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Biden fails to pit allies against China in debut at G7, Munich events

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US President Joe Biden predictably used his first multilateral appearances since taking office to rally support from allies to confront China, but faced a wall, as cooperation with China is inevitable for Europe to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic and other challenges and using "ideology" to glue the alliance together is losing its attraction.

In a speech to the virtual G7 summit, Biden stressed the need for US and allies to collectively deal with economic threats posed by China. At the Munich Security Conference, Biden said "We must prepare together for long-term strategic competition with China," and vowed to restart multilateralism after four years of "America first" policies.

"I know the past few years have strained and tested our transatlantic relationship, but the United States is determined - determined - to re-engage with Europe, to consult with you, to earn back our position of trusted leadership," he said. He told the virtual online audience: "America is back."

However, Biden's calls did not gain much traction among US allies in Europe. That was clear in a joint statement following the G7 meeting, which focused on tackling the real challenges stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic and economic recovery and noticeably only mentioned China once - in favorable terms.

"With the aim of supporting a fair and mutually beneficial global economic system for all people, we will engage with others, especially G20 countries including large economies such as China," the statement reads.

The leaders did say that they would consult with each other on collective approaches to address non-market oriented policies and practices, which some foreign media outlets claimed to be a reference to China.

While the statement did not directly reveal a pushback from allies against Biden's attempt to pit Europe against China, speeches by European leaders were notably straightforward in their disinterest in a confrontation.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel called for a common approach toward dealing with China but she also noted the interests between trans-Atlantic nations don't always line up.

French President Emmanuel defended European "strategic autonomy" and noted the postwar American-dominated world order needs to yield to new realities.

Chinese analysts said that Biden's message was clear and predictable and that the US wanted to mobilize Europe to contain China's development as it now lacks political resources and is mired in a flurry of domestic crises. Also clear was Europe's intention to cooperate with China given the massive mutual interests.

"We do not conceal divergences in many fields [between China and Europe], but frictions and disagreements can be solved via communication and negotiation, and cooperation is the mainstream," Li Haidong, a professor at the Institute of International Relations of China Foreign Affairs University, told the Global Times on Saturday, adding that every country will consider what is their real interests when devising foreign policies.

Apart from the huge economic and trade link between China and Europe, profound turmoil in the US domestic politics and its problematic foreign policies have also seriously chipped away allies' trust and confidence in the former leader of the West, experts said.

The uncertainty of US politics has weakened Europeans' own confidence in the former leader of the alliance, not to mention the fact that each country has their own problems to handle and is unlikely to confront an "fabricated enemy," Li said.

Also turning off European leaders was Biden's lack of a concrete plan, though his strategy largely mirrors that during former US president Barack Obama, according to analysts.

Lü Xiang, a research fellow on US studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing, said that Biden faces a delicate balance between foreign policies and domestic problems, which could be hard to navigate.

"My concern is what if Biden cannot command his team to reach a balance," Lü said, noting that Biden's diplomatic team has the danger of misjudging the overall situation and disturbing the balance.
 
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The "curious incident of the dog in the night-time" holds a special place in Western popular culture. It originates from a short story about the fictional detective Sherlock Holmes. The famous detective solves the case because of this "curious incident." His companion is surprised, because the dog did nothing. But, in this case, nothing spoke volumes. A dog would bark when faced with an unknown intruder. The detective could deduce that there was, in fact, no such intruder.

If you want to understand international relations and diplomacy, it's often best to apply this principle. If a meeting has no action, then it can often be deduced that there was no consensus. The lack of news is, in itself, the key.

For that reason I was unsurprised by what I saw from the G7 summit and the Munich Security Conference "special edition" earlier today. The stark contrast between the two, however, shows how modern politics often plays out.

At the G7, mention of China was limited. The official press release used muted language, a clear reflection of the competing interests of the G7 countries. Absent an agreed political "line," it said nothing of any note: "we will engage with others, especially G20 countries including large economies such as China. As Leaders, we will consult with each other on collective approaches to address non-market oriented policies and practices."

It was hardly a stinging criticism, having all the hallmarks of a statement designed by committee. All countries represented could agree to "engage" with China, whilst the comments on "policies and practices" is intentionally ambiguous. It's today's first example of this simple principle: in politics, what is said and done is often less important than what remains unsaid and what is not done.

This online G7 summit, as I predicted in my previous article, would not be the time for any such battles to be fought. Indeed, even the rhetoric was sidestepped. With the Munich conference occurring on the same day, the political leaders' speeches there – without the need for an unanimous approach – shone a light on attitudes towards China and world affairs. A decision had clearly been taken to use Munich, not the G7, as the vehicle for any anti-China rhetoric.

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President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen delivers a speech during a session of the European Parliament in Brussels, Belgium, February 10, 2021. /Getty

Joe Biden, the new American President, made sharper remarks in his Munich speech: "we must prepare together for a long-term strategic competition with China." He spoke of "pushing back" against "economic abuses" and "coercion," speaking of building a U.S.-EU partnership to counter China.

His words have caused something of a furore in the British press – not for his comments on China, but for his snub to the United Kingdom.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has put significant effort into building relations with the new U.S. administration. Biden's speech spoke of "Europe" repeatedly, name-checked European leaders and even the capital city of Latvia, yet completely ignored the United Kingdom. Such a decision must have been calculated: clever speechwriters know perfectly well what they are doing, and speeches are repeatedly checked by many people. It's a second example of the same principle: the words which are not said are far more instructive than those which are.

The United Kingdom's own language on China was clear, with Boris Johnson using language such as "repression" and "violation." This was not unexpected, but equally there was nothing new: it was merely a reiteration of the same position.

Most curious of all, though, was the President of the EU Commission, Ursula von der Leyen. She said that a "more assertive China has shown robust economic growth, despite the pandemic."
There was no other direct mention of China in her speech, although she did suggest that the United States and Europe should join forces – with, perhaps, an implication that it is in response to a changing international situation, including China's economic growth.

I suspect this indicates the brinkmanship of the European Union's intended approach on China. The European Union wishes to rebuild relations with the United States, whilst not jeopardizing the potential for increased trade with China. Ursula von der Leyen is not a particularly impressive politician in many ways: she lacks the strong interpersonal skills of her predecessor Jean-Claude Juncker. But she got the job, in essence, because she was a compromise candidate who would offend neither side.

Knowing when to "say nothing" is a common (and under-rated) skill amongst such politicians. In today's case, the silence merely underlines von der Leyen's strategic approach – a clear attempt to keep a foot in both camps.
 
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I don't know how long will it take U.S. to realize that the rest of the world has already accepted China as a super power, sooner they accept and work with that reality more gentle their dethroning will be.
 
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I don't know how long will it take U.S. to realize that the rest of the world has already accepted China as a super power, sooner they accept and work with that reality more gentle their dethroning will be.

If/When China’s GDP surpasses the US, and China takes a leadership role in global economic institutions, per their rules, the post-Breton woods world order will have been significantly altered. That will be the moment the US will psychologically take notice, a new Sputnik moment. Till then, the political parties will squabble over funding the means to regain the lead. Perhaps after a generation of demographics will help the US gain back its number 1 spot, but the world will have lived through 30 years of a global order shaped by China.
 
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Check it on "state-controlled" govt.
:disagree:

:lol:

As opposed to Oligarch/Media/Banker/Corporation controlled "gov't".

In fact, Wasserman Schultz’s lawyers argued that the DNC could legally rig the nomination in a “smoke-filled backroom deal."



If you see how the media treated Andrew Yang and the DNC treated Bernie, you don't have a democracy in the US, oligarchs pick the candidates in the expectation if they pick a loser like Biden, trump would stay in the White House. Or a loser like puppet Hillary. Pick the weakest, most bland and detestable dem candidate and the warmongers get a warmongering Republican. That is the situation in the USA.

 
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von der leyen said the TTIP will not be back because the yankee was not like four years ago. the world has changed..





“No creo que el TTIP vaya a ser revivido porque no estamos donde Estados Unidos nos dejó hace cuatro años. El mundo ha cambiado, Estados Unidos ha cambiado y Europa ha cambiado”, declaró la política alemana durante la edición virtual de la conferencia de seguridad de Múnich que se celebra hoy.

No obstante, la dirigente alemana celebró que con Biden “Estados Unidos ha vuelto y está más comprometido que nunca globalmente”, un “compromiso que no podría haber llegado en un mejor momento”, ya que “la forma en que salgamos de esta crisis tendrá profundas consecuencias (...) para nuestra alianza común en el mundo postcovid”.

 
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von der leyen said the TTIP will not be back because the yankee was not like four years ago. the world has changed..





“No creo que el TTIP vaya a ser revivido porque no estamos donde Estados Unidos nos dejó hace cuatro años. El mundo ha cambiado, Estados Unidos ha cambiado y Europa ha cambiado”, declaró la política alemana durante la edición virtual de la conferencia de seguridad de Múnich que se celebra hoy.

No obstante, la dirigente alemana celebró que con Biden “Estados Unidos ha vuelto y está más comprometido que nunca globalmente”, un “compromiso que no podría haber llegado en un mejor momento”, ya que “la forma en que salgamos de esta crisis tendrá profundas consecuencias (...) para nuestra alianza común en el mundo postcovid”.


I do not know what economic advantages the pandemic-hit US can give to the EU? Fauci said USers will be wearing masks in 2022, as well. They won't come back to normal anytime soon.

If the fate of Wolkswagen does not concern the Germans, they can liberally in-bed with the sick man of the world.

If the EU allows being bedded by the US, then they are strategically inept. There's a full-blown strategic rivalry between US and EU industries. Case in point: Boeing and Airbus.
 
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