MH.Yang
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yes and now West is no longer allowing China to gain the single market manufacturing advantage
especially after COVID
Only communist countries have the ability to say "allowing" or "no allowing" to the market, which Western countries do not have. Capital controls the regimes of western countries, only a country like China is a country where the government controls capital. Capital will make their choices according to the market, not the govt.
Even in the last century, China has never been the country with the lowest labor cost. In fact, in addition to low-end labor-intensive industries, labor cost is not the largest commodity cost, and industrial chain and logistics are the biggest commodity costs, that is also the reason why the cost of goods in countries such as India is much higher than that in China. I am engaged in cemented carbide industry, if I want to sell a batch of drill bits, first I need to buy tungsten powder and cobalt powder from other enterprises, then I need other enterprises to help me press it into alloy rods, I also need enterprises to help me do wire cutting, and I also need enterprises to help me weld the alloy head to the steel bar. A total of more than 10 enterprises are required to cooperate together. If I am an Indian, I need to mail products more than ten times around the world and bear the logistics cost and time back and forth, the logistics cost will exceed the cost of the product itself by several times. In China, I can carry out all production links in one city.
Of course, the Indian online army who makes money by posting doesn't understand these industrial knowledge. I can understand you.
China has the largest, most perfect and most reasonably designed industrial chain in the world, and the most advanced and efficient logistics system, that is the most important reason why capital cannot leave China. Sorry, I forgot that there is also the largest market in the world. Any enterprise leaving China will face fierce competition from China, and it will be difficult for such enterprises to survive.
It is not impossible to transfer the industrial chain from China, but India is unable to take over. India's society is corrupt, inefficient, divided, and its people lack education, such a country cannot even compete with Vietnam and Bangladesh for low-end industries. And as the gap between the rich and the poor worsens, India's population growth rate also begins to decline, India had only 20 to 30 years before it entered aging, but the status quo shows that India is clearly wasting its demographic dividend. The author of this article also understands this point, so the author only mentions Vietnam, not India. Vietnam's development is indeed good, the ability of Vietnamese is far stronger than that of loser Indians, they are capable of accepting part of China's industrial chain. But Vietnam's population is too small and too close to China, Vietnam's economic development depends on China, Vietnam will only become a link in China's industrial chain, not a substitute.
To replace China, you need 20 Vietnam and 40 years.
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