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17 Days in May : Chronology of Indian nuclear weapons tests
3 February: Bharatiya Janata Party releases its manifesto for the February-March Indian elections. In the manifesto, the party pledges to exercise the nuclear option and declare India a nuclear weapon state after coming to power.
4 March: BJP-led coalition wins the largest block of parliamentary seats with a total of 270 out of 545 seats.
18 March: BJP wins vote of confidence in parliament with 274 votes cast in its favour and 261 cast against it. The same day, the party adopts National Agenda for Governance, in which it promises to establish a National Security Council to undertake Indias first strategic defense review, re-evaluate Indias nuclear policy, and exercise the option to induct nuclear weapons.
19 March: Prime minister Atal Behari Vajpaee declares India will induct nuclear weapons only if necessary.
21 March: Defence minister George Fernandes announces that the decision to induct nuclear weapons will depend upon a thorough strategic review to be undertaken by Indias National Security Council.
26 March: Foreign minister Gohar Ayub Khan appeals to the world community that it should impose sanctions against India in order to contain its nuclear ambitions. His statement comes a week after The New York Times quotes Western intelligence sources that India has stockpiled about 100 nuclear warheads, and can rapidly assemble them.
2 April: Prime minister Nawaz Sharif addresses letters to world leaders, including president Clinton, drawing their intention to Indias pronouncements which connote a giant leap towards fully operationalizing Indian nuclear capability. He also warns them that Pakistan will be obliged to take cognizance of these alarming developments, and it cannot but exercise its sovereign right to adopt appropriate measures to safeguard its security.
5 April: India unveils a new supercomputer, Param 10,000, that is able to simulate nuclear test-explosions.
21 April: Indian army chief General Ved Malik openly demands a nuclear and missile deterrent for India.
23 April: Defence minister Fernandes revives the Defence Ministers Committee to directly involve the armed services chiefs of staff in the national security decision-making process. His scientific advisor Abdul Kalam makes a presentation before the committee, which discusses Indias threat perceptions and possible future course of action.
24 April: N N Jha, convener of the Foreign affairs Committee of the BJP, declares that Indias National Security Council may examine the option to induct nuclear weapons into the armed forces on the basis of laboratory testing.
25 April: Pakistan warns the international community that India is softening world opinion before openly deploying nuclear weapons.
4 May: Defence minister Fernandes declares that China is Indias potential threat number one. He says that if the defense review leads the government to believe that India should exercise its nuclear option, then India will do so.
5 May: India expands its Atomic Energy Commission (AEC). The new members are: Dr Raja Ramanna, former AEC chairman, Brajesh Mishra, principal secretary, and Professor S R Jashim, member of the Planning Commission.
11 May: India conducts three nuclear explosions at its Pokhran nuclear test-site. These include a fission-device, a low-yield device, and a thermonuclear device. Prime minister Vajpaee declares that the yields from the explosions are in line with expected values. The people of India now have a credible nuclear deterrent, it is officially stated.
12 May: BJPs new president Kushabhau Thakre asserts that India will not give in to blackmail by any country and take whatever steps necessary for its security.
13 May: India conducts tests of two sub-kiloton nuclear devices at Pokhran, which, the government states, complete its planned series of nuclear explosions.
14 May: BJP president Thakre says, There is no room for any concern because of the blasts, all that India wants is to have its territories vacated. Prime minister Vajpaee says India is ready to face sanctions. If such steps are taken, then we Indians will face it. We are ready for any difficulty. In a public opinion poll, majority Indians favour the countrys nuclear build-up.
The BJP calls for nation-wide celebrations on May 16 to mark Indias entry into the Nuclear Club. Congress-I president Sonia Gandhi tacitly supports the nuclear explosions by saying the nuclear question is a national matter and, on this, every Indian is united. But, anti-nuclear activists in India say they are disappointed by the public euphoria over the nuclear tests and the lack of public awareness about the dangers of nuclear arms race. The UN Security Council also strongly deplores Indian nuclear tests.
15 May: India Today quotes prime minister Vajpaee as saying India has a big bomb. This is widely interpreted to mean that India has formally declared itself to be a nuclear weapon state. Vajpaee also says that India will use nuclear weapons in case of any external aggression.
16 May: BJP celebrates National Day of Pride. Celebrations at 139 Mandals across Delhi are marked by the presence of party leaders, distribution of sweets among the jubilant crowd, and display of fireworks. Meanwhile, anti-nuclear campaigners hold protest rallies in the Capital, carrying placards: We want roti and pani not bombs, the nations priorities are misplaced. Prominent Indian scholars and writersincluding Kuldip Nayyar, Rajni Kothari, Medha Patkar, Praful Bidwai, Achin Vinayak, Bittu Sehgal, Ravi Agarwal, Nityanand Jayaramancondemn nuclear tests, saying the need today was not to enter the club of five nations but to get out of the club of ten least socially developed countries. In a joint statement, they say: We strongly condemn Indias recent nuclear testing, the aggressive jingoism unleashed by it and the insecurity caused by it in the region. Nuclear weapons cause trans-generational and large-scale destruction It is shameful that we should celebrate an achievement that announces to the world that India is now capable of killing millions of people with nuclear weapons.
17 May: Indias top scientists confirm India has become a nuclear weapon state, and that the five nuclear tests at Pokhran were a culmination of a weaponisation programme jointly undertaken by the defense and atomic energy establishment. The nuclear tests have boosted the confidence of the nation, says prime minister Vajpaee.
18 May: L K Advani, home minister and former BJP president, warns Pakistan to roll back its anti-India policy, especially with regards to Kashmir. He announces the governments new pro-active approach to deal firmly and strongly with Pakistans hostile designs and activities in Kashmir. Indias decisive step to become a nuclear weapon state has brought about a qualitatively new stage in Indo-Pak relations, particularly in finding a lasting solution to the Kashmir problem, says Advani, adding: Islamabad should realise the change in the geo-strategic situation. Vishwa Hindu Parishad announces its plan to build a shrine, Shakti Peeth (abode of cosmic energy) near the site of the five nuclear explosions in Rajhastan.
19 May: BJP spokesman Krishan Lal Sharma warns Pakistan that it will pay a heavy price for fuelling the conflict in Kashmir. Time has come when the government should take a tough stand and foil Pakistans attempts to stoke militancy, he says. The United States warns India not to disturb the status quo on the Line of Control, saying we urge both countries to respect it and refrain from provocative actions.
20 May: Home minister Advani says India is determined to quell proxy war by Pakistan against our nation. Until now, Indias policy to make such provocation has been essentially reactive. But it has been decided that further misadventure on Indian territory shall be dealt with enough provocative basis.
22 May: BJP spokesman Sharma again warns Pakistan that if it continues with its anti-India policy, Pakistan should be prepared for Indias wrath.
23 May: Prime minister Nawaz Sharif warns India against any misadventure, which, he adds, will meet a resolute response .Any act that Pakistan takes will be in the supreme national interest. The same day, Advani is given the charge of Kashmir affairs.
24 May: Farooq Abdullah, chief minister of the disputed Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir, says, a major offensive against foreign mercenaries in the State will start soon. BJP president Thakre says the nuclear tests were staged out of necessity.
25 May: India is a nuclear weapon state despite the refusal of the United States and others to accept it as one, says prime minister Vajpaee. Let me repeat, India is a nuclear weapon state. Definition constraints reflecting a three-decade old situation need to come to terms with this reality.
26 May: Defence minister Fernandes says moratorium (on nuclear tests, declared some days after the May 13 nuclear tests) will not affect nuclear weaponisation.
27 May: Prime minister Vajpaee strongly defends Indian nuclear weapons option and BJPs hawkish posture towards Kashmir in the Lok Sabha, where many opposition leaders term Indias bomb as BJP bomb. At midnight, Pakistan fears an air-strike on its nuclear installations and, in order to prevent it, contacts Permanent Members of the Security Council and warns India of dire consequences.
28 May: Pakistan conducts five nuclear tests.
HOW INDIA FOOLED US INTELLIGENCE
It is very rare to find that main leaders across different parties agreeing to the same thing in the interest of the nation. Such was the time we lived in. One also needs to take note that Vajpayee, Advani and Indira Gandhi - all co-operated with each other and stood as one. Very rare is the fact that opposition party leaders praise so vividly at the ruling govt.
Since 1974, Rajiv Gandhi, V.P.Singh and finally Narasimha Rao secretly planned for nuclear weaponisation. Narasimha Rao, in particular, wanted India to join the world elite in even tougher terms. It was Narasimha Rao who actually went ahead with the tests in 1995. Unfortunately, CIA spy satellites detected the activity and warned India of sanctions. Now, Narasimha Rao must be appreciated because he had the guts to give a green signal with topmost priority to DRDO. He was running a minority government and any sanctions or unpopular reaction could have adversely affected Indian economy and politics. Moreover India had just then begun to get rid of economic Crisis. So, he stepped back.
In 1996, he again went ahead, but this time a team of CIA and US Diplomats personally came and gave evidences and explained that they were able to detect the same. What is not clear even for CIA till now and they refuse to reveal to public is the question whether US Ambassador Wisner in 1996 revealed technical details of spy satellites to DRDO scientists or no. Any reader at this point will only say - US can't do this at all, It's a myth. Even assuming it's a myth it's not a joke for an event that took place later when Vajpayee came to power when Indians knew how they could deceive CIA spy satellites. The top DRDO officials give certain details of what they did. I am also sure they did this in this manner only after Vajpayee gave them instructions. Otherwise no organization can do take such a big step to execute in a covert manner without the agreement of the Government. And hence in this context I appreciate Vajpayee and his team.
Later that year, Vajpayee came to power. He ordered tests to go through. But 2 days later, the Government fell. The plan stopped there. Now CTBT was signed by 149 countries. It forced India also to sign, but never did India sign. Next, Deve Gowda was the PM and what else can you expect from this politician? There was no progress,whatsoever. Even I.K.Gujral never wanted to test as he believed it was not in India's interest.
Finally, in 1998, Vajpayee Govt came to power with majority. On Mar 7th, Vajpayee was made the PM.
Around Mar 19th, Nawaz Sharif sent an international message about possibility of nuclear test by India. This was sent mainly because in all media, BJP announced that making India nuclear is their priority. But no one knew with what intensity was India really going ahead except for these few people mentioned above.
On Mar 20- just barely 13 days after being in power (This is what I call - demonstration of commitmment in making India strong in the world. He did not sit and enjoy the power. Usually everyone has a honeymoon after they come to Government, Vajpayee did not. Such a demonstration was seen earlier by Indira Gandhi and Sardar Patel), Vajpayee asked 3 people - DRDO chief Kalam, Atomic Energy Chief Chidambaram and BARC Chief Anil Kakodkar were called to South Block. The only other people present were National Security Advisor Brajesh Mishra, L.k. Advani and Vajpayee himself. No one else knew this secret meeting. It was strictly confidential. Vajpayee asked about preparations of a nuclear test and asked the top scientists to get into ready mode. It is a well known fact that we were ready long before, but Vajpayee wanted to cross check and confirm everything.
On April 6, 1998, Pakistan test fired GHAURI missile which has the penetration range of 1500 km (while that of India's Agni is 2500 km). Vajpayee was subdued and he now wanted something very quick. Brajesh Mishra told Vajpayee it is now the question of India's credibility.
On April 8th, 2 days after the Ghauri test firing by Pakistan, Vajpayee asked again for a secret meeting with Kalam, Chidambaram and Anil Kakodkar. He gave them "green-signal" as he was disturbed by Pakistan and Chinese help in it. Kalam writes that it was one of those happiest moments as he got to demonstrate what skills India had.
By April 27th (which was the first agreed date to conduct tests), Chidambaram had to attend his daughter's marriage. Now, in obvious terms if he was not there in his own daughter's marriage, it would have lead to suspicion. Hence the test date was postponed.
At this point I would say only one thing. Such operations are usually done in such a clandestine manner, but the fact that only selected people in the Government were informed of it and the world never knew about this is amazing. Vajpayee truly wanted to surprise the world as he knew if the world knew, it would stop him. Even the then Defense Minister, George Fernandes did not knew this.
On May 7th, The equipment was taken out of BARC(Baba Atomic Research Center), Mumbai and was flown to Jaisalmer Airport and then taken via trucks to Pokhran. By 1995-96, underground camps were made to keep such equipment. In Jodhpur, a team of handpicked scientists from DRDO and DAE held a meeting to conduct the tests in Pokhran. The President, Venkataraman Narayanan was touring Latin America. It was only he apart from the mentioned above people who were appraised of the test
preparation.
The only problem which both DRDO and Vajpayee compounded was how to trick or deceive CIA spy satellites. Vajpayee was also aware of the grave economic sanctions as a consequence of the test and the fact that CIA spy satellites hover around India. So, there was hectic discussion going on about this between these selected top officials.
The top DRDO officials carefully determined the timing of satellite position over India and decided to do activity only at the time when it is not over it. One needs to understand the fact that CIA was spying so intensely was a fact known to India in 1996. It was very essential to deceive because on one side was self-pride and need to prove our capability and on the other not to bow down to the great powers in doing what we think is right. India had to bow down to such pressures in 1995 and 1996 and now no way Vajpayee wanted to be stopped and blackmailed by US.
If one goes by what CIA veteran J. Ransom Clark (25 years experience in CIA) remarked it is clear that Indian scientists knew that every 6 hours in a day the satellites were spying and it was at those times when it was not hovering around, the activity took place.
Only breaking of the fence and presence of bulldozer was the activity detected by spy satellites. This was 6 hours before the actual test took place (9:47 am on May 11th Indian Time, 00:17 in Eastern Standard Time).
Even Santhanam who was the top DRDO scientist personally in the team of Abdul Kalam also revealed in a leading magazine just a few days ago about the deception. He says
"The logic was simple: as the Pokhran range was swarming with army personnel, we decided to dress in battle fatigues so as not to raise unnecessary eyebrows. Since it was a border area, there was a high likelihood of informers in the place.
Scientists in trousers would have attracted unwanted attention. Some scientists were also potbellied. The locals would not have thought them to be soldiers, who are a fit and sprightly lot. All this was done to avoid the stealthy gaze of spy satellites, particularly the American ones. Compared to the 1974 tests, we were more knowledgeable about surveillance systems.
That's why we avoided any movement during the satellite hours. We normally worked at night and carried on till the small hours without any sleep. Chances of detection in the night are zero and the quality of satellite images is very bad.One month of tiring, sleepless nights paid off in the late afternoon of May 11. The earth trembled a little. As the blasts were in a shaft deep down, we couldn't feel much. I called it a bum tickle."
The above image shows the nuclear scientists clad in soldiers' outfit so that there is no suspicion by any local people (many of whom could be spies to Pakistan).
At 3:43:44.2 pm local Indian time {10:13:44.2 UCT (+/-0.32 sec; 6:13:44.2 a.m. EDT} as measured by international seismic monitors, the test took place. Kalam telephoned Vajpayee. Advani cheered along with Vajpayee and Kalam. This is no less than a Hollywood movie in which they show the President elated after seeing some acts done by his research and defense teams.
Just 2 minutes later, at 3:45 pm- Vajpayee announced to the world - "We are now a nuclear weapons country. We have the bomb". The news was so powerful that the entire world was shocked. Like a giant meteor that hit the Earth, the announcement hit the ears of everyone - domestic and international.
Later on May 13, the world was further surprised by 2 more tests and finally ceased the tests. Even this went unnoticed.
Sometimes we need to speak only when we are done. But, Vajpayee spoke on May 11th just to tell people that there is no further intention to carry out tests and tricked them further. On May 13th the final announcement was made.
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