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Why would Bangladesh do this? And now?

Why would you say this? It's entirely possible given history and current dynamics. Is it probable? Probably not. But it's far more likely possible than impossible. Anyways, time will tell...

Unrelated to BAF. But a nice article about Egypt's decision to buy Rafale and Mig-29M/SU-35 despite having 200+ F-16s. Illustrates why Bangladesh may have reservations to buy American fighters and why the Rafale may be a better option...

I wonder if this Chinese "gift" is gonna shake up things even more in regards to Bangladeshi purchases of Chinese weapons. Regardless, Western subs have traditionally been much better than Russian and definitely Chinese subs. Kilo (even 877) is better than these old Mings which remember are...

" The chinese have put a spanner in the works regarding J10. They are uncomfortable with BDs western tilt but this issue seems to be a surmountable issue, except.... " What do you mean by that sentence?

Looks like Myanmar Navy received a free Type 35 submarine from China. https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/myanmar-defence-forum.347379/page-287#post-13486671

Most likely scenario.

Bangladesh should never forget the support coming from Turkey regarding Rohingya. Also, a video is worth a thousand words. https://archive.siasat.com/news/video-turkish-first-lady-ignoring-pm-modi-goes-viral-1442949/ Absolute legend move!

It's interesting both Croatia and Bangladesh are linked to Rafale around the same time. I would argue that BAF has less of a gap (at least in terms of the hardware it flys) than CAF. BAF has a total of 39 Mig-29 (8) and late model F-7BG/BGI (31) to Rafale. CAF has its 8 Mig-21bis to Rafale...

Qatar Air Force Rafale. Would LOVE some METEORS for BAF!

Procurement decisions are highly political. Case in point, Qatar. I agree with your points 1-6 though. But there was a video which I'm trying to find where some BD official stated geostrategic concerns were also a factor in their decision.

Yep. Rich... https://borgenproject.org/economy-and-poverty-in-greece/

Eh that's an F-22.

Yes, but what geostrategic impact does that have? Sweden and South Korea/Indonesia? Or France, UK, EU, US? Remember who comprises the permanent members of the UNSC. 3 > 2 Perhaps BD is spreading her bets to carry favor among various world powers? We all know who Russia and China supports...

The problem with US gear is that they likely won't release the full spectrum of armament to BD. i.e. Iraq and their Block 50/52 Vipers. (Forget about -D AMRAAMs) So that may hinder BAF getting F-16/F-18. Now Rafale is the next best thing due to its more mature antiship and multirole...

I wouldn't be surprised if they did buy Rafale. It sorta makes complete sense. Although the major downside is that India has it. But other than that why not?

Don't take that fool to be representative of Pakistanis.

I don't think so.

Nancy Pelosi. https://www.capitalethiopia.com/society/queen-of-investing-just-how-did-nancy-pelosi-build-a-120mn-fortune-on-a-223000-annual-salary/

As skeptical as I am, I am willing to believe this.