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China bails out Mongolia while India does nothing to help...

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Where is that $1 billion Modi promised to Mongolia? China has just bailed out Mongolia, with the IMF contributing more. Other Asian countries such as Japan and South Korea are also standing by to help. Where is India in all this? I thought Modi called Mongolia a "friend". Is this how Modi and India treat a friend?

Or is this yet another example of Indians making big promises they can't fulfill?


http://gbtimes.com/world/china-imf-bail-out-mongolia

China, IMF to bail out Mongolia

China's central bank has agreed on a currency swap agreement with Mongolia worth US$2.2 billion, according to a joint statement released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Mongolia on Sunday.

The deal - part of a $5.5 billion bailout - will last for three years, and can be extended upon agreement on both sides.

Based on the agreement, Mongolia can trade in its own currency with China at a pre-determined exchange rate, a move it is believed could help the East Asian nation increase its foreign exchange reserves and strengthen the Tugrik.

Economic growth in Mongolia slowed to around one percent last year due to a fall in commodity prices and a slowing economy in China, though the IMF has estimated that the bailout should see economic growth hit eight percent by 2019, SCMP reports.

It marks the sixth time since 1990 that the IMF has bailed out the country.

In addition to China's financial support, the IMF will provide a loan of $440 million, while Asian Development Bank (ADB), World Bank, Japan and South Korea are also planning a "rescue package" of $3 billion.



http://www.thecitizen.in/index.php/...Mongolia-into-Submission-Friend-India-Watches

China Beats Mongolia into Submission, 'Friend' India Watches

SHASTRI RAMACHANDARAN

NEW DELHI:
Prime Minister Narendra Modi was the first-ever Indian Prime Minister to visit Mongolia. He may also be the last, as Mongolia now wishes that he had never come.

Thereby hangs a sordid tale of how the cookie crumbled in the steppes; how the itinerant dream merchant fed false hopes to a credulous but friendly and trusting people; and, how Mongolia -- when squeezed by China to apologise for the Dalai Lama’s visit and promise to never again invite him -- learned the hard way that India would neither come to its aid nor deliver on its promises. Beijing made Ulaanbaatar kowtow, and that was a resounding slap on New Delhi’s face.

Our story begins in May 2015.

PM Modi travelled to Ulaanbaatar from China, told people in the land of Genghis Khan of Buddhism in India, and of Buddhism, among other civilisational links, being common to India and Mongolia. He also announced a credit line of $1 billion and assured the Mongolian leaders that India would extend support in diverse fields and increase exports to Mongolia. This was the text.

Pictures showed PM Modi patting a Mongol horse and trying his hand at archery – the symbolism of posing with a bow and arrow aimed unmistakably at Beijing. That underscored the subtext.

PMModi’s billion-dollar pledge came as a big boost to Mongolia, which is locked between China and Russia, and overwhelmingly dependent on the former. Time was when Mongolia was in a clover, with the Russians and Chinese competing to win them over; and, Mongolia could leverage its ties with one power for bargaining with the other. If Moscow failed to respond to a felt need, Ulaanbaatar could always seek Beijing’s help; and vice versa.

Lately, that has changed. Russia and China have become allies and Russia too is more dependent on China as the greater power especially in the aftermath of the US-led sanctions triggered by the retaking of Crimea. As a result, Ulaanbaatar can no longer call on the Kremlin to help when Beijing is uncooperative. A poor country, with a GDP of about $ 35 billion, Mongolia now feels “trapped” between Russia and China, particularly with the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) as the only show in the region.

This brings us to the subtext of PM Modi’s visit: For New Delhi, it was a successful foray into “China’s backyard”. It was also a message to Beijing that should it seeks to step up its ‘presence’ in Sri Lanka -- which is India’s “zone of influence” – then it should be prepared to face India in its own backyard. In fact, the $1 billion pledged by Modi was India’s answer to the few billion dollars China was pouring into Sri Lanka.

The Mongolian leadership saw PM Modi’s visit as the arrival of a “new power” that would be a counter to China. It was led to believe that it would enjoy India’s support in standing up to China. Indian support, Ulaanbaatar felt, could be critical in the event of Chinese pressure becoming unbearable at a time when Russia can no longer come to its rescue.

The Prime Minister’s visit gave rise to new expectations of economic as well as geopolitical gains. Mongolia naively saw India as a strategic friend that could help Ulaanbaatar stand up to Beijing.

This sense of strength and support which the Monglians (mistakenly) perceived they were drawing from India was palpable when I visited Ulaanbaatar in July. To be Indian was special. After all, Mongolia was expecting a billion dollars from India. “When will this credit line start flowing,” was a question that men, and women, who matter kept popping at me. I had not the heart to disabuse them of their hopes and expectations, when they saw me as the one who had come down from the elephant which is out to slay the dragon.

The crisis erupted in November 2016.

The Dalai Lama, perhaps encouraged by New Delhi, went on a four-day visit to Mongolia. This was his ninth trip to a place where he is revered, and his photo is kept in many monasteries. China resented this provocation, objected to the Dalai’s visit and warned Ulaanbaatar against hosting him. Ulaanbaatar, confident of India’s support, defied Beijing to receive the Dalai Lama.

China struck swiftly with an unprecedented economic blockade. The sanctions paralysed Mongolia’s economy and trade. China slapped a levy on Mongolian goods and trucks entering China. As Russia is too tied to China, Mongolia turned to India, and asked for the promised one billion dollars.

Ambassador Gonchig Ganbold, who met Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) officials, told a leading English daily: “It’s important that India raises its voice against the unilateral measures China is taking against us which is hurting our people especially when severe winter is upon us.” Silence, he said, could be construed as giving China a “pass” for its behaviour.”

The MEA spokesman’s response was: As a close friend of Mongolia, which India regards as its ‘third neighbour’ and ‘spiritual neighbour’, we are ready to work with the Mongolian people in this time of their difficulty.

However, Modi Sarkar was in a funk. There was no trace of the muscle the Prime Minister had displayed to much applause in Ulaanbaatar in May 2015. Any action to ease Mongolia’s difficulties would have meant inviting China’s wrath. Predictably, the political leadership turned a deaf ear to Mongolia’s desperate plea for help.

As a result, on December 21, Ulaanbaatar apologised abjectly to Beijing. Mongolian Foreign Minister Tsend Munkh-Orgil promised that the Dalai Lama will no longer be allowed to enter his country.

Ulaanbaatar fell in line and Beijing resumed the stalled talks for a loan of $4.2 billion. Without China’s financial assistance, the Mongolian economy would collapse.

It is game, set and match to Beijing. This was an entirely avoidable fiasco arising from sheer misjudgment on the part of Mongolia, the Dalai Lama and the Government of India.
 
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So in short Mongolia was successfully able to use the Dalai Lama angle to extort 5.5 billion $ from China.

Its a good thing India hosted Dalai Lama and allowed him to travel to Mongolia to help them use that as a threat against China.

India seems to have done well. Mongolia is happy, china is happy, India is happy and Dalai Lama gets to stay in the news thus highlighting Tibetian issue. Win Win Win Win situation. What seems to be the problem ?
 
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So in short Mongolia was successfully able to use the Dalai Lama angle to extort 4.2 billion $ from China.

Its a good thing India hosted Dalai Lama and allowed him to travel to Mongolia to help them use that as a threat against China.

India seems to have done well. Mongolia is happy, china is happy, India is happy and Dalai Lama gets to stay in the news thus highlighting Tibetian issue. Win Win Win Win situation. What seems to be the problem ?

That's overly optimistic. Why would anybody trust India's promise of friendship and aid when Modi can't even cough up $1 billion to help out a "friend"?

Countries around India will make note of this and align even more closely with China. Nepal, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, etc. are already falling into China's orbit: the string of pearls around India is complete. India has managed to surround itself with pro-China neighbors in the west, north, and east. If I were you, I wouldn't celebrate this as an achievement. The lesson to India is this: don't promise something you can't deliver; talk less, do more.
 
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That's overly optimistic. Why would anybody trust India's promise of friendship and aid when Modi can't even cough up $1 billion to help out a "friend"?

Countries around India will make note of this and flock to China. Nepal, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, etc. will side with China: the string of pearls around India is complete. This is a huge strategic setback for India, and if I were you, I wouldn't spin this as something positive. The lesson to India is this: don't promise something you can't deliver; talk less, do more.

All the best when countries "flock" to china.

For now you are stuck with pakistan and north korea.

All the best in paying Mongolia 5.5 billion $ to keep Dalia Lama off your back. :D ..... wonder which neighbour of China Dalai Lama will visit next. :devil:

Lesson to china: Pay more, talk less.
 
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India is just a dry friend. All their life India was in the camp of USSR and When India saw USA stronger it ditched Russia for USA. Indian and word "ally" are opposite terms.
 
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India is just a dry friend. All their life India was in the camp of USSR and When India saw USA stronger it ditched Russia for USA. Indian and word "ally" are opposite terms.

Which is why we don't use the word "ally".
 
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India try to used Dalai Lama as a front and flag billion dollar loan to Mongolia then used both as a dart to strike at the most sensitive matter in relation with China core interest. Turn out India 1 billion dollar loan not enough for Mongolia economy on the brink of collapse, Mongolia crawl back to China for financial bailout with the condition of Mongolia will no longer welcome Dalai Lama in the future.

All the best when countries "flock" to china.

For now you are stuck with pakistan and north korea.

All the best in paying Mongolia 5.5 billion $ to keep Dalia Lama off your back. :D ..... wonder which neighbour of China Dalai Lama will visit next. :devil:

Lesson to china: Pay more, talk less.
Mongolia already learn their lesson, turn against China the consequence will be severe.
 
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So 5.5 billion $ is the price of not hosting Dalai Lama for a few years.

Not bad.

Let us see if we can raise the rates again with a few other neighbours. :D

Its funny how you succumb to blackmail from such "weak" Mongolia and come here to brag about how you paid them off :lol:
India want to used a meager 1 billions to buy a stooge, turn out be friend with China is better than an enemy, they took India money but always depend on China for their survival.
 
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That's overly optimistic. Why would anybody trust India's promise of friendship and aid when Modi can't even cough up $1 billion to help out a "friend"?

Countries around India will make note of this and align even more closely with China. Nepal, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, etc. are already falling into China's orbit: the string of pearls around India is complete. India has managed to surround itself with pro-China neighbors in the west, north, and east. If I were you, I wouldn't celebrate this as an achievement.
Dont worry!!

Only an Indian could have deduced this from the article you shared. :lol:

The lesson to India is this: don't promise something you can't deliver; talk less, do more.
Thanks for giving it another try. May be it is you they would finally listen too. :P
 
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India want to used a meager 1 billions to buy a stooge, turn out be friend with China is better than an enemy, they took India money but always depend on China for their survival.

LOL....are you sure ?

Read the news again :lol: .......... they blackmailed you into paying them 5.5 Billion $.
 
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So 5.5 billion $ is the price of not hosting Dalai Lama for a few years.

Not bad.

Let us see if we can raise the rates again with a few other neighbours. :D

Its funny how you succumb to blackmail from such "weak" Mongolia and come here to brag about how you paid them off :lol:



Does "severe" mean they will get 5.5 Billion $ ? :cheesy:

Damn !!!! pakistan are you listening ? Want to host Dalai Lama for a few days ? Let us split the loot 50:50 :D


LOL, you Indians are really cheap. You couldn't even spare $1 billion for a "friend".
 
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So 5.5 billion $ is the price of not hosting Dalai Lama for a few years.

Not bad.

Let us see if we can raise the rates again with a few other neighbours. :D

Its funny how you succumb to blackmail from such "weak" Mongolia and come here to brag about how you paid them off :lol:



Does "severe" mean they will get 5.5 Billion $ ? :cheesy:

Damn !!!! pakistan are you listening ? Want to host Dalai Lama for a few days ? Let us split the loot 50:50 :D
What did India get out of billion dollar loan? Dalai Lama wasn't allowed to publicly criticized China in Mongolia. Mongolian government know full well of their action will result of Mongolia economy collapse.
 
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What did India get out of billion dollar loan? Dalai Lama wasn't allowed to publicly criticized China in Mongolia. Mongolian government know full well of their action will result of Mongolia economy collapse.

We gained Mongolian acknowledgement as a trusted partner, Chinese gratitude for not exacerbating the situation, Dalai Lama got into the news again with this demand for Tibetian independence.

I fail to see the down side.
 
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