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What i see is that russia’s winter offensive has almost ran out of steam. Sloviansk/kramatorsk is far out of reach. In a half year, russia will actually have less occupied territory then it has now. Ukranian counteroffensive is coming. Lets see who is right, so far i have not been wrong...

I think people underestimate just how strong Nato (for large part USA but still) really is. Support given is still in the single digits of defense budgets. Lets take USA: Bradleys: 100 sent out of 4500 Abrams: 31 sent out of 6000 Airplanes 0 sent out of 13000. Bakhmut took a year. How long...

Lower price is due to panic settling down and market re-routing. Alongside less demand. There is not even a serious recession yet…else prices would go to 20 and russia would be even more fucked. 2022 was a windfall for russia with high prices and high demand. 2023 will have low prices and low...

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1331770/eu-gas-imports-from-russia-by-route/ Putin starting the war skyrocketed gas prices. It also took several months for EU to set up alternatives. So with 10 fold price, that half year of gas use was still a record year. But look at the second half...

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2023/03/30/europe/turkey-vote-finland-nato-membership-intl/index.html Boom thats another 1340 km of shared border with Nato for russia.

feb 2022: we are going to take Kiev in a week Feb 2023: we hope to take this street in bakhmut in a week. Russia. Lost 2000 tanks. Dusting off its T54 USA. Promised 31 tanks in autumn…out of 6000 stock. Yes…losing terribly 🤣

Thats how russia tries to solve everything. Throwing more cannon fodder against a wall. Either they succeed…or losses run so high the Tsar is ousted and the country collapses With 75.000 dead we are not there yet. More russians need to die. This is better for the world. On the brightside...

Putin has to sell at discount. China and India take the margin from reselling. Which is fine. Europe is deliberately taking an economic hit, to ensure russia does so too. Gas. Price Down from 300 to 42. European reserves are 60% filled coming out of winter. Oil. Down from 125 to 70. But...

Europeans? Please…just the russian supported far right nutters. For instance this fpo austrian faction. Also rabidly anti-muslim by the way https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-austria-fpo-idUSKBN1511LC

Dont oversimplify it. We got 1 colonial empire. Russia. Who has an atrocious record on how it acts toward eastern european “subjects”. And again chose bruto force to advance its territorial influence. Russia is the one who carries most responsibility for this war and can stop it any second...