Comparison of 2013 and 2014 elections in NA-149

[Patriots]

PTI backed candidate wins in bye-elections in NA-149 on Oct-16, 2014 ... Now I would like to present comparison between general election 2013 result and bye-election 2014 result …..

Three main candidates were contested in 2013 General election:

Total registered votes 338,005 and votes polled 187,681 ... Turnout was 56% …...

Three main candidates have contested in 2014 bye-election:

Total registered votes 338,005 and votes polled 99,348 ... Turnout is 29% …...

Less polled votes 88,333 …...

Malik Amir Dogar was PPP candidate in 2013 and he secured just 20,703 votes ... Now in bye-polls he got 52,321 votes by PTI backing. So PTI votes impact is 31,618 …….

Javed Hashmi was PTI candidate in 2013 and he secured 83,569 votes .... Now in bye-polls he just got 38,393 votes by PML-N backing ... So PMLN impact is big 0 because in general election PML-N candidate Sheikh Tariq Rasheed had secured 73,861 votes … And if you calculate total PML-N votes and difference of remaining PPP votes (which are not polled in bye-election) is 14,377 then you will find interesting figure that not polled … This is exact 26% turnout the main difference of turn between two elections in this constituency is 26%.

This shows that PTI voters have fully participated in bye-elections but PML-N and PPP voter didn’t go to vote … And Javed Hashmi has secured votes due to his own impact … He just lost PTI votes ………..

 

[Danish saleem]

PTI backed candidate wins in bye-elections in NA-149 on Oct-16, 2014 ... Now I would like to present comparison between general election 2013 result and bye-election 2014 result …..

Three main candidates were contested in 2013 General election:
View attachment 136931

Total registered votes 338,005 and votes polled 187,681 ... Turnout was 56% …...

Three main candidates have contested in 2014 bye-election:
View attachment 136934

Total registered votes 338,005 and votes polled 99,348 ... Turnout is 29% …...

Less polled votes 88,333 …...

Malik Amir Dogar was PPP candidate in 2013 and he secured just 20,703 votes ... Now in bye-polls he got 52,321 votes by PTI backing. So PTI votes impact is 31,618 …….

Javed Hashmi was PTI candidate in 2013 and he secured 83,569 votes .... Now in bye-polls he just got 38,393 votes by PML-N backing ... So PMLN impact is big 0 because in general election PML-N candidate Sheikh Tariq Rasheed had secured 73,861 votes … And if you calculate total PML-N votes and difference of remaining PPP votes (which are not polled in bye-election) is 14,377 then you will find interesting figure that not polled … This is exact 26% turnout the main difference of turn between two elections in this constituency is 26%.

This shows that PTI voters have fully participated in bye-elections but PML-N and PPP voter didn’t go to vote … And Javed Hashmi has secured votes due to his own impact … He just lost PTI votes ………..

and what is turnout in 2013 elections on same seat and in 2014 ?

that will tell the whole story, that PTI failed to mobilize the Public, because if after 60 days of live coverage, and Multan jalsa, in same constituency voters turnout decreased to almost 50% , which clearly shows, that IK impact as a game changer not working.

My expectation, is PTI will get more than 1000000 votes, and win margin will be around 50000. but win margin telling the whole story.

 

[syedali73]

and what is turnout in 2013 elections on same seat and in 2014 ?

that will tell the whole story, that PTI failed to mobilize the Public, because if after 60 days of live coverage, and Multan jalsa, in same constituency voters turnout decreased to almost 50% , which clearly shows, that IK impact as a game changer not working.

My expectation, is PTI will get more than 1000000 votes, and win margin will be around 50000. but win margin telling the whole story.

You have a valid point there. In my opinion there are three reasons why PTI voters turn out was not 100%:

1. Support of a candidate who does not enjoy good reputation in Multan in general and among PTI voters in particular, who happen to be more enlightened, educated, and eager for a change.

2. It was not pubic holiday and many voters could not afford to take a day off only to cast the vote in a by-Election.

3. It was a by-Election and who wins the seat is not a game changer (no new government is formed) hence low interest.

 

[Spy Master]

and what is turnout in 2013 elections on same seat and in 2014 ?

that will tell the whole story, that PTI failed to mobilize the Public, because if after 60 days of live coverage, and Multan jalsa, in same constituency voters turnout decreased to almost 50% , which clearly shows, that IK impact as a game changer not working.

My expectation, is PTI will get more than 1000000 votes, and win margin will be around 50000. but win margin telling the whole story.

O babe no public holiday and if you are not a kid anymore then you should know that by elections turnout is always less than the general elections..!

 

[Patriots]

and what is turnout in 2013 elections on same seat and in 2014 ?

that will tell the whole story, that PTI failed to mobilize the Public, because if after 60 days of live coverage, and Multan jalsa, in same constituency voters turnout decreased to almost 50% , which clearly shows, that IK impact as a game changer not working.

My expectation, is PTI will get more than 1000000 votes, and win margin will be around 50000. but win margin telling the whole story.

You didn't read properly ... I wrote that PTI voters came out and support the candidate but ... But PMLN voter didn't bother to support Hashmi ... And main difference of turnout the same ...............

 

[mr42O]

I saw on twitter yesterday. Great work but much more needed and its only PTI who can deliver

 

[aamerjamal]

I saw on twitter yesterday. Great work but much more needed and its only PTI who can deliver

in dreams na? :p
ohh also for this, IK need to become PM which is impossible till 2018...

You have a valid point there. In my opinion there are three reasons why PTI voters turn out was not 100%:

1. Support of a candidate who does not enjoy good reputation in Multan in general and among PTI voters in particular, who happen to be more enlightened, educated, and eager for a change.

2. It was not pubic holiday and many voters could not afford to take a day off only to cast the vote in a by-Election.

3. It was a by-Election and who wins the seat is not a game changer (no new government is formed) hence low interest.

doesn't all these apply on PML-N voters too???
also 4th point. no major campaign by PML-N top leadership

Ro Imran Ro..