I happen to know quite a bit about the Yemeni oil scene, kindly allow me to analyze the lead article of this thread.
Yemen was never a significant oil exporter. Yemeni oil production started in 1993 and reached an all-time high of 466 K BPD in 2001. After that, the output started to decline due to reserves depletion and stood at 125 K BPD in 2014 when the Yemeni war started. After a halt of two years, production resumed in 2016 at 18 K BPD slowly climbing to 61 K BPD in 2019. Understand that since mid-2020 crude oil production stands at 66 K BPD.
“As Houthi control spread across the country and the political climate became more precarious, the energy sector was drastically affected. Foreign firms operating in Yemen were forced to abandon operations and evacuate staff. In 2015, nearly all production in Yemen’s oil and natural gas fields was shut-in. Total petroleum and other liquids production fell from an average of 125,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2014 to a low of 18,000 b/d in 2016. During the past few years, production has been slowly increasing. Petroleum and other liquids production returned to approximately 61,000 b/d in 2019. However, natural gas production fell from 328 billion cubic feet (Bcf) in 2014 to 3 Bcf in 2018.”
https://www.eia.gov/international/analysis/country/YEM
Total current exports are estimated at about 35 K BPD.
With total reserves of 17 Tcf Yemen has even less than Pakistan’s (25 Tcf).
“Yemen holds
17 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of proven gas reserves as of 2017, ranking
31st in the world and accounting for about 0% of the world's total natural gas reserves of 6,923 Tcf.
Yemen has proven reserves equivalent to
980.6 times its annual consumption. This means it has about
981 years of gas left (at current consumption levels and excluding unproven reserves.
Current export is 66,745 MMcf.”
https://www.worldometers.info/gas/yemen-natural-gas/).
Average crude oil prices during 2014 -2020 have hovered between $40 t0 $65 per bbl. Let us assume a high figure of $60/bbl for this exercise.
The first figure about looting refers to a loss of $5-billion of revenue from the Marib Oil refinery. Marib oil refinery is a very simple oil refinery with a nameplate capacity of 10 K BPD. If run at full capacity all year, it would use 3.65- million bbl of crude; with $60 crude value and another $5/- per bbl refining cost, the total value of the annual output would be $237.23-million. Since there was no production until 2016; in 4 years since 2016, the total value of the Marib Oil refinery comes to $949-million. The $5-bilion figure mentioned is more than 5 times the actual number.
Crude exports only started in the last couple of years. At 35 KBPD (12,775-million per year), the total value of crude exports is only $766.50-milion per year. This translates into about $1.53-billion in 2 years.
Another figure quoted is 18-million bbl in 2018 & 29.5- million bbl in 2019. The value of 47.5- million bbls is only $2.85-bilion. 1-mmBtu is about 1,000 cft. This means that total Yemini exports of the gas total only 66- mmBtu, not even worth no more than about 250-million dollars per year. The figure 0f $11-billion relates to the loss of gas production. Not looting the Saudis. Loss of income does not mean that it was stolen.
Can anyone explain how the enormous figure of $76-billion stolen by the Saudis was arrived at? On the other hand, as of April 2020, the Yemeni misadventure had cost Saudi nearly $100-bilion.
https://insidearabia.com/saudi-arabia-looks-for-a-peace-deal-in-yemen-but-at-what-price/
The naivety of some of the fellow Pakistanis can be beyond belief. They would believe almost anything. No wonder that we are a nation that is susceptible to believe in conspiracy theories and false rumors such as being circulated about the Polio drops and the Covid-19 vaccine or that Pakistan had discovered huge reserves of oil even before the drilling of Kekra -1 started.
I humbly request the members of this august forum that no video, Youtube blogs, or news item should be accepted at its face value especially when written with an obvious bias. One must do a little research before deciding what percentage of the rumor is true. Saudis have oil coming out of their ears, why would they invade a poor country like Yemen with peanut size reserves risking Saudi lives as well as the international scorn?