China plans for North Korean regime collapse leaked

[Raphael]

China plans for North Korean regime collapse leaked - Telegraph

China has drawn up detailed contingency plans for the collapse of the North Korean government, suggesting that Beijing has little faith in the longevity of Kim Jong-un’s regime.

Documents drawn up by planners from China’s People’s Liberation Army that were leaked to Japanese media include proposals for detaining key North Korean leaders and the creation of refugee camps on the Chinese side of the frontier in the event of an outbreak of civil unrest in the secretive state.

The report calls for stepping up monitoring of China’s 879-mile border with North Korea.

Any senior North Korean military or political leaders who could be the target of either rival factions or another “military power,” thought to be a reference to the United States, should be given protection, the documents state.

According to Kyodo News, the Chinese report says key North Korean leaders should be detained in special camps where they can be monitored, but also prevented from directing further military operations or taking part in actions that could be damaging to China’s national interest.

The report suggests “foreign forces” could be involved in an incident that leads to the collapse of internal controls in North Korea, resulting to millions of refugees attempting to flee. The only route to safety the vast majority would have would be over the border into China.

The Chinese authorities intend to question new arrivals, determine their identities and turn away any who are considered dangerous or undesirable.

“This only underlines that all the countries with a stake in the stability of north-east Asia need to be talking to each other,” Jun Okumura, a visiting scholar at the Meiji Institute for Global Affairs, told The Telegraph.

“What we have learned from the collapse of other dictatorships – the Soviet Union, Muammar Gaddafi’s Libya – is that the more totalitarian the regime, the harder and faster they fall,” he added.

“This is why we need contingency plans and I am sure that the US and South Korea have extensive plans in place, but the release of Chinese measures is new,” he said.

Okumura believes that the timing of the leak of the study is significant, given that China can have been expected to have similar contingency plans in place for the past two decades that North Korea has been teetering on the edge of implosion.

The release of the study comes just days after Beijing issued a thinly veiled warning to Pyongyang, ahead of a fourth anticipated nuclear test, that China would “by no means allow war or chaos to occur on our doorstep.”

China, which is North Korea’s sole remaining significant supporter, also refused to export any crude oil over its border to the North in the first three months of the year.

 

[bolo]

China plans for North Korean regime collapse leaked - Telegraph

Bs article.
"Documents drawn up by planners from China’s People’s Liberation Army that were leaked to Japanese media" . Of all the media in the world, they leaked to Japanese media. it's from the telegraph.

 

[Chinese-Dragon]

If the US pulls a Ukraine in North Korea, of course we have to protect ourselves from the ensuing flood of refugees. That's not a secret, it's just common sense.

 

[ChineseTiger1986]

Although NK is indeed a clown, but no way that China will let it to collapse.

Another wet dream article from the Kimchi and Nip.

If the US pulls a Ukraine in North Korea, of course we have to protect ourselves from the ensuing flood of refugees. That's not a secret, it's just common sense.

NK is an absolute authoritarian regime, the US has no chance to set the fire there.

 

[bolo]

Although NK is indeed a clown, but no way that China will let it to collapse.

Another wet dream article from the Kimchi and Nip.

If nk on the verge, kim will start a war with sk to try desperately to remain in control.

 

[ChineseTiger1986]

If nk on the verge, kim will start a war with sk to try desperately to remain in control.

If the collapse will ever happen to NK, and i guess that Kim Jong-Un might blow up Seoul before it goes down.

So i suggest to those South Korean Kimchis to stop being gloating about the collapse of NK, if it will ever go to the collapse, and i bet that Seoul will go crying tomorrow.

 

[Chinese-Dragon]

If the collapse will ever happen to NK, and i guess that Kim Jong-Un might blow up Seoul before it goes down.

So i suggest to those South Korean Kimchis to stop being gloating about the collapse of NK, if it will ever go to the collapse, and i bet that Seoul will go crying tomorrow.

Seoul is South Korea, it contains over half their population and most of their GDP.

And it is right next to the North Korean border.

South Koreans might care, but I doubt America cares.

 

[ChineseTiger1986]

Seoul is South Korea, it contains over half their population and most of their GDP.

And it is right next to the North Korean border.

South Koreans might care, but I doubt America cares.

That's why SK should stop this troublemaking behavior, since it is about to throw a stone in a glass house where they live inside.

Those western influenced liberal medias are notorious of making the false news and lies.

Just take an example at the SK's medias, they keep making the bullshit news about NK.

We all know that NK and Kim family are a bunch of ruthless bastards, but would people believe those bullshit tabloids such as Kim executed his former girlfriend and feeding his uncle to 100 hungry dogs, blahblahblah

Their style reminds me Falungong's Epoch Times, which is a 100 times twist and exaggeration from the reality.

 

[senheiser]

Although NK is indeed a clown, but no way that China will let it to collapse.

Another wet dream article from the Kimchi and Nip.



NK is an absolute authoritarian regime, the US has no chance to set the fire there.

North Korea wont collapse, they literally believe their own Propaganda

 

[gambit]

Although NK is indeed a clown, but no way that China will let it to collapse.

Another wet dream article from the Kimchi and Nip.



NK is an absolute authoritarian regime, the US has no chance to set the fire there.

Do you even perform any kind of critical thinking before you post ? Obviously -- NOT.

The only way for China to prevent NKR from collapse is to take over the country before the collapse process begins. But once the process starts, whatever is the crossover point, and China have to deal with refugees, it is too late. China can step in and put out 'small fires', so to speak, but China will have to let the process complete before putting in new government and new leaders, that is after the PLA secured the NKR/SKR border to deter any military incursions. If China miss the signs of an impending collapse, there is nothing China can do other than to militarily secure the country and let the process do its job.

 

[TaiShang]

Do you even perform any kind of critical thinking before you post ? Obviously -- NOT.

The only way for China to prevent NKR from collapse is to take over the country before the collapse process begins. But once the process starts, whatever is the crossover point, and China have to deal with refugees, it is too late. China can step in and put out 'small fires', so to speak, but China will have to let the process complete before putting in new government and new leaders, that is after the PLA secured the NKR/SKR border to deter any military incursions. If China miss the signs of an impending collapse, there is nothing China can do other than to militarily secure the country and let the process do its job.

I think China will not want to take over the country. That would be a liability. Status quo is to China's favor. Besides, government in DPRK does not seem any weaker than it was a year ago.

Even if there is collapse, maybe the situation can be controlled from inside, rather than weighing heavily from outside. In most cases, that's even more destabilizing. Personally, I am for that option.

But, surely, China will want to draft a plan toward the worst contingencies.

In case of a deep crisis (like regime collapse) I would prefer China to seal the border (as much as possible) but, at the same time, engage DPRK internally heavily. The worst case scenario would be to let ROK-US forces to assume control of the crisis.

 

[gambit]

I think China will not want to take over the country. That would be a liability. Status quo is to China's favor.

Want is not the same as need.

Besides, government in DPRK does not seem any weaker than it was a year ago.

I played tourist in East Berlin when it existed. I was there, as in active duty USAF, when the Soviet empire began its collapse. No one saw it coming.

Even if there is collapse, maybe the situation can be controlled from inside, rather than weighing heavily from outside. In most cases, that's even more destabilizing. Personally, I am for that option.

But, surely, China will want to draft a plan toward the worst contingencies.

In case of a deep crisis (like regime collapse) I would prefer China to seal the border (as much as possible) but, at the same time, engage DPRK internally heavily. The worst case scenario would be to let ROK-US forces to assume control of the crisis.

When East Germany began its collapse process, were there any contingency plans for a new East Germany ? No. Everyone knew that either the Soviet reenter East Germany and take over the country, or the German people themselves will be one people and country again. East Germans were not South Ossetia who sought to escape someone else.

 

[TaiShang]

Want is not the same as need.


I played tourist in East Berlin when it existed. I was there, as in active duty USAF, when the Soviet empire began its collapse. No one saw it coming.


When East Germany began its collapse process, were there any contingency plans for a new East Germany ? No. Everyone knew that either the Soviet reenter East Germany and take over the country, or the German people themselves will be one people and country again. East Germans were not South Ossetia who sought to escape someone else.

"Want" and "need" are two different concepts, obviously. But often "need" comes in plenty and you "want" to go for the optimum.
In DPRK case, the "need" is to response in case of a crisis and the "want" is to response in a way to the best of interests of the nation.

No one saw the collapse coming. Or maybe too many people saw it coming and equally many people saw it not coming. When everybody opines, the power of prediction diminishes. No body wants (and connat be in our very informatized age) to be the black sheep. So many people are seeing a DPRK collapse and so many are not anticipating a collapse. In this case, both opinions are valid but not really unique. When history unfolds in one way or another, it will again be a "no body saw it coming" moment. The truth is, too many see it coming.

More contingency strategies can be drafted for DPRK because there are numerous actors involved. It cannot be either A or B. A good strategist has to develop further scenarios. National strategy may not be arrested by actualities. Potentialities should take a part. I cannot tell from my vantage point, how, but, a government strategist, with all the intelligence he/she has, will have a better grasp of actualities and potentialities.

 

[Globenim]

Sound like yet another Japanese propaganda lie to make China look "hostile" to North Korea.

Learning from their destructive and oppressive american masters mind: divide and conquer