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50 000 chômeurs de moins en août : la courbe s'inverse - Emploi - leParisien.fr
50 000 chômeurs de moins en août : la courbe s'inverse - Emploi - leParisien.fr
After 27 consecutive months of increase, the rise in unemployment has finally reversed in August! The number of job seekers Class A ( no activity ) registered at employment center has increased to 3,235,700 in August , or 50,000 fewer than in July (-1.5%) , according to figures released by the Directorate for the Coordination of research, Studies and Statistics ( DARES ) on Wednesday evening .
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The number of registered unemployed in categories B ( who had a small short in the month activity) also decrease (-2.6%) (+5.6 % yoy ) , while the number of unemployed category C ( who had a long reduced activity ) increased by 0.5 % ( +5.2 % yoy ) . The three categories, the number of jobseekers in France stood at 4,789,200 .
Labour Minister Michel Sapin , however, has refused to discuss a "flipping" , explaining that the government expects a "sustainable curve inversion unemployment on the horizon at the end of the year," more convincing than temporary decline . President Francois Hollande himself guard " declare victory immediately ."
4% of the French do not believe in the promise of Holland
The government reassured by figures of July (+0.2% compared to June , after rising 0.5% between May and June) , expected this lull . Hollande still had promised this summer to "maintain " the goal of reversing the unemployment , while recognizing that it would be " still hard ."
"It is close! " Had even assured the head of state during his speech back on TF1 mid-September. But according to a recent survey, conducted in early August by Ifop institute for the weekly Current Values ​​, 84% of French people do not believe that this promise was feasible.
Need to boost employment growth in the period
The experts were less skeptical. For Eric Heyer , deputy director at the French Economic Observatory ( OFCE ), " nothing ( is prohibited ) lower unemployment ," he considered " more likely " at the end of the year. "The politics of social treatment of unemployment rose to a completely different gear ratio ," he explained before the numbers fall , especially referring to the lengthening of subsidized contracts , which, now "200 000 people in employment can have massive effects of year end. " "But can we say that this will be a lasting reversal of the trend ? No, because the job losses continue in the private sector " in 2014 , he nuance .
Prime Minister Jean -Marc Ayrault had granted himself at a meeting with social media information ( SJIA ) in mid- September, the policy supported employment ( contracts generations , jobs of the future ) will not no win " the battle for the job" " over time ." "If the situation improves over time, it is also necessary that the growth reparte that companies can invest and hire ," said he added. Economists estimate that about 1.5 percentage point of annual GDP growth is needed to create jobs, a figure well beyond that expected in 2013 ( 0.1 % according to the latest forecast by the Ministry of Economy) and even in 2014 ( 0.9 %).
