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A Comparative Guide to Russia’s Use of Force: Measure Twice, Invade Once

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A Comparative Guide to Russia’s Use of Force: Measure Twice, Invade Once
Michael Kofman
February 16, 2017


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In the 20th century, the Soviet military’s penchant for area of effect artillery and armored firepower had earned it the reputation of a large hammer always in search of nails. This popularized impression stuck with Russia long after the Soviet Union’s demise, but today’s Kremlin employs military power in a much more nuanced manner to pursue its objectives. In recent conflicts, Russia has demonstrated a keen understanding of how to apply this instrument of national power to achieve desired political ends, doling out force in prescribed doses in the quest for decisive leverage. Although Russian military power remains a blunt force instrument, the state wields it more like a rapier, demonstrating discretion and timing.

In a previous article on the key pillars of Russian strategy, I argued that Moscow favors an emergent strategy based on “fail fast and fail cheap” approaches. The Russian military itself has a long way to go in terms of modernization, but conversely, America’s political leadership needs to reexamine how great powers, with far fewer resources, use the so-called “big stick” to get the job done. The unipolar world order appears to be rapidly melting, while great powers are back on the agenda. When it comes to use of force by peer rivals contesting America’s interests, it is only going to get harder from here on out.

The United States may not wish to emulate Russian approaches, but American strategists should certainly study then. Those who fail to learn from the experience of others must inevitably gain it at personal cost. As Mark Twain is said to have remarked, “The man who does not read has no advantage over the man who cannot read.” To take another step along the journey of understanding Russian strategy, I explore how Russia changes facts on the ground, compels its adversaries, and achieves much of this on the cheap. The goal is to examine Russian use of force and draw lessons for an era when American use of power must become....

Full article at: https://warontherocks.com/2017/02/a...ssias-use-of-force-measure-twice-invade-once/
 
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Looking at the current situation in Ukraine, I question just how well trained Russian separatists there are. The inadequate performance of those paramilitary troops might hint at the reality of the regression for the former superpower. This critical lack of projection capabilities in hard power cannot simply be disregarded as them attempting to obfuscate their involvement, as it has been clear that no one believed them in the first place.
 
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