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Britain: the Euro could not last

khanz4996

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PressTV - Britain: the Euro could not last
UK Treasury ministers have confirmed that the coalition government is dealing with potential plans for a Greek bankruptcy after warnings by Jack Straw that the euro could not last.


Straw, the former Labour foreign secretary, warned that the euro “is going to collapse,” and said, “Is it not better that this happens quickly rather than a slow death?"

Straw's message came after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said the world economy would be destroyed if IMF members did not aid the Greeks.

Speaking at the parliament, Straw said, “What the Government should do instead of sheltering behind the complacent language, weasel words that 'it is not appropriate, we should not speculate' is recognize that this eurozone cannot last.

“And it is the responsibility of the British Government to be open with the British people now about the alternative prospects.”

In an urgent meeting, Britain's senior MPs from all parties asked the government to stand aside from the new financial package aiding Greece and urged the country to leave the euro.

Mark Hoban, financial secretary to the Treasury, said, "I am not going to comment on whether the eurozone will remain intact or not. Clearly, this crisis demonstrates the huge strain the eurozone in under. That is why it was right for us to stay out of the eurozone."

Meanwhile, he admitted that there were many scenarios, which were being considered.

He said it “will not be appropriate” to talk about the detail, but “I will be guilty of not stepping up to the responsibilities of his office if plans had not been made to cope with a default.”

He said that the UK banks had given around £2.47 billion in exceptional loans to Greek nationals and institutions.

Prime Minister David Cameron also declared that UK would not participate in a bailout of Greece.

"We were not involved in the first bailout of Greece; we don't believe the European financial mechanism should be used in any way."

Conservative MP Anne Main claimed that Greece “should be allowed to depart peacefully from the eurozone.”

Danny Alexander, the Chief Secretary to the Treasury, also admitted that UK would not play a part in contributing aid package for Greece.

“The package for Greece that is already in place is a eurozone package with the IMF. It's the eurozone that is taking forward discussions now about the next stage of dealing with Greece's substantial problems. There's simply no proposition on the table for the UK to contribute beyond that IMF involvement and I don't expect there to be one,” he said.
 
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It will be intersting to see what happens with the EU. In the short term my guess is China will try to step in and buy up more Euro debt. with 20 - 25% of their foreign exchange reserves already invested there. They can not afford to have an EU melt down.
 
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It will be intersting to see what happens with the EU. In the short term my guess is China will try to step in and buy up more Euro debt. with 20 - 25% of their foreign exchange reserves already invested there. They can not afford to have an EU melt down.

And if the Eurozone survives, then we will have made a huge profit.

We have bought ports in Greece, land in Ireland, etc. all for rock-bottom prices during the Eurozone crisis. We have bought the soveriegn debt of Greece and Spain at massive rates of interest.

All investments have risk, of course. If the Eurozone collapses, then we will take a financial hit, but we will still own all those strategic assets which will help us to move our products into Europe.

And we still have $3 trillion in currency reserves, so we can absorb any such losses without too many problems.
 
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What if the currency does collapse??
who gets hit the worst??
 
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What if the currency does collapse??
who gets hit the worst??

Europe will get hit the worst, especially the weaker economies like Greece and Spain.

China will get hit as well, considering we have a portion of our reserves invested in European debt, and the fact that Europe is a huge customer of ours. Our economic growth will probably fall slightly like it did during the credit crunch, but nothing too severe.
 
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What if the currency does collapse??
who gets hit the worst??

Highly, highly unlikely scenario. Euro will collapse if both Germany and the IMF withdraw their helping hands from the heads of the PIIGS. I don't see that happening...
 
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maybe china should sell some of their US debt to bail out EU economy.
 
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And if the Eurozone survives, then we will have made a huge profit.

We have bought ports in Greece, land in Ireland, etc. all for rock-bottom prices during the Eurozone crisis. We have bought the soveriegn debt of Greece and Spain at massive rates of interest.

All investments have risk, of course. If the Eurozone collapses, then we will take a financial hit, but we will still own all those strategic assets which will help us to move our products into Europe.

And we still have $3 trillion in currency reserves, so we can absorb any such losses without too many problems.

If it collapses the it's not just about the Euro losses but the loss of exports to the EU who's collective GDP is 20 - 30% higher then the U.S. GDP. And a bigger importer of Chinese goods. It will also have an effect on the U.S. economy which is still pretty fragile. This will further reduce Chinese exports to the U.S.
 
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If it collapses the it's not just about the Euro losses but the loss of exports to the EU who's collective GDP is 20 - 30% higher then the U.S. GDP. And a bigger importer of Chinese goods. It will also have an effect on the U.S. economy which is still pretty fragile. This will further reduce Chinese exports to the U.S.

Exports collapsed worldwide during the 2008 credit crunch.

Yet China still grew at near double-digits during the financial crisis.

According to the World Bank, exports only make up 27% of China's GDP, which is actually relatively low.

World Bank - Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
 
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yes but it is not growing at double digits right now. and this next collapse will be much worse then the first.

Well, I hope there won't be another collapse.

Still, China is somewhat shielded by our $3 trillion reserves. And if the financial crisis of 2008 is anything to go by, our growth won't be impacted too much.

I'm more worried about the danger of a property bubble within China itself.
 
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