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  1. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    I think full scale is if Israel launches a ground invasion but really semantics at this point
  2. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    I love how the western media is saying that a ceasefire is needed to prevent this from escalating into a full scale war as if it isn't a full scale war already
  3. Aspen

    Iranian Chill Thread

    I mean I can say it nicely but there's no point in sugarcoating it
  4. Aspen

    Iranian Chill Thread

    Maybe in the future when things cool down. It has already been discussed extensively. The people who care about it already know about it.
  5. Aspen

    Iranian Chill Thread

    Nobody is bragging about anything. The reason Pakistan and Turkey aren't in the discussion about Gaza is because they have absolutely no dog in the the fight besides words. Iran is in the discussion because there is a strategic link between Iran and Hamas and any serious level headed discussion...
  6. Aspen

    Iranian Chill Thread

    Waqti dar ye jamay hamun k goftam mushkelati wajud daran tu een arseh anarsari tahti unwan ziday enghelab nafuzi wujund daray. Drust, az ye kalmeh harf miyad su istifiadeh mikuneh niruhayi jawun k energy darand khawsteh hayi bala ter az man k sinnam guzashteh darand jamay ro bay sharait mi...
  7. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    Assuming Hamas fires 500 rockets per day, 2 Iron Dome missiles intercept each rocket, and Israel has 10,000 missiles left, that means: 10,000 interceptors / (500 rockets * 2 interceptors per rocket) = 10 days left before Israel runs out of missiles
  8. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    I hope somebody in the media leaks the number of Iron Dome missiles they have left
  9. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    Mega fake, this would have made front page of New York Times if it happened
  10. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    Israeli media: The Americans aren't expected to gradually start calling for calm but rather to shift 180 degrees at some point and demand an immediate end, and that is coming soon
  11. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    If I am understanding this correctly: Basically all Hamas has to do is keep going until Israel runs out of Iron Dome missiles and US refuses to resupply them. Then either Israel accepts ceasefire or Hamas keeps firing and Israel surrenders. Am I understanding this right?
  12. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    So basically current US position seems to be: "We won't stop you, but when you run out of missiles, don't ask us for help"
  13. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    I think they could be in big trouble because if they based their missile stockpile estimates off the last HZ/Gaza wars, we have already gone way past that. Whatever estimate they had would be too low now. It's like 3,000 rockets fired last 5 days, in the last war it was like 4,000 in 50 days...
  14. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    I think this is most likely scenario to be honest The big question is if US lets Iron Dome run out, what happens if Hamas rejects ceasefire and keeps going?
  15. Aspen

    Featured Israel-Palestinian Conflict Resurgence 2021: Al-Aqsa attacks, riots, rockets, military clashes and Jerusalem conflict

    I mean if Biden actually wants ceasefire this is best way to do it. If US lets Iron Dome run out, Israel itself will beg for a ceasefire. It seems plausible. I would not rule it out. How much do they have left?
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