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Bangladesh's garments exporters brace for slowdown after Walmart warning

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Bangladesh's garments exporters brace for slowdown after Walmart warning​

By Ruma Paul
and Krishna N. Das

3 minute read

Employees work at a garments factory in Bangladesh

Employees work at at a garments factory in Gazipur, Bangladesh, February 7, 2021. Picture taken February 7, 2021. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain/File Photo

DHAKA, July 27 (Reuters) - After recovering swiftly from the havoc caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Bangladeshi garment manufacturers are now anticipating a slowdown as sales at key customers such as Walmart (WMT.N) are hit by a spike in inflation.

The garments industry accounts for more than 80% of total exports for Bangladesh, which on Sunday became the third South Asian country after Pakistan and Sri Lanka to seek a loan from the International Monetary Fund as its foreign exchange reserves shrank and the trade deficit jumped.

Bangladesh's $416 billion economy has been one of the fastest-growing in the world for years, but rising energy and food prices because of the Russia-Ukraine war have inflated its import bill and the current account deficit.

Walmart, a U.S. bellwether for the retail sector that caters to cost-conscious shoppers, cut its full-year profit forecast on Monday and pledged to reduce prices of clothing and general merchandise more aggressively than it did in May to reduce a spring backlog.

"Orders have slowed down," said Faruque Hassan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA).

"Western countries are raising bank interest rates. That's why people are giving priority to food and mortgages. Demand for clothing is less. This will hamper our export."

Bangladesh's garments exports last shrank in July 2021 when COVID-19 cases were high around the world. Since then, sales have surged, growing by a multi-month high of 60% year-on-year in March this year and 41% in June, according to BGMEA data.

Two Bangladeshi garments suppliers to Walmart said other Western customers were also sitting on huge inventories.

"If Walmart's cut-price sales do not help, we are going to have a tough time," said Siddiqur Rahman, owner of Laila Styles that supplies to Walmart, H&M (HMb.ST) and Zara.

"Our orders could look up from October onwards for Christmas demand. But if retailers' inventory is full, they will refrain from placing orders."

The European Union accounts for about 60% of Bangladesh's total garments sales, followed by about 20% to the United States. Other buyers include Japan, Australia, India and China.

Industry players now hope sales to the smaller markets will help them see through the current slowdown without too much damage, while they try to optimise manufacturing.

"Of course there are some price cuts, some discounting and some orders on hold - it's a part of business," said Abdus Salam Murshedy, managing director of the Envoy Group that sells to Walmart, VF Corp (VFC.N), Zara, American Eagle Outfitters (AEO.N) and others.

"It will depend on the war, how long it lasts. Our growth will be challenged. We will have to become more efficient, automate more."

Reporting by Ruma Paul in Dhaka and Krishna N. Das in New Delhi; Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan

 
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Walmart stock price went tits down.
Its odd how apparel was stocked this much especially since it wasn’t that hot a pandemic item.
Cycles, Kitchen appliances or graphic cards maybe.. but clothes were pretty down as such
 
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Well it's a global recession and every country will be affected.

It will probably get worse in the short term too as interest rates continue to rise, the war is not ending soon and winter is upon us. The question is, which countries will be able to weather the storm.

With almost 100% local food security, decent reserves, only necessary imports - and a population who is used to living within small means. I hope that BD will be able to handle it - though like everyone, our growth will be hit.

It also shows that BD load shedding and loan taking in advance was a smart move.
 
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Like @Destranator bhai shared in another thread, demand for apparel, especially cheaper essential apparel items remain inelastic even during times of recession and war.

People will get clothes and wear them, especially if they are prices attractively. The need is right up there with another essential - food.

I don't believe these sensational stories, they are not worth anything in the real world.

Bangladesh's garments exporters brace for slowdown after Walmart warning​

By Ruma Paul
and Krishna N. Das

3 minute read

Employees work at a garments factory in Bangladesh

Employees work at at a garments factory in Gazipur, Bangladesh, February 7, 2021. Picture taken February 7, 2021. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain/File Photo

DHAKA, July 27 (Reuters) - After recovering swiftly from the havoc caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Bangladeshi garment manufacturers are now anticipating a slowdown as sales at key customers such as Walmart (WMT.N) are hit by a spike in inflation.

The garments industry accounts for more than 80% of total exports for Bangladesh, which on Sunday became the third South Asian country after Pakistan and Sri Lanka to seek a loan from the International Monetary Fund as its foreign exchange reserves shrank and the trade deficit jumped.

Bangladesh's $416 billion economy has been one of the fastest-growing in the world for years, but rising energy and food prices because of the Russia-Ukraine war have inflated its import bill and the current account deficit.

Walmart, a U.S. bellwether for the retail sector that caters to cost-conscious shoppers, cut its full-year profit forecast on Monday and pledged to reduce prices of clothing and general merchandise more aggressively than it did in May to reduce a spring backlog.

"Orders have slowed down," said Faruque Hassan, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA).

"Western countries are raising bank interest rates. That's why people are giving priority to food and mortgages. Demand for clothing is less. This will hamper our export."

Bangladesh's garments exports last shrank in July 2021 when COVID-19 cases were high around the world. Since then, sales have surged, growing by a multi-month high of 60% year-on-year in March this year and 41% in June, according to BGMEA data.

Two Bangladeshi garments suppliers to Walmart said other Western customers were also sitting on huge inventories.

"If Walmart's cut-price sales do not help, we are going to have a tough time," said Siddiqur Rahman, owner of Laila Styles that supplies to Walmart, H&M (HMb.ST) and Zara.

"Our orders could look up from October onwards for Christmas demand. But if retailers' inventory is full, they will refrain from placing orders."

The European Union accounts for about 60% of Bangladesh's total garments sales, followed by about 20% to the United States. Other buyers include Japan, Australia, India and China.

Industry players now hope sales to the smaller markets will help them see through the current slowdown without too much damage, while they try to optimise manufacturing.

"Of course there are some price cuts, some discounting and some orders on hold - it's a part of business," said Abdus Salam Murshedy, managing director of the Envoy Group that sells to Walmart, VF Corp (VFC.N), Zara, American Eagle Outfitters (AEO.N) and others.

"It will depend on the war, how long it lasts. Our growth will be challenged. We will have to become more efficient, automate more."

Reporting by Ruma Paul in Dhaka and Krishna N. Das in New Delhi; Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan


Bhai @Black_cats - I request you to reconsider printing these fictitious, baseless propaganda and targeted stories by Indian writers of Reuters on Bangladesh and Pakistan doom and gloom. It seems you are quite fixated on re-posting Godi Media points of view.

I hope you will reconsider.
 
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Well it's a global recession and every country will be affected.

It will probably get worse in the short term too as interest rates continue to rise, the war is not ending soon and winter is upon us. The question is, which countries will be able to weather the storm.

With almost 100% local food security, decent reserves, only necessary imports - and a population who is used to living within small means. I hope that BD will be able to handle it - though like everyone, our growth will be hit.

It also shows that BD load shedding and loan taking in advance was a smart move.

I agree.

We are some of the most resilient people on earth, our people can literally go foraging to survive and even weather a famine. However, current situation is not a BD specific situation which indicates economic mismanagement. It's the effect of COVID and Ukraine war, every country is affected by this. I wonder if all or most countries get affected by the inflation/oil price/recession, it will have some kind of a "cancellation effect". Members with knowledge of economics please help. @UKBengali
 
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Like @Destranator bhai shared in another thread, demand for apparel, especially cheaper essential apparel items remain inelastic even during times of recession and war.

People will get clothes and wear them, especially if they are prices attractively. The need is right up there with another essential - food.

I don't believe these sensational stories, they are not worth anything in the real world.
In fact, we actually saw an eventual surge in demand for low-end apparel during the 2008 recession as people substituted high end clothing with low end ones.
 
. .
Like @Destranator bhai shared in another thread, demand for apparel, especially cheaper essential apparel items remain inelastic even during times of recession and war.

People will get clothes and wear them, especially if they are prices attractively. The need is right up there with another essential - food.

I don't believe these sensational stories, they are not worth anything in the real world.



Bhai @Black_cats - I request you to reconsider printing these fictitious, baseless propaganda and targeted stories by Indian writers of Reuters on Bangladesh and Pakistan doom and gloom. It seems you are quite fixated on re-posting Godi Media points of view.

I hope you will reconsider.

Reuters is not a godi media rather a renowned news portal that I am aware of.
 
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Reuters is not a godi media rather a renowned news portal that I am aware of.

True - but the writers sitting in New Delhi (even if they are in name employed by Reuters) cannot be considered neutral from influence exerted by Godi Media.

Look at the subject matter too.

This is clearly biased against Bangladesh' commercial and economic interests.

I am sure Bangladesh govt. could complain to Reuters for this biased reporting but first of all - we as Bangladeshis should not support these Indians writing on these subjects by re-posting these stories when we know that the reporting is clearly without basis.
 
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True - but the writers sitting in New Delhi (even if they are in name employed by Reuters) cannot be considered neutral from influence exerted by Godi Media.

Look at the subject matter too.

This is clearly biased against Bangladesh' commercial and economic interests.

I am sure Bangladesh govt. could complain to Reuters for this biased reporting but first of all - we as Bangladeshis should not support these Indians writing on these subjects by re-posting these stories when we know that the reporting is clearly without basis.

Many Bangladeshi media posted the article as well. That’s why it’s shared. But even before that there were some news of reduction of order.



 
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True - but the writers sitting in New Delhi (even if they are in name employed by Reuters) cannot be considered neutral from influence exerted by Godi Media.

Look at the subject matter too.

This is clearly biased against Bangladesh' commercial and economic interests.

I am sure Bangladesh govt. could complain to Reuters for this biased reporting but first of all - we as Bangladeshis should not support these Indians writing on these subjects by re-posting these stories when we know that the reporting is clearly without basis.
We consider Hasina a chief minister of India's 32th state called Bangladesh.
No matter how you islamist jamati turns the facts into your propaganda as you are very less in number, Hasina loves Modi.
 
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Many Bangladeshi media posted the article as well. That’s why it’s shared. But even before that there were some news of reduction of order.




This is akin to "shialer hukka-hua situation". Coyotes and foxes repeating calls in unison.

In India it is the same. One Godi Media outlet (usually major one) publishes a story, then the rest follow suit.

Usual process for Godi Media fake news misinformation campaigns.

Repeating fake news fifteen times does not make it real.

Usually it quotes some apparel factory underling stating some ignorant uninformed view, then it becomes gospel ("Ved baykko").

Any minor half-baked story about Bangladesh "doom and gloom" finds ready consumption in Sanghi circles in India, for obvious reasons.

We should not be party to that process. If we do, then we become Sanghis in that process as well.
 
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