What's new

27 Feb 19: PAF shot down two Indian aircrafts inside Pakistani airspace: DG ISPR

This is just an analysis
According to Vietnamese news paper, Pakistan is buying 36 J10s on urgent basis. Here is the translation:

Pakistan will buy J-10 fighter to fight India?
17:19 15/03/2019


It does not exclude the possibility that Pakistan will turn to China to buy J-10 fighters to counterbalance India's Su-30MKI and Rafale aircraft.

Excluding the possibility, Pakistan could consider a plan to strengthen its air power with more modern Chinese fighters like the J-10. There have been reports that Pakistan will buy at least 36 J-10s. The new J-10s equipped with the WS-10B thrust vector control engine that recently performed at Zhuhai 2018 will more or less pose a big challenge to Indian aircraft. Given the current situation, it is likely that Pakistan will buy the J-10 version to counterbalance the Su-30MKI and Rafale fighters undergoing service in the Indian Air Force.

https://anninhthudo.vn/quan-su/info-pakistan-se-mua-chien-dau-co-j10-de-chong-an-do/802951.antd
 
. . . .
Seems we need an urgent PL-15 carrier
pl15 can be integrated with thunder as well ... what do you think, we will buy J10 and today they will be delivered tomorrow and we will start flying them from day after tomorrow ?

Even if we buy them today it will take atleast couple of years just to deliver and integrate on fast pace basis and in normal circumtances it will take double the time ...

For immediate need PAF is looking for Thuner block 3 , some more F16s (old) to fill the numbers gap as they will be flyable from day 1 and for long term we are going for 5th generation ...

Sooner or later f16s is going to be at same status that mirrage currently has in our arsenal ... If nobody shows intererst in F16 V then production for f16 will be stopped for good ... then we can buy them in good quantities as our second work horse and fifth generation as our top end fighter ... This is going to happen in next 5 to 10 years ....

Unless we feel desperate (which we are not, reference to the cucrrent performance of thunder) we will not buy and platform before fifth generation comes in
 
.
pl15 can be integrated with thunder as well ... what do you think, we will buy J10 and today they will be delivered tomorrow and we will start flying them from day after tomorrow ?

Even if we buy them today it will take atleast couple of years just to deliver and integrate on fast pace basis and in normal circumtances it will take double the time ...

For immediate need PAF is looking for Thuner block 3 , some more F16s (old) to fill the numbers gap as they will be flyable from day 1 and for long term we are going for 5th generation ...

Sooner or later f16s is going to be at same status that mirrage currently has in our arsenal ... If nobody shows intererst in F16 V then production for f16 will be stopped for good ... then we can buy them in good quantities as our second work horse and fifth generation as our top end fighter ... This is going to happen in next 5 to 10 years ....

Unless we feel desperate (which we are not, reference to the cucrrent performance of thunder) we will not buy and platform before fifth generation comes in

Already integrated ;)
 
. . . .
According to Vietnamese news paper, Pakistan is buying 36 J10s on urgent basis. Here is the translation:

Pakistan will buy J-10 fighter to fight India?
17:19 15/03/2019


It does not exclude the possibility that Pakistan will turn to China to buy J-10 fighters to counterbalance India's Su-30MKI and Rafale aircraft.

Excluding the possibility, Pakistan could consider a plan to strengthen its air power with more modern Chinese fighters like the J-10. There have been reports that Pakistan will buy at least 36 J-10s. The new J-10s equipped with the WS-10B thrust vector control engine that recently performed at Zhuhai 2018 will more or less pose a big challenge to Indian aircraft. Given the current situation, it is likely that Pakistan will buy the J-10 version to counterbalance the Su-30MKI and Rafale fighters undergoing service in the Indian Air Force.

https://anninhthudo.vn/quan-su/info-pakistan-se-mua-chien-dau-co-j10-de-chong-an-do/802951.antd

A Chinese source would be a lot more credible.

Anyway, aren't the Chinese too busy building these for the PLAAF? They are more likely to prioritise their own air forces needs over PAF.
 
.
pl15 can be integrated with thunder as well ... what do you think, we will buy J10 and today they will be delivered tomorrow and we will start flying them from day after tomorrow ?

Even if we buy them today it will take atleast couple of years just to deliver and integrate on fast pace basis and in normal circumtances it will take double the time ...

For immediate need PAF is looking for Thuner block 3 , some more F16s (old) to fill the numbers gap as they will be flyable from day 1 and for long term we are going for 5th generation ...

Sooner or later f16s is going to be at same status that mirrage currently has in our arsenal ... If nobody shows intererst in F16 V then production for f16 will be stopped for good ... then we can buy them in good quantities as our second work horse and fifth generation as our top end fighter ... This is going to happen in next 5 to 10 years ....

Unless we feel desperate (which we are not, reference to the cucrrent performance of thunder) we will not buy and platform before fifth generation comes in

Its not just the avionics and missile. We need aircraft performance to enhance the missile ranges. Both for PL-12 & PL-15
 
. . .
Good piece ....worth reading :

India and Pakistan may well shape up to be the modern counterpart to Cold-War-divided Germany. Kashmir, then, is the new Berlin: divided, tense, full of intrigue. The two superpowers have found two very dangerous proxies to engage in shadow play.

The military confrontation, meanwhile, has developed its own dynamic. As Arzan Tarapore writes at War on the Rocks:

India demonstrated a new appetite for imposing costs on Pakistan, and especially for crossing thresholds and accepting risk. Its actions probably still won’t deter Pakistan, though they will make the next crisis more dangerous. India may now assess that henceforth it can strike its neighbor, absorb a proportionate Pakistani retaliation, and safely de-escalate later in a crisis. But with Pakistan now more concerned about its own deterrent, this crisis may induce both sides to take riskier action next time.

Such riskier actions could escalate all the way to the nuclear level. And the consequences of a nuclear exchange would be considerably worse than what’s depicted in The City of Devi. If the two sides only use only a portion of their nuclear arsenals, it would kill millions of people on the subcontinent and also have a devastating impact worldwide. A partial nuclear winter would settle upon the planet: the resulting hunger, drought, and disease would kill as many as 2 billion people.

Now that the acute crisis has passed, regional actors have to use this reprieve to defuse the world’s most dangerous nuclear faultline. Those efforts have to begin with Kashmir. Fortunately, the difficult task of working out a joint resolution to the problem has already been done, back in the mid-2000s. As Ahmed Rashid points out:
Indian and Pakistani envoys agreed to make the Line of Control, the heavily militarized border between the Indian and Pakistani-controlled portions of Kashmir, irrelevant by giving the Kashmiris the right to free movement and trade across the line. They agreed upon providing autonomy to Kashmir’s subregions and drawing down forces as violence receded. They also agreed to establish a body of Kashmiris, Indians, and Pakistanis, vaguely described as a “joint mechanism,” to oversee the political and economic rights of the Kashmiris on both sides of the line.

Khan seems amenable to revisiting this deal; Modi will not budge until after the elections. The missing ingredient at this point is pressure from outside the subcontinent. Here, the cluelessness of the Trump administration and the unraveling U.S.-China relationship serve as significant obstacles.

But maybe India and Pakistan will show more sense than their respective backers. These are ancient civilizations that have weathered many previous storms. Now they just have to team up to avoid a nuclear winter.
https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/03/18/the-worlds-most-dangerous-divide/
 
. .
Back
Top Bottom