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The War to Benefit China
Nato - Now Seen as Untrustworthy and a "Rogue" Aggressor
NATO has destroyed its credibility as a purely defensive alliance and violated international law, the U.N. Charter, and NATO's own treaty by launching a first strike against Serbia, shown by the blue arrow.
Article 2(4) of the U.N. Charter requires member nations to "refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state." Self defense is authorized under Article 51 but only if an armed attack occurs. Regional police actions like NATO's operation against Serbia absolutely require prior approval by the Security Council. The Council has not authorized military action. China claims to oppose the bombing, but as a permanent member of the Security Council it has the power to stop it and has not used it.
Kosovo has politically and legally been part of Serbia since Serbia, Greece, Montenegro, and Bulgaria threw the Turks out of the Balkans in 1913. The U.S. first strike marks the first time in U.S. history we have launched a war without any threat to U.S. territory, nationals, or interests. While the President is the Commander-in-Chief, he does not have the power to order the military to do whatever he pleases. As a violation of the most basic provision of international law - territorial sovereignty - the President's order to conduct this operation is clearly unconstitutional.
The President's failure to submit the report to Congress required by the War Powers Resolution demonstrates the order lacks the valid authority and threat to U.S. people, territory or interests needed to make it constitutional. The law requires the President to state what U.S. interests were threatened and the legal authority for his order.
Press reports confirm the situation on the ground in Kosovo was never any where near as bad as the President claimed. But since Clinton admitted that he knew bombing Serbia would turn the situation in Kosovo violent, Clinton himself must bear the blame for the plight of the refugees.
The real consequence of Kosovo is to dissipate U.S. military strength. As we explain below, the political ramifications of our Kosovo adventure will also weaken European military and economic power and political influence, and divert the attentions of all of China's rivals away from China's expansionist aims.
Russia - Turned Against the West and Back to Communism
As show by the dark green arrow, the campaign in Serbia will turn Russia's defenses away from China and against a West that has now fulfilled the Russian's worst fear - conducted an unprovoked attack under the auspices of NATO. With former Warsaw Pact nations now members of NATO, the NATO threat looks larger and more menacing now than it did during the Cold War. The new threat from the West strengthens the hand of the nationalists and Communists - forces ideologically friendly to China.
The fact that Russia has not yet acted to help the Serbs suggests there are more forces influencing the Russian government than may at first be apparent. The Serbs and Russians have been allies for almost 200 years - since Russia threatened war with the Ottoman Empire over the treatment of Christians in 1812. A Russian general actually commanded the Serbian army when Serbia won its independence from the Ottoman Empire in 1878.
While Russia has been dependent on Western financial assistance since throwing off Communism in 1991, and its military readiness is poor compared to Cold War standards, the Russians could halt the bombing just by putting people - not necessarily combatants - on the ground and declaring that they had the situation under control. Two factors may explain Russia's failure to act.
First, Russia has its own Kosovo, the majority Muslim province of Chechnya. Since our operations started in Serbia, three Orthodox priests have been kidnapped in Chechnya, with the Muslims most likely responsible. Since the KLA is itself a Muslim terrorist geurilla army, it is likely that Moscow has been threatened with renewed ethnic and religious violence in Chechnya if it intervenes against the KLA in Kosovo. Russia realizes it is threatened by Muslim insurgence and has consistently acted to limit Muslim influence within its borders.
Second, the KLA is also supported by the Siftar Albanian Mafia. The Kosovo Albanians are known traffickers in drugs throughout Europe, and undoubtedly are a connection for the Russian Mafia. Because the Russian Mafia has cash and a pervasive influence inside Russia, it has been able to stalemate the Russian government's law enforcement efforts and influence Russian politics. It is likely that Russian organized crime has put pressure on the government not to sever its Albanian drug connection by intervening in Kosovo.
Any influence by lawless elements, whether Muslim or Mafia, would exacerbate Russia's slide towards totalitarianism and Communism.
Muslim Sphere - The Second Moorish Invasion
Our support for Muslim autonomy in Kosovo will benefit China by destabilizing Europe and turning India's defenses more towards its Muslim neighbors and away from China.
According to the National Defense University, Europe is experiencing a massive wave of immigration from the Muslim countries of North Africa, Turkey, and Pakistan, show by the transparent purple arrows on the map. At the same time, the population of Europe is aging and dying off, and birth rates - which are as low as 1.1 children per couple in some countries - are too low to keep parity with the growing Muslim population. And traditional nationalist loyalties in Europe are fading because of the rise of the European Union.
Unlike the United States, however, there is no unifying set of political ideas in Europe. Consequently, Europe is culturally and politically becoming more like the Middle East - with loyalty to ethnic, religious, or language group becoming more important than nationalist loyalties. Europe, in short, is already on the road to "Balkanization."
Our support for an autonomous Kosovo - meaning we only wanted to "win a little bit" - was never an achievable objective. We have now faced that reality since we now reject the idea of continued Serbian authority in Kosovo, so we are effectively fighting for an independent Kosovo. Either objective, an autonomous or an independent Kosovo, will incite calls for Muslim autonomy with Europe's mainline nations of France, Germany, and Great Britain and ultimately cause massive unrest and destabilization in Europe. The EU has already begun the process by endorsing an independent Palestinian state to be ripped out of Israel. The EU will not have grounds to resist calls for independent Muslim states in Europe when they occur.
China will benefit from a destabilized Europe primarily because the unrest will lessen competition against Chinese goods and dominance of world ocean shipping. (China already has control of both ends of the Panama Canal and is moving to control sea-born container shipping throughout the world. And how many times lately have you noticed a product you bought says "made in China.") Also, to the extent that European nations - which are already Socialist - slide more towards Communism, they will become more ideologically friendly towards China.
Communist sentiment is already strong among Muslims, especially fundamentalist groups. The trend towards Communism is fueled by frustrated expectations, Muslims compare the riches of the West to the poverty of most Muslim nations and believe they can remedy the situation immediately by turning to Communism. Communism, which as an economic system gives control of resources to a small group of central government planners, fits nicely with Islam, which is both a religious and political system that concentrates power in the hands of religious leaders.
India - Turned Defensively Against Strong Islamic Neighbors and Away from China
The map's yellow arrow shows that the stronger sphere of Muslim influence that will ultimately result from our support for an independent Muslim Kosovo will tend to turn India's military attention away from China and towards the Muslim nations on its western borders.
To the extent that China's territorial worries on its own Western borders are reduced, it can more easily pursue its aims of expansion towards the East into Taiwan and other South East Asian nations.
China - With Western Military Power Weakened and Growing Control of Ocean Commerce, China can Walk into Taiwan Without a Fight
The logical consequences of Clinton's Kosovo operations are these:
- China's main military rivals, the U.S., the NATO alliance, and Russia set against each other with renewed suspicions.
- U.S. military power dissipated and perhaps stretched by a long ground war or peacekeeping deployment in Kosovo
- European military and economic power and political influence weakened by increased Muslim influence and possible calls for Muslim autonomy in more European countries
- Europe and Russia turned more towards Communism and ideological affinity with China
- The attentions of China's main territorial rivals, India and Russia, diverted towards the West - Russia to face the NATO alliance and increasing Muslim influence in Europe, India to face a stronger Muslim sphere of influence on its Western border.
At the same time, China is aggressively moving to control world ocean commerce, either by controlling choke points like the Panama Canal, or controlling carriage itself through an extensive monopoly of ocean shipping.
The bottom line is that in about three years, China will be able to walk into Taiwan without a fight. To win without fighting is the Chinese way, as taught by Sun Tzu, author of the ancient "Art of War."
When China walks into Taiwan, the West will lack the military power to stop it, and China will be able to punish any nation that tries by simply cutting off trade.
Source : Kosovo: The War to Benefit China
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