, a high-profile terrorist incident occurred near the two countries’ shared Baloch border in May, which the author suggested in his piece at the time titled “RAW + Daesh = Jundallah 2.0” was actually an Indian-orchestrated provocation to harm Pakistani-Iranian relations. Whether that was indeed the case or not, was never fully confirmed, but nevertheless, the ruse failed in its suspected goal and the two Muslim Great Powers actually used the experience as an opportunity to grow closer to one another.

Around the same time, India began purchasing less oil from Iran in what was thought to have been its compliance with implied American demands. Tehran countered by selling Moscow a stake in one of its largest offshore gas fields that it had earlier been negotiating with New Delhi, and for a while, it appeared as though Indian-Iranian relations were set for an imminent tailspin.

The geopolitical alignment in mainland Asia was rapidly moving against India as a result of its leadership’s failed clandestine “adventures” in Balochistan, made all the more apparent by the disastrous Donglang Drama that it initiated with China over the summer which humiliatingly ended with New Delhi’s withdraw despite Beijing’s troops remaining in the Tibetan borderland. Just as the US planned, this regional dynamic served to throw India further into its arms in advancing Washington’s grand strategic plan for the 21stcentury in turning India into its Great Power ‘spoiler’ proxy against China for obstructing the emergence of the Multipolar World Order.

While it’s still the case that India is much closer to the existing American-led Unipolar World Order and Western Globalization than the rising Chinese-led multipolar one characterized by Silk Road Globalization, it’s undeniable that Russia’s decisive energy intervention is a diplomatic masterstroke designed to slow down the pace of New Delhi’s geostrategic “defection” towards Washington.

Of relevance to the present piece, this has to do with the game-changing Russian-Pakistani rapprochement, without which it would have been impossible for Moscow to clinch such a win-win deal with its historic Cold War-era rival in Islamabad.

Russia has been enthusiastically expanding its relations with India over the past couple of years despite Modi’s obvious turn towards the US, though Moscow did this with an eye on eventually using its newfound leverage with New Delhi to Beijing’s ultimate benefit, as described in the author’s August 2016 article about how “Russia’s Diplomatic Balancing Act In Asia Is To The Benefit Of Its Chinese Ally”. It appears as though Russia’s recently announced plans for a “South Asian Stream” gas pipeline between Iran, Pakistan, and India will assist China’s long-term security by removing — or at least lessening – the New Delhi-backed Baloch terrorist threat to CPEC, which in turn improves the odds that the Beijing-led multipolar Silk Road replacement to the Washington-led international order will succeed. It remains to be seen if this will indeed be the case because India’s Machiavellian-like Chanakya treachery is well known, but none of this would nevertheless have been possible had it not been for Russia’s foreign policy “progressives”.

Read more: Why is Chabahar Port no match for Gwadar?

As explained in the author’s September 2017 analysis about how “Russia’s Foreign Policy Progressives Have Trumped The Traditionalists”, this leading faction of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs envisions their country’s 21st-century grand strategy as being the supreme balancing force in the Eurasian supercontinent, and to this end they’ve sought to clinch a variety of non-traditional partnerships all across the landmass. Of relevance to the present piece, this has to do with the game-changing Russian-Pakistani rapprochement, without which it would have been impossible for Moscow to clinch such a win-win deal with its historic Cold War-era rival in Islamabad.

The foreign policy “progressives’” “Ummah Pivot” has therefore given birth to “South Asian Stream”, which proves that Moscow can indeed function as a balancing force in the transregional Mideast-South Asian space, and thereby confirming Russia’s grand strategic concept in using Great Power diplomacy to acquire irreplaceable value to its Chinese and Indian partners in managing the New Cold War between them and facilitating the global transition to multipolarity.

DISCLAIMER: The author writes for this publication in a private capacity which is unrepresentative of anyone or any organization except for his own personal views. Nothing written by the author should ever be conflated with the editorial views or official positions of any other media outlet or institution.

Andrew Korybko is a political analyst, journalist and a regular contributor to several online journals, as well as a member of the expert council for the Institute of Strategic Studies and Predictions at the People’s Friendship University of Russia. He specializes in Russian affairs and geopolitics, specifically the US strategy in Eurasia.The views expressed in this article are author’s own. It does not reflect Global Village Space Editorial policy.

https://www.globalvillagespace.com/...-of-indian-backed-terrorism-against-pakistan/
 
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If this turns out to be the case, then the “South Asian Stream” gas pipeline is guaranteed to have far-reaching geopolitical implications by making India’s energy security partially dependent on Pakistani Balochistan, which New Delhi’s Research & Analysis Wing (RAW) intelligence agency has frenziedly tried to destabilize for years already.

wait , did mother russia called India a Terrorist indirectly
 
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“The agreement, the memorandum that was signed yesterday, focuses on cooperation in implementation of projects related to gas production in Southern Iran and supplies of this resource to India through the exclusive economic zone of Pakistan under the Persian Gulf.

It will not pass through Balochistan
 
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“The agreement, the memorandum that was signed yesterday, focuses on cooperation in implementation of projects related to gas production in Southern Iran and supplies of this resource to India through the exclusive economic zone of Pakistan under the Persian Gulf.

It will not pass through Balochistan

So! you are saying that India will continue to foment terrorism inside Baluchistan...!!
 
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Yes Yes.. Moeed Peerzada and Andrew Korybko just became the official spokesperson for the Govt. of Russia.

What a piece of crap from someone so delusional. Doesn't deserve any comment better than " Its Sh**".


everything is shit that doesn't qualify to be delusional enough to keep the indians high on the shit their govt keeps feeding them...
 
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Russia in the current situation would still choose India over Pakistan, they have too much invested in that line. Stop being so delusional please.

Well! .... it requires some smart thinking that the things don't reach to that level where Russia has to choose between Pakistan and India ..... ;)

As the events in Afghanistan will progress in the next two years, Russia will become more and more aligned with Pakistan. This is a Geostrategic certainty.
 
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everything is shit that doesn't qualify to be delusional enough to keep the indians high on the shit their govt keeps feeding them...

wow

something like

nothing is delusional unless it is more delusional than the delusions that delusional people are usually lost in delusion to.

Clear, logical, elegant, pithy.

Must keep an eye out for this poster. Perhaps many such gems will emerge from him/her.

Well! .... it requires some smart thinking that the things don't reach to that level where Russia has to choose between Pakistan and India ..... ;)

As the events in Afghanistan will progress in the next two years, Russia will become more and more aligned with Pakistan. This is a Geostrategic certainty.

You forgot Iran. And Muscat. And Abu Dhabi. And Ajman. And Dubai. And Fujairah. And Ras-al-Khaimah. And Sharjah. And Umm-al-Quwain. And Qatar. And Bahrain. And Saudi Arabia. And Kuwait. And India. And ....

Oops. Not that last one. Not yet. Take a few years more, after New Delhi has been captured.

What would the world DO without pocket geo-strategists, breaking out into geo-strategic vision every now and then?
 
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everything is shit that doesn't qualify to be delusional enough to keep the indians high on the shit their govt keeps feeding them...


When someone writing "RAW + Daesh = Jundullah 2.0" is surly high on something. As if Pakistan and Iran are greatest allies. What about Jundullah 1.0 (lolz) what was its composition? I heard that Iran had been blaming Pakistanis establishment for supporting Jundullah rather than India. Does India need to engage Jundullah (a vouched enemy of Iran) and risk its relations with Iran. Other than that, India supporting Daesh, nothing can be more moronic than this "conjecture". What can be more laughable than India supporting Daesh to supplant Afghan Government.

Around the same time, India began purchasing less oil from Iran in what was thought to have been its compliance with implied American demands. Tehran countered by selling Moscow a stake in one of its largest offshore gas fields that it had earlier been negotiating with New Delhi, and for a while, it appeared as though Indian-Iranian relations were set for an imminent tailspin.

Again a conspiracy theory being peddled as truth. Farzad-B gasfield award to Gazprom was completely a business decision by the Iranians and Indians, where both parties failed to finalize the modalities of a business deal. Nothing to do with the idea that the author of the is article trying to impress.

The geopolitical alignment in mainland Asia was rapidly moving against India as a result of its leadership’s failed clandestine “adventures” in Balochistan, made all the more apparent by the disastrous Donglang Drama that it initiated with China over the summer which humiliatingly ended with New Delhi’s withdraw despite Beijing’s troops remaining in the Tibetan borderland. Just as the US planned, this regional dynamic served to throw India further into its arms in advancing Washington’s grand strategic plan for the 21stcentury in turning India into its Great Power ‘spoiler’ proxy against China for obstructing the emergence of the Multipolar World Order.

And then this jewel of a paragraph. Completely uninformed. Again propagating conspiracy theories.

Man, how gullible can the Pakistanis be so as to believe this horse manure.

nothing is delusional unless it is more delusional than the delusions that delusional people are usually lost in delusion to.

ha ha ha....
 
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Well! .... it requires some smart thinking that the things don't reach to that level where Russia has to choose between Pakistan and India ..... ;)

Indeed. I have looked at Russian moves recently and while I do not deny that Russia is more than willing to accommodate Pakistan but in all honesty, it looks more like Russia diversifying it's partners in the region and attempting to undermine U.S hegemony over Pakistan.

As the events in Afghanistan will progress in the next two years, Russia will become more and more aligned with Pakistan. This is a Geostrategic certainty.

Russia is primarily looking after its own interests in Afghanistan, mostly because of the fallout to its own backyard (Central Asian states) from the Afghan conflict. It has zero to do with being wanting to align with Pakistan. It is simply the alignment of interests in one theater of conflict. The relationship between Russia and India is not going to breakdown any soon where you will see Russia choosing Pakistan..

And I don't know about you, but I am sick of seeing Pakistan used by different world powers for achieving their own goals. Jumping from the U.S camp to the Russian camp is not really that appealing to me. Russia and India are both mature states that deal with all nations to benefit themselves, while we are partisan submissive folks who like to stay submissive to one party or another and are incapable of forming a foreign policy that enhances our national prestige and is independent of other influences.
 
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When someone writing "RAW + Daesh = Jundullah 2.0" is surly high on something. As if Pakistan and Iran are greatest allies. What about Jundullah 1.0 (lolz) what was its composition? I heard that Iran had been blaming Pakistanis establishment for supporting Jundullah rather than India. Does India need to engage Jundullah (a vouched enemy of Iran) and risk its relations with Iran. Other than that, India supporting Daesh, nothing can be more moronic than this "conjecture". What can be more laughable than India supporting Daesh to supplant Afghan Government.



Again a conspiracy theory being peddled as truth. Farzad-B gasfield award to Gazprom was completely a business decision by the Iranians and Indians, where both parties failed to finalize the modalities of a business deal. Nothing to do with the idea that the author of the is article trying to impress.



And then this jewel of a paragraph. Completely uninformed. Again propagating conspiracy theories.

Man, how gullible can the Pakistanis be so as to believe this horse manure.



ha ha ha....

That post was such bilge. I wonder how people can read it with straight faces.
 
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