Feng Leng
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June 18, 2018
China's Next War
By David Archibald
Despite being two of the world’s three remaining communist states, China and Vietnam look to be on the verge of war. Vietnam is an obstacle to China’s ambitions for East Asian hegemony.
...
Many Vietnamese army officers expect to die in the coming war with China but their first battle is on the home front. Earlier this year a brave party member stood up in a large meeting of the Communist Party of Vietnam and named names of senior party officials who had accepted Chinese bribes with respect to the sale of 99 year leases to Chinese interests. The army protected this brave party member from being arrested. Soon after there were protests in a number of Vietnamese cities against corruption and Chinese influence.
In the last few days Vietnamese soldiers have been more evident in the cities which suggests that they have been brought in to protect prostestors from the police who are detested for being venal. The Vietnamese police often try to shake down members of the public for imagined infringements. There is potential for a coup by the Vietnamese army.
The Chinese army will be involved in the coming war in a big way because they couldn’t let the Peoples Liberation Army Air Force and Peoples Liberation Army Navy get all the glory. The most likely, Chinese strategy is to seize land along the border in order to make Vietnam give up its 21 bases and outposts in the Spratley Islands, most of which are manned by a platoon-sized force. They have been told to fight to the death.
Yes! The Viets should launch a coup against the pro-China VCP. Then PLA can finally sweep in to restore order and justice in SE Asia.
China's Next War
By David Archibald
Despite being two of the world’s three remaining communist states, China and Vietnam look to be on the verge of war. Vietnam is an obstacle to China’s ambitions for East Asian hegemony.
...
Many Vietnamese army officers expect to die in the coming war with China but their first battle is on the home front. Earlier this year a brave party member stood up in a large meeting of the Communist Party of Vietnam and named names of senior party officials who had accepted Chinese bribes with respect to the sale of 99 year leases to Chinese interests. The army protected this brave party member from being arrested. Soon after there were protests in a number of Vietnamese cities against corruption and Chinese influence.
In the last few days Vietnamese soldiers have been more evident in the cities which suggests that they have been brought in to protect prostestors from the police who are detested for being venal. The Vietnamese police often try to shake down members of the public for imagined infringements. There is potential for a coup by the Vietnamese army.
The Chinese army will be involved in the coming war in a big way because they couldn’t let the Peoples Liberation Army Air Force and Peoples Liberation Army Navy get all the glory. The most likely, Chinese strategy is to seize land along the border in order to make Vietnam give up its 21 bases and outposts in the Spratley Islands, most of which are manned by a platoon-sized force. They have been told to fight to the death.
Yes! The Viets should launch a coup against the pro-China VCP. Then PLA can finally sweep in to restore order and justice in SE Asia.