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Bush can’t push

Salahuddin

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The Whitehouse has huffed, puffed, coughed and spluttered; yet still failed to blow down the nuclear-fuelled house of Ahmedinejad, Iranian President. Actually, the Iranian position seems to have grown in strength. Almost 18 months of intense negotiations have passed, which aimed to prevent Iran from enriching uranium. But then days became weeks, then months and now years; without any firm action being taken against Iran.

Part of the problem is that Iran is a signatory to the nuclear non-proliferation treaty which specifically gives it the right to pursue a civilian energy programme involving the development of nuclear power. IAEA inspectors have been given access to Iranian nuclear sites and as yet, no proof has been uncovered that Iran is involved in any nuclear weapons programme. The evidence is theoretical or circumstantial. Effectively the US argument has been, “Iran has so much oil, what could they want with nuclear technology except weapons!”

This is a classic case of transference. The US sees the world in terms of the domination of oil resources and an imperial grand strategy that requires absolute military superiority including the most powerful weapons of mass destruction. They naturally assume that all other countries wish to behave in the same way.

Without any real evidence and international law theoretically legitimising Iran’s quest for nuclear energy, it has been difficult to convince other Security Council members such as Russia and China that action against Iran is favourable. Russia and China have reasonably strong trade relationships with Iran. The US has no substantial evidence that Iran is actually producing WMD, but wants a Security Council resolution against Iran. However, so far the Security Council have not been interested in anything concrete. Even Tony Blair seems reluctant to get involved in Iran.

The US is currently fighting through a quagmire in Iraq and Afghanistan. There simply aren’t that many troops to spare. In contrast, Israel’s military were relatively available; perhaps they could defeat Hizbollah. Unfortunately, the Israelis failed to do so. They too are mired, in Southern Lebanon.

From a position of relative weakness, Iran now seems to have influence in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Afghanistan. Ahmedinejad met with Kofi Annan last week and the UN later announced that the Iranian president pledged support to UN resolution 1701 in Southern Lebanon that will see a 15000 strong international force protect Israel’s Northern border for her. He also said he wanted to negotiate with the international community regarding Iran’s nuclear technology. Perhaps he believes that by integrating Hizbollah into the Lebanese government, Iran will gain influence over the whole of Lebanon rather than just the Shia south.

The notable point is that Iran has been pressing forward in spite of a rhetorical onslaught from the US. The US seems to be finding it more difficult to exert her influence and overstretched by current military escapades. The US is not in a position to start a new war and cannot act unilaterally. Furthermore, the US cannot bully the international community into any resolution that it wishes.

If true change is to be achieved in the Islamic world it should be to a form of government that is compatible with the wants, needs and desires of the Muslims. They truly want a ruling system without interference from the outside world; America in particular. Now is the time for this to happen, if Allah (swt) wills.
 
mudahi lakh bura chahie to kia hotta hai wohi hotta hai jo munzure Khuda hotta hai ;)
 
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