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Afghanistan's forces losing more than a few good men. And women

pakistani342

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Afghans voting with their feet:

1. General Sayed Mohammad Roshandel, a very competent officer, who led the ANP Commandos has sought asylum in Denmark.

2. Afghanistan's Amelia Earhart, Latifa Nabizada, is grounded (She's roughly 40 years old I think).

.......

original article here

Emma Graham-Harrison in Kabul
theguardian.com, Tuesday 3 September 2013 15.44 EDT


General Sayed Mohammad Roshandel is not a man who scares easily: he spent years battling both the insurgency and corruption in a violent province on the Afghan-Iranian border, and several more facing down the Taliban in Kabul's crowded, dusty streets, under the full glare of the world's media.

But earlier this summer, the officer who had risen from an ordinary background to become head of special forces for the Afghan police slipped away from an official work trip to Europe, crossing into Denmark, where he intended to apply for political asylum, sources with knowledge of his trip told the Guardian. The interior ministry, to which Roshandel reports, confirmed he had been in Europe for over two months, but said he was on extended leave to deal with family issues.

A few weeks after Roshandel's journey, a pioneering army helicopter pilot, Latifa Nabizada, hailed as Afghanistan's Amelia Earhart, made her last landing and shifted to a desk job in the ministry of defence, after a barrage of Taliban threats against her family became too intense.

The news of both moves has been hushed up in Kabul, where they are perhaps the most high-profile examples of a more widespread problem facing the country's police and army. At a time when they are meant to be taking over the fight against a ruthless, battle-hardened insurgency, and as the west moves into a support role, the forces are haemorrhaging more than a few good men. And women.

Many of the losses are deaths and injuries in battle, with casualties mounting up at a rate that senior Afghan and Nato commanders both admit poses a serious risk to morale. But thousands more are men, and a few women, who go awol or simply don't renew their contracts.

Nato and the Afghan government have hailed the expansion of the police and army to a 350,000-strong force in the space of just a few years of intense recruitment and development; the west didn't really turn its focus to training them until 2009.

But there have long been concerns about the durability of such a rapidly assembled force. A recent US government report found that in the six months to March 2013, the Afghan national army lost men at an average rate of over 3% each month. That amounts to over a third of its total strength each year, an alarming number.

"The ANA cannot keep the people it needs, train the people it does have, or adequately supply the people it manages to train," said one report from the Afghanistan Analysts Network earlier this year, analysing examining official statistics on the losses and training programmes.

The police, who usually serve closer to home but are more like frontline paramilitaries than the civil order forces of the western world, have lower numbers of disappearing officers, but it still stacks up to around 15% of the force each year.

Cruel odds of injury or death, rising violence nationwide, widespread drug abuse, heavy corruption and Taliban targeting of soldiers and police even when away from their forces have all contributed to the departures, officials and analysts say.

Roshandel appears to have fallen victim to the lack of family connections that made his rise so impressive. His determination to crack down on corruption and lack of powerful backers left him vulnerable at the top, despite praise for his shakeup of once-listless forces.

Under his guidance, the police special units were transformed from a shaky force that operated only alongside foreign commandos into a powerful unit that earlier this year held off a major attack on the airport without a single casualty, and have won widespread plaudits.

"He had no support from his superiors," said one source with information about Roshandel's flight, who said the general's departure was not driven by fear, but frustration. "When the new interior minister took up the job he didn't see him for weeks."

Roshandel's departure was unusual because he was a member of the usually well trained and highly motivated security elite, often closely groomed by Nato forces for success, and with access to perks like opportunities to travel abroad.

Most of the disappearing soldiers are far lower down the ranks, where there is often limited loyalty to Afghanistan or the security forces. In a country where by some estimates unemployment is higher than one in every three adult men, the primary driver of recruitment is frequently financial.

"People don't join the police with the aim of serving the country, it's just for the salary. If they don't get paid for two months, they will leave," said one officer with several years' service. "I am in this job because I had no other options."

Nabizada, a forceful woman originally trained by the Russians and accompanied on flights by her young daughter when there was no one for childcare duty, did not want to stop flying, but was targeted by a barrage of Taliban death threats.

It was eventually too dangerous for her to travel from her home to the airfield every day.

A string of high-profile women have been attacked and killed recently, including a member of parliament, a senator, and the most senior female police officer in southern Helmand.

Although she has stayed in the military, her shift to a desk job diminishes the already thin ranks of the country's air force, and means another pilot will need to be trained. That will cost millions and take several years, highlighting one of the most dangerous effects of the attrition problem in a country expected to fight the Taliban more or less alone from the end of next year.

"The high ANA attrition rate is undermining attempts to develop a trained and experienced cadre of NCOs and soldiers," the US government report warned. "Continued high attrition increases the overall cost of sustaining the force and creates a burden on recruiting and training structures."

Additional reporting by Mokhtar Amiri
 
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